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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 11, 2015
10:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Spurs69%109113
18Trail Blazers31%102101
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.4
35
32
20
7
3
1
2
0
1
0
7
5-5
100%
6-9
7-12
67%
54%
1-5
20%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 30.3
35
25
23
6
2
0
1
1
4
2
4
5-6
83%
9-17
5-12
53%
48%
0-1
0%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.4
31
27
11
4
2
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-1
0%
1-2
1-3
50%
47%
3-4
75%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.5
30
24
11
1
5
1
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
5-8
4-9
63%
50%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 39.5
21
25
12
6
2
1
1
2
1
0
6
2-3
67%
5-7
4-7
71%
51%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 38.3
22
18
14
5
3
0
1
0
0
4
1
1-1
100%
5-10
2-3
50%
50%
1-2
50%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.2
18
22
7
1
1
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
49%
1-1
100%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 33.6
18
19
6
5
4
0
0
0
1
2
3
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
53%
0-1
0%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 36.5
15
11
5
3
3
1
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
45%
1-1
100%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.2
13
19
4
3
2
0
0
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
49%
0-0
-
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.1
1
10
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
Ray McCallum
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.4
1
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
46%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 35.6
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Jonathon Simmons
F · 6'6" 195 · 26.2
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 27.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 25.3
37
36
22
6
9
1
1
0
3
1
5
3-7
43%
2-11
5-11
18%
47%
5-8
63%
CJ McCollum
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.1
36
33
21
1
2
0
1
0
4
1
0
2-2
100%
8-17
5-10
47%
46%
1-4
25%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.1
33
33
11
3
4
0
1
1
0
0
3
1-2
50%
2-5
3-6
40%
47%
2-6
33%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 25.7
30
28
9
9
4
2
1
1
0
4
5
3-6
50%
3-7
4-7
43%
57%
0-0
-
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 23.7
24
29
7
5
2
0
0
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
2-3
3-5
67%
53%
1-1
100%
Allen Crabbe
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 23.6
20
23
6
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
4-4
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
46%
0-2
0%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26.4
18
18
11
6
3
2
0
1
1
3
3
1-2
50%
5-5
2-4
100%
55%
0-0
-
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 27.9
18
26
12
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
6-10
4-9
60%
43%
0-0
-
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.5
16
20
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
49%
0-1
0%
Noah Vonleh
F · 6'9" 245 · 20.2
7
12
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-3
50%
43%
0-0
-
Tim Frazier
G · 6'1" 170 · 25.0
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
39%
0-0
-
Pat Connaughton
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 22.8
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
42%
0-0
-
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 33.5
1
0
0-0
47%
Cliff Alexander
F · 6'8" 240 · 20.0
Luis Montero
· 6'7" 185 · 22.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.