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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 20, 2015
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Rockets
84
10Grizzlies
96
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 26.2
36
38
22
6
5
2
2
2
6
0
6
7-8
88%
6-8
5-10
75%
48%
1-7
14%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 29.9
36
29
12
15
3
0
1
2
3
4
11
4-8
50%
4-5
5-8
80%
57%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 30.4
35
32
19
4
1
3
2
1
4
0
4
3-5
60%
5-5
2-4
100%
47%
2-5
40%
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 23.9
29
27
10
4
1
1
1
0
1
1
3
1-4
25%
3-10
4-8
30%
53%
1-2
50%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 38.2
21
21
2
3
1
0
1
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
0-3
0%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 28.5
22
17
5
3
0
1
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
1-7
2-4
14%
45%
1-5
20%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 28.0
16
25
8
1
4
2
1
1
1
0
1
4-6
67%
2-5
2-5
40%
46%
0-1
0%
KJ McDaniels
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 22.8
15
3
5
5
0
1
0
0
3
1
4
2-2
100%
0-2
0-1
0%
44%
1-4
25%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 29.7
14
22
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
3-5
0%
48%
0-2
0%
Clint Capela
C · 6'10" 240 · 21.5
12
15
1
7
0
0
0
1
0
1
6
1-2
50%
0-0
2-4
-
54%
0-0
-
Montrezl Harrell
F-C · 6'8" 240 · 21.8
5
9
0
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-2
0%
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-0
-
Sam Dekker
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.5
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 27.4
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 25.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 30.8
37
36
16
11
11
4
1
0
2
3
8
2-2
100%
7-14
7-14
50%
49%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 28.1
34
32
26
3
5
3
1
0
2
0
3
3-4
75%
7-11
4-8
64%
48%
3-6
50%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.2
29
30
7
6
1
2
1
1
0
1
5
2-2
100%
1-5
4-8
20%
46%
1-4
25%
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 25.4
23
24
5
5
1
0
1
0
4
1
4
1-1
100%
2-6
3-6
33%
50%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 33.9
15
25
8
3
2
1
2
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
2-6
3-6
33%
50%
1-1
100%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 35.7
34
16
12
7
2
3
1
0
1
0
7
1-2
50%
4-5
1-2
80%
53%
1-4
25%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 30.1
32
24
6
4
1
1
1
1
2
0
4
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
49%
0-3
0%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 38.8
18
4
6
3
0
1
0
2
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
0-1
0%
42%
2-4
50%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 29.5
17
20
10
4
3
1
1
0
0
1
3
6-6
100%
2-8
2-3
25%
47%
0-1
0%
Russ Smith
G · 6'0" 165 · 24.6
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 25.4
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-1
0%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 34.3
29
1
6-12
48%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 28.1
5
0
1-1
62%
Jordan Adams
G · 6'5" 209 · 21.4
Jarell Martin
F · 6'10" 239 · 21.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.