Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	15	Celtics	39%	102	105	110.5	95	98.1
	14	Heat	61%	106	95	102.2	93	90.1

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Avery Bradley G · 6'2" 180 · 25	39.3	25	78%	2	3	3	1	2	1	0	2	4-4	100%	6-9	67%	3-6	50%
Jared Sullinger C · 6'9" 260 · 24	33.8	17	77%	6	3	1	0	2	3	2	4	2-3	67%	6-8	75%	1-2	50%
Amir Johnson F · 6'9" 240 · 29	33.1	13	65%	10	2	1	2	3	4	3	7	1-2	50%	3-7	43%	2-2	100%
Isaiah Thomas G · 5'9" 185 · 27	32.0	16	40%	1	9	1	0	0	1	0	1	5-6	83%	4-12	33%	1-5	20%
Jae Crowder F · 6'6" 235 · 25	31.8	13	65%	5	1	4	0	2	5	2	3	4-4	100%	3-6	50%	1-2	50%

Evan Turner F-G · 6'7" 220 · 27	32.0	13	50%	6	3	3	0	1	1	1	5	3-4	75%	5-10	50%	0-1	0%
David Lee F-C · 6'9" 245 · 33	13.8	4	50%	5	0	0	0	2	3	3	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Kelly Olynyk F-C · 7'0" 240 · 25	9.5	4	40%	2	2	1	0	2	1	0	2	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Jonas Jerebko F · 6'10" 231 · 29	9.5	0	0%	3	0	1	0	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Terry Rozier G · 6'1" 195 · 22	5.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
RJ Hunter G · 6'5" 185 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
James Young G-F · 6'6" 215 · 20	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Tyler Zeller C · 7'0" 250 · 26	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jordan Mickey #55 · C-F · 6'8" 235 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Marcus Smart #36 · G · 6'3" 220 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	55%	40	23	15	3	15	0	12	28	21-25	84%	30-60	50%	8-20	40%

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15 Boston Celtics

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Avery Bradley G · 6'2" 180 · 25	39.3	25	78%	2	3	3	1	2	1	0	2	4-4	100%	6-9	67%	3-6	50%
Jared Sullinger C · 6'9" 260 · 24	33.8	17	77%	6	3	1	0	2	3	2	4	2-3	67%	6-8	75%	1-2	50%
Amir Johnson F · 6'9" 240 · 29	33.1	13	65%	10	2	1	2	3	4	3	7	1-2	50%	3-7	43%	2-2	100%
Isaiah Thomas G · 5'9" 185 · 27	32.0	16	40%	1	9	1	0	0	1	0	1	5-6	83%	4-12	33%	1-5	20%
Jae Crowder F · 6'6" 235 · 25	31.8	13	65%	5	1	4	0	2	5	2	3	4-4	100%	3-6	50%	1-2	50%

Evan Turner F-G · 6'7" 220 · 27	32.0	13	50%	6	3	3	0	1	1	1	5	3-4	75%	5-10	50%	0-1	0%
David Lee F-C · 6'9" 245 · 33	13.8	4	50%	5	0	0	0	2	3	3	2	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Kelly Olynyk F-C · 7'0" 240 · 25	9.5	4	40%	2	2	1	0	2	1	0	2	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-2	0%
Jonas Jerebko F · 6'10" 231 · 29	9.5	0	0%	3	0	1	0	0	2	1	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Terry Rozier G · 6'1" 195 · 22	5.3	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
RJ Hunter G · 6'5" 185 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
James Young G-F · 6'6" 215 · 20	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Tyler Zeller C · 7'0" 250 · 26	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jordan Mickey #55 · C-F · 6'8" 235 · 21	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Marcus Smart #36 · G · 6'3" 220 · 22	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	105	55%	40	23	15	3	15	0	12	28	21-25	84%	30-60	50%	8-20	40%

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14 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Chris Bosh F · 6'11" 235 · 32	39.4	21	58%	10	5	1	1	2	2	0	10	3-3	100%	6-12	50%	2-5	40%
Gerald Green F · 6'7" 205 · 30	35.8	9	50%	3	1	0	1	0	2	0	3	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	1-6	17%
Goran Dragic G · 6'3" 190 · 30	34.4	9	38%	4	3	1	0	3	2	1	3	1-4	25%	4-7	57%	0-3	0%
Dwyane Wade G · 6'4" 220 · 34	31.5	30	56%	4	4	5	0	6	3	3	1	6-6	100%	12-23	52%	0-1	0%
Hassan Whiteside C · 7'0" 265 · 26	25.8	6	50%	8	0	1	3	1	3	3	5	2-4	50%	2-4	50%	0-0	-

Justise Winslow F · 6'7" 225 · 20	29.5	4	40%	6	4	0	0	4	2	2	4	2-3	67%	1-4	25%	0-0	-
Josh McRoberts · 6'10" 240 · 29	24.0	6	75%	2	2	0	1	1	4	1	1	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	0-0	-
Tyler Johnson G · 6'3" 186 · 24	19.7	10	100%	1	2	1	0	1	1	1	0	0-0	-	2-3	67%	2-2	100%
Beno Udrih G · 6'3" 205 · 33	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 35	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Josh Richardson F · 6'6" 200 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Chris Andersen F-C · 6'10" 245 · 37	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jarnell Stokes F-C · 6'9" 255 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Luol Deng #9 · F · 6'9" 220 · 31	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Amar'e Stoudemire #5 · F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	95	54%	38	21	9	6	18	0	11	27	18-24	75%	31-58	53%	5-17	29%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	BOS	MIA
Clock	Team	Event	BOS	MIA

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

BOS

1.11 55.3%

MIA

1.08 54.0%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

BOS

13

25

52%

MIA

19

27

70%

Midrange

BOS

17

35

49%

MIA

12

31

39%

3PT | Effective 3PT

BOS

8

12.0

20

40%

60%

MIA

5

7.5

17

29%

44%

Free Throws

BOS

21

25

84%

MIA

18

24

75%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Celtics

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
A. Bradley	25	78%	12.5 / 16
J. Sullinger	17	77%	8.5 / 11
I. Thomas	16	40%	8.0 / 20
A. Johnson	13	65%	6.5 / 10
J. Crowder	13	65%	6.5 / 10
E. Turner	13	50%	6.5 / 13
D. Lee	4	50%	2.0 / 4
K. Olynyk	4	40%	2.0 / 5
J. Jerebko	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Wade	30	56%	15.0 / 27
C. Bosh	21	58%	10.5 / 18
T. Johnson	10	100%	5.0 / 5
G. Green	9	50%	4.5 / 9
G. Dragic	9	38%	4.5 / 12
H. Whiteside	6	50%	3.0 / 6
J. McRoberts	6	75%	3.0 / 4
J. Winslow	4	40%	2.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	10 106.8 17 106.0	BOS 110.5 +8.4 MIA 102.2
Pace	4 98.5 25 93.7	BOS 98.1 +8.0 MIA 90.1
Avg. Poss. Time	30 14.0 4 16.0	BOS 14.7 −1.3 MIA 16.0
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	24 48.8% 11 50.8%	BOS 52.5% +1.2% MIA 51.3%
TO %	10 13.6% 15 14.0%	BOS 15.0% −3.2% MIA 18.2%
ORB %	10 25.1% 16 23.9%	BOS 30.8% +2.6% MIA 28.2%
FTrt	20 26.4 11 28.2	BOS 31.3 MIA 32.0 +0.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	5 61.6% 26 54.3%	BOS 60.5% +2.2% MIA 58.3%
STL %	5 9.3% 26 7.2%	BOS 15.8% +6.1% MIA 9.7%
BLK %	23 6.9% 1 10.3%	BOS 5.2% MIA 10.0% +4.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	21 51.9% 15 52.8%	BOS 55.3% +1.3% MIA 54.0%
Rim FG%	16 57.7% 2 62.3%	BOS 52.0% MIA 70.4% +18.4%
Mid FG%	29 37.6% 14 40.5%	BOS 48.6% +9.9% MIA 38.7%
3P %	28 33.5% 27 33.6%	BOS 40.0% +10.6% MIA 29.4%
FT %	6 78.8% 23 74.4%	BOS 84.0% +9.0% MIA 75.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	8 37.6% 11 37.0%	BOS 31.3% MIA 36.0% +4.7%
Mid Att. %	8 33.1% 26 40.9%	BOS 43.8% MIA 41.3% −2.4%
3P Att. %	13 29.3% 27 22.1%	BOS 25.0% +2.3% MIA 22.7%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	BOS	MIA
Possessions	95	93
Possession Minutes	23.2	24.8
Points	105	95
Rebounds	40	38
Assists	23	21
Steals	15	9
Blocks	3	6
Turnovers (Team)	15 (1)	18 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	12 (3)	11 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	28 (2)	27 (2)
Field Goals	38-80	36-75
At-the-Rim FG	13-25	19-27
Midrange FG	17-35	12-31
2-Point FG	30-60	31-58
3-Point FG	8-20	5-17
Free Throws	21-25	18-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg