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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 25, 2015
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
7Grizzlies40%102102
10Rockets60%10693
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 30.8
38.6
36.3
11
43%
7
2
1
1
1
6
1
6
1-2
50%
5-12
6-13
42%
47%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 28.1
33.3
31.2
19
88%
1
5
0
1
0
2
0
1
4-4
100%
6-7
4-9
86%
47%
1-2
50%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.2
32.0
30.8
20
69%
7
1
1
1
0
0
2
5
10-10
100%
5-9
4-8
56%
45%
0-1
0%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 35.7
30.9
31.0
13
57%
8
3
1
1
0
2
1
7
1-1
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
52%
2-6
33%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 33.9
28.4
23.5
10
50%
5
1
2
2
1
2
2
3
0-0
-
5-10
3-6
50%
48%
0-0
-
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 30.1
26.7
24.3
17
57%
1
2
2
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
8-11
2-5
73%
48%
0-3
0%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 29.5
23.3
19.7
6
38%
3
5
0
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
46%
0-3
0%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 38.8
14.7
13.1
0
0%
6
2
1
0
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
41%
0-1
0%
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 25.4
12.1
19.6
6
44%
3
0
0
1
1
2
1
2
2-2
100%
2-6
2-5
33%
48%
0-0
-
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 34.4
10.5
0
2-4
47%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 28.1
4.6
0
1-1
61%
Russ Smith
G · 6'0" 165 · 24.6
2.0
0
0-0
42%
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 25.4
1.7
0
0-0
44%
Jordan Adams
G · 6'5" 209 · 21.4
Jarell Martin
F · 6'10" 239 · 21.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 26.2
40.9
36.6
40
84%
5
5
3
2
1
4
1
4
11-11
100%
7-10
5-10
70%
49%
5-9
56%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.0
39.8
22.3
12
56%
5
1
3
1
1
3
1
4
4-6
67%
4-8
3-6
50%
58%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 30.4
39.5
33.7
8
34%
12
3
2
2
0
5
1
11
4-4
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
49%
0-5
0%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 38.2
29.1
23.6
13
66%
2
3
2
1
1
2
0
2
2-2
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
49%
3-8
38%
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 23.9
19.4
30.6
3
30%
4
1
0
1
1
3
0
4
0-0
-
0-3
5-9
0%
53%
1-2
50%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 29.7
26.9
18.9
5
28%
5
2
2
1
0
1
1
4
2-2
100%
0-2
2-4
0%
49%
1-6
17%
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 27.4
18.9
12.1
4
40%
2
2
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
45%
0-2
0%
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 28.5
14.7
18.5
2
26%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-2
0%
1-1
2-4
100%
47%
0-2
0%
Clint Capela
C · 6'10" 240 · 21.5
8.2
19.5
6
75%
2
1
2
1
3
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-4
3-5
75%
56%
0-0
-
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 28.1
2.7
19.9
0
0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
47%
0-0
-
Montrezl Harrell
F-C · 6'8" 240 · 21.8
8.3
0
1-2
50%
KJ McDaniels
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 22.8
5.7
0
1-1
46%
Sam Dekker
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.5
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 25.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.