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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
November 27, 2015
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Pistons29%10587
5Thunder71%112103
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 22.8
40.0
32.4
11
33%
4
4
1
1
0
1
2
2
3-4
75%
4-12
3-7
33%
46%
0-3
0%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.2
39.6
32.5
17
54%
4
0
1
1
0
0
0
4
5-6
83%
3-9
4-8
33%
47%
2-4
50%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 22.3
32.5
30.9
15
44%
7
2
1
1
0
2
3
4
1-2
50%
7-16
7-13
44%
54%
0-0
-
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.5
28.4
23.9
9
51%
4
0
0
1
0
1
2
2
2-2
100%
2-3
2-5
67%
47%
1-5
20%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 25.6
26.9
26.4
15
40%
5
4
2
1
0
0
2
3
5-6
83%
2-10
5-10
20%
48%
2-6
33%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 35.8
21.1
12.2
5
31%
3
7
3
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
41%
1-6
17%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.5
19.6
21.7
6
75%
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
46%
2-4
50%
Stanley Johnson
F · 6'7" 245 · 19.5
16.3
20.7
5
50%
2
0
1
1
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
46%
1-1
100%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 29.0
15.6
13.8
4
40%
6
0
0
0
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
51%
0-0
-
Spencer Dinwiddie
G · 6'6" 200 · 22.6
10.9
0
1-3
43%
Darrun Hilliard
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.6
4.9
0
1-1
44%
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 24.7
4.8
0
0-0
40%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 33.3
2.6
0
0-0
49%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.3
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 26.2
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 27.2
37.9
32.2
34
64%
13
5
0
1
3
3
1
12
10-10
100%
6-13
6-11
46%
54%
4-9
44%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 26.2
31.8
30.4
14
88%
4
0
0
0
4
1
1
3
0-0
-
7-8
5-10
88%
53%
0-0
-
Andre Roberson
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 24.0
30.9
23.0
2
33%
8
0
0
1
0
0
0
8
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
57%
0-2
0%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.0
28.6
33.3
14
43%
4
4
1
2
0
11
2
2
3-5
60%
4-11
7-14
36%
48%
1-3
33%
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.4
27.9
22.0
8
80%
13
1
0
1
1
0
4
9
0-0
-
4-5
2-4
80%
55%
0-0
-
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.0
27.1
27.7
8
31%
4
3
1
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
4-9
3-7
44%
45%
0-4
0%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 28.0
21.5
14.9
6
55%
4
3
0
0
0
0
1
3
1-1
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
43%
1-3
33%
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 23.5
18.4
19.3
14
67%
5
1
0
0
1
1
2
3
8-10
80%
3-6
4-8
50%
53%
0-0
-
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 35.1
8.2
15.5
0
0%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
51%
0-0
-
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 30.2
7.7
21.0
3
50%
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
48%
1-3
33%
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 27.6
5.7
0
0-1
41%
Cameron Payne
G · 6'3" 185 · 21.3
2.7
0
0-1
43%
Mitch McGary
F · 6'10" 255 · 23.5
1.7
0
0-0
50%
Josh Huestis
G · 6'7" 230 · 23.9
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 32.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.