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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 11, 2015
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Pelicans26%10698
6Hawks74%115106
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 27.4
38.7
27.3
18
53%
5
10
1
1
0
3
0
5
0-0
-
6-13
4-9
46%
40%
2-4
50%
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 27.5
35.0
29.7
17
52%
11
0
0
1
0
3
5
6
1-1
100%
5-11
3-8
45%
45%
2-5
40%
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 26.9
31.5
35.4
26
61%
3
3
2
1
0
2
0
3
2-3
67%
6-14
3-7
43%
42%
4-6
67%
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 26.4
29.6
23.1
7
39%
3
2
0
0
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
0-3
1-3
0%
43%
2-5
40%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.4
20.8
10.4
4
55%
8
0
0
0
0
3
1
7
4-6
67%
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 28.5
29.6
15.5
7
88%
1
0
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
2-3
100%
45%
1-2
50%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 29.7
24.3
21.2
12
52%
1
4
2
1
0
3
0
1
1-1
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
43%
3-7
43%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 28.6
21.7
19.6
7
90%
4
1
0
1
0
2
1
3
1-2
50%
3-3
1-3
100%
46%
0-0
-
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 27.5
8.7
10.2
0
0%
4
1
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-3
2-4
0%
51%
0-0
-
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 22.7
29.0
1
7-13
51%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 25.4
16.1
1
2-5
44%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.1
6.6
0
1-2
43%
Jimmer Fredette
G · 6'2" 195 · 26.7
5.4
0
1-1
43%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 27.7
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 26.1
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 31.0
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 34.7
33.3
30.4
7
50%
5
1
2
1
0
0
0
5
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
51%
1-4
25%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 30.7
32.7
33.4
19
54%
16
2
3
2
0
2
2
14
7-8
88%
6-12
4-9
50%
51%
0-2
0%
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 26.4
32.1
29.5
10
42%
3
2
0
1
0
3
0
3
2-2
100%
4-7
3-5
57%
50%
0-4
0%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 29.4
29.9
31.1
26
87%
8
3
0
1
3
2
3
5
0-0
-
7-9
6-11
78%
56%
4-6
67%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 27.4
29.6
31.4
14
41%
0
10
2
2
1
1
0
0
1-2
50%
5-14
6-11
36%
49%
1-2
50%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 31.5
24.2
18.4
7
74%
5
2
1
1
1
1
2
3
2-4
50%
1-2
2-3
50%
50%
1-1
100%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 22.2
22.2
22.7
12
55%
2
4
1
1
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
3-7
4-8
43%
47%
2-4
50%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 30.9
18.6
18.2
8
80%
3
1
1
1
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
4-5
3-5
80%
55%
0-0
-
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 24.4
7.6
6.5
3
75%
1
1
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
54%
1-1
100%
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 27.3
5.5
13.0
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
54%
0-0
-
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 26.6
4.3
11.9
0
0%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
47%
0-2
0%
Lamar Patterson
G-F · 6'5" 225 · 24.2
5.4
0
0-1
45%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 25.6
3.0
0
0-1
47%
Edy Tavares
C · 7'3" 265 · 23.6
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 23.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.