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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
November 25, 2015
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
13Heat55%10381
23Pistons45%102104
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 29.8
38.3
16.7
16
44%
5
1
0
0
1
3
2
3
2-3
67%
4-10
2-4
40%
46%
2-7
29%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 31.7
30.3
31.2
9
46%
8
4
0
1
0
1
0
8
2-2
100%
2-8
5-9
25%
51%
1-1
100%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 29.6
30.1
29.2
13
51%
0
4
0
1
1
2
0
0
3-4
75%
5-9
4-7
56%
52%
0-2
0%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.5
29.6
29.1
15
76%
13
0
0
1
3
3
5
8
1-2
50%
7-9
6-10
78%
58%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 33.9
23.4
30.4
2
11%
2
2
1
1
2
2
0
2
0-1
0%
1-9
7-14
11%
49%
0-0
-
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 19.7
29.1
27.4
3
39%
8
1
0
1
0
1
1
7
1-2
50%
1-3
2-5
33%
48%
0-0
-
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 23.6
22.1
20.1
8
45%
3
1
0
1
0
0
2
1
2-2
100%
3-6
2-4
50%
46%
0-2
0%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 28.7
13.3
16.5
3
25%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
51%
1-5
20%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 33.4
9.7
4.3
2
50%
0
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
48%
0-1
0%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 22.2
5.7
3.8
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
43%
0-0
-
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 37.4
4.2
2.6
3
150%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
58%
1-1
100%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 35.5
4.2
1.4
7
117%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
0-0
100%
45%
1-1
100%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33.0
Jarnell Stokes
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 21.9
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 30.6
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.2
36.1
30.8
14
54%
6
0
1
1
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
4-10
3-7
40%
48%
2-3
67%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 22.8
34.2
31.6
6
19%
2
4
2
1
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
1-9
3-6
11%
47%
1-6
17%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 22.3
32.7
29.9
18
49%
20
0
2
1
5
1
8
12
0-1
0%
9-18
6-12
50%
54%
0-0
-
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 25.6
26.2
26.8
18
75%
4
7
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
3-7
5-10
43%
48%
4-5
80%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.5
22.9
24.9
13
74%
3
3
0
1
0
0
1
2
4-4
100%
0-3
2-5
0%
47%
3-4
75%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.5
25.1
19.7
12
75%
5
2
0
0
0
0
2
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
47%
4-6
67%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 35.7
21.8
5.6
3
38%
2
4
0
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
40%
1-4
25%
Stanley Johnson
F · 6'7" 245 · 19.5
20.2
21.3
7
28%
5
2
1
1
1
2
2
3
1-1
100%
3-10
3-6
30%
46%
0-2
0%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 29.0
12.6
14.8
6
75%
5
1
0
0
1
0
1
4
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
51%
0-0
-
Darrun Hilliard
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.6
2.8
7.2
5
83%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
43%
1-1
100%
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 24.7
2.8
5.9
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
41%
0-0
-
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 33.3
2.8
2.6
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
51%
0-0
-
Spencer Dinwiddie
G · 6'6" 200 · 22.6
16.5
1
2-4
43%
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.3
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 26.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.