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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Sunday
November 29, 2015
2:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Bucks26%9882
12Hornets74%10787
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 28.1
44.3
23.3
12
43%
4
5
2
1
0
1
1
3
0-2
0%
3-5
2-4
60%
44%
2-8
25%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.3
43.1
31.0
11
37%
6
6
1
1
0
2
2
4
1-2
50%
2-5
2-5
40%
43%
2-9
22%
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 24.3
37.4
28.8
19
52%
5
6
3
1
0
3
1
4
1-1
100%
3-9
3-6
33%
45%
4-9
44%
Giannis Antetokounmpo
F · 6'11" 222 · 21.0
31.0
30.3
8
80%
5
3
1
1
1
0
0
5
0-0
-
4-5
5-10
80%
50%
0-0
-
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 25.5
30.2
24.2
17
49%
10
3
2
1
0
2
3
7
3-5
60%
7-15
5-10
47%
49%
0-0
-
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 24.9
17.8
16.9
2
33%
5
0
0
0
1
3
4
1
0-0
-
1-3
3-5
33%
53%
0-0
-
Jabari Parker
F · 6'8" 250 · 20.7
17.0
22.5
10
46%
7
0
0
1
0
1
2
5
2-2
100%
4-10
4-7
40%
48%
0-0
-
Michael Carter-Williams
G · 6'6" 190 · 24.1
15.6
25.0
3
39%
4
2
0
1
0
2
0
4
1-2
50%
1-2
3-7
50%
43%
0-1
0%
Tyler Ennis
G · 6'3" 194 · 21.3
3.6
12.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
41%
0-1
0%
Johnny O'Bryant III
F-C · 6'9" 257 · 22.5
9.9
0
1-3
43%
Chris Copeland
F · 6'9" 239 · 31.7
4.6
0
0-1
44%
Miles Plumlee
C · 6'11" 249 · 27.2
3.4
0
0-1
49%
Rashad Vaughn
G · 6'6" 202 · 19.3
3.3
0
0-1
43%
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 28.9
Damien Inglis
F · 6'8" 246 · 20.5
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 25.6
39.6
36.0
22
70%
2
3
3
2
1
2
1
1
5-6
83%
4-9
5-11
44%
47%
3-4
75%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 29.4
37.2
29.6
12
57%
7
2
0
1
1
0
1
6
1-1
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
52%
3-7
43%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 27.0
33.7
35.4
15
49%
5
5
2
1
1
9
2
3
4-5
80%
1-5
3-6
20%
52%
3-8
38%
PJ Hairston
F-G · 6'6" 230 · 22.9
14.7
17.1
3
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
46%
1-1
100%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 30.9
6.8
28.0
1
27%
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
0-1
7-13
0%
52%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 23.5
27.3
25.2
14
64%
9
2
0
1
0
0
1
8
1-2
50%
2-4
3-6
50%
55%
3-6
50%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.3
22.3
20.4
7
61%
3
4
0
1
0
0
0
3
4-4
100%
0-3
3-5
0%
49%
1-1
100%
Frank Kaminsky
F-C · 7'0" 242 · 22.7
17.2
17.8
4
25%
4
2
1
0
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-6
2-3
33%
53%
0-2
0%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 27.6
16.4
7.2
5
51%
8
0
0
0
0
2
0
8
2-2
100%
0-3
1-1
0%
49%
1-1
100%
Cody Zeller
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 23.1
15.8
18.0
2
33%
1
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
49%
0-1
0%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 30.1
8.9
0.9
2
100%
2
1
0
0
2
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
47%
0-0
-
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 30.0
2.3
0
0-0
45%
Troy Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 24.4
0.9
0
0-0
45%
Aaron Harrison
G · 6'6" 210 · 21.1
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 22.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.