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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 27, 2015
9:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Spurs77%10991
25Nuggets23%9980
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.4
32
37
25
7
6
4
2
5
2
1
6
1-1
100%
9-14
7-13
64%
54%
2-4
50%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.4
27
29
9
4
0
1
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
0-3
2-3
0%
47%
3-6
50%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.5
25
32
13
1
5
0
1
1
2
0
1
0-2
0%
5-6
6-11
83%
51%
1-1
100%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 30.4
18
32
8
4
1
0
1
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
4-10
7-14
40%
48%
0-1
0%
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 27.3
6
3
2
4
1
0
0
0
0
2
2
2-2
100%
0-0
0-1
-
53%
0-0
-
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.2
29
7
5
4
3
0
0
0
1
0
4
3-4
75%
1-3
1-2
33%
46%
0-0
-
Jonathon Simmons
F · 6'6" 195 · 26.2
27
3
12
2
1
2
0
0
5
0
2
3-3
100%
3-4
0-1
75%
48%
1-4
25%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 33.6
23
14
6
5
2
0
0
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
3-5
2-3
60%
53%
0-0
-
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.3
21
21
9
3
1
1
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
3-3
2-3
100%
48%
1-4
25%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.2
19
15
2
6
1
2
0
0
2
1
5
2-2
100%
0-4
2-4
0%
50%
0-0
-
Ray McCallum
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.5
6
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 36.5
4
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-1
0%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 35.6
4
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 38.3
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 39.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 27.3
35
34
16
10
2
0
1
0
0
1
9
4-4
100%
3-11
3-8
27%
43%
2-4
50%
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 19.7
29
27
9
3
3
0
1
0
2
1
2
3-3
100%
3-13
4-9
23%
39%
0-1
0%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.7
25
26
2
5
0
1
1
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
1-6
3-7
17%
43%
0-0
-
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 21.2
25
31
5
1
3
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-6
100%
44%
1-3
33%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 20.8
12
22
6
2
0
0
1
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
3-4
3-7
75%
46%
0-0
-
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 24.9
29
23
12
9
2
2
1
0
5
2
7
1-2
50%
4-7
3-6
57%
47%
1-3
33%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 32.2
22
15
6
1
3
2
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-3
1-2
100%
41%
0-1
0%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 33.8
22
23
12
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-6
2-5
50%
43%
2-4
50%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 35.8
20
6
3
3
2
2
0
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
43%
1-3
33%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 27.2
17
15
9
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0
3-4
75%
3-6
2-5
50%
49%
0-0
-
Kostas Papanikolaou
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.3
4
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-1
0%
Joffrey Lauvergne
C · 6'11" 260 · 24.2
5
0
1-1
45%
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 21.3
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.6
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 26.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.