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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
November 29, 2015
6:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Celtics60%10891
25Magic40%104110
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 25.4
33
28
12
1
3
1
1
1
0
0
1
2-3
67%
5-6
3-5
83%
50%
0-5
0%
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 26.8
32
31
20
1
7
2
1
0
3
0
1
5-5
100%
6-12
4-9
50%
48%
1-6
17%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 25.0
32
32
17
0
1
0
1
1
3
0
0
1-2
50%
5-8
4-8
63%
47%
2-7
29%
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 23.7
27
26
3
11
2
3
1
3
2
2
9
1-2
50%
1-7
4-8
14%
49%
0-0
-
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 28.6
19
21
8
4
3
0
1
1
2
2
2
2-2
100%
3-6
3-4
50%
58%
0-0
-
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 32.6
21
14
11
4
3
0
0
0
0
1
3
1-3
33%
5-6
2-4
83%
51%
0-0
-
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 27.1
21
26
2
4
6
1
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-6
3-7
17%
45%
0-1
0%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 28.7
18
17
7
3
3
0
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
46%
1-2
50%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 24.6
17
18
3
4
0
0
1
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
50%
1-3
33%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 21.7
12
6
7
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1-1
100%
3-5
1-2
60%
41%
0-0
-
RJ Hunter
G · 6'5" 185 · 22.1
6
9
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
0-2
0%
James Young
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 20.3
2
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
0-0
-
46%
0-1
0%
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 25.9
6
0
1-2
52%
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 21.7
Jordan Mickey
C-F · 6'8" 235 · 21.4
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Elfrid Payton
G · 6'4" 185 · 21.8
35
30
6
3
5
1
2
1
2
1
2
2-4
50%
2-12
4-9
17%
43%
0-0
-
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.4
33
30
15
11
2
1
1
1
2
6
5
1-3
33%
7-10
4-8
70%
50%
0-3
0%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 25.1
32
25
18
10
2
0
1
0
2
4
6
0-0
-
9-19
6-12
47%
51%
0-0
-
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 23.1
20
26
9
3
1
1
1
0
1
1
2
1-1
100%
4-6
3-6
67%
48%
0-3
0%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 32.5
17
16
6
2
1
1
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
45%
2-4
50%
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.6
30
25
19
8
6
2
1
1
1
0
8
7-8
88%
3-6
4-8
50%
46%
2-6
33%
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.0
23
22
14
8
0
0
0
2
0
2
6
0-0
-
4-5
3-6
80%
46%
2-4
50%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.2
22
19
12
5
2
0
1
1
0
1
4
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
49%
2-3
67%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 29.7
15
16
6
3
1
0
0
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
3-5
2-5
60%
46%
0-0
-
Shabazz Napier
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.4
9
14
5
1
4
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
42%
1-2
50%
Mario Hezonja
F-G · 6'8" 218 · 20.8
1
7
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Devyn Marble
F · 6'6" 200 · 23.2
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 26.3
5
0
1-1
52%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 31.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.