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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 2, 2015
8:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Bucks14%9170
2Spurs86%10695
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 24.3
30
31
16
3
3
0
1
0
2
0
3
3-3
100%
5-9
3-7
56%
43%
1-2
50%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 25.5
28
26
14
7
0
1
1
1
1
1
6
2-2
100%
6-13
5-11
46%
47%
0-0
-
Giannis Antetokounmpo
F · 6'11" 222 · 21.0
26
27
7
4
2
0
1
2
2
1
3
3-4
75%
2-7
4-8
29%
48%
0-1
0%
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 28.1
24
31
2
6
3
1
1
0
3
1
5
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
43%
0-1
0%
Tyler Ennis
G · 6'3" 194 · 21.3
24
7
4
3
1
0
0
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
1-2
40%
38%
0-3
0%
Michael Carter-Williams
G · 6'6" 190 · 24.1
30
24
4
5
4
2
1
0
1
1
4
0-0
-
2-9
3-7
22%
41%
0-1
0%
Jabari Parker
F · 6'8" 250 · 20.7
26
22
7
7
0
1
1
0
1
1
6
5-6
83%
1-6
4-8
17%
45%
0-1
0%
Rashad Vaughn
G · 6'6" 202 · 19.3
17
4
6
4
1
1
0
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
0-4
0-1
0%
39%
2-5
40%
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 24.9
13
19
6
2
0
0
0
2
0
0
2
2-2
100%
2-2
3-5
100%
51%
0-0
-
Johnny O'Bryant III
F-C · 6'9" 257 · 22.5
7
6
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-1
0%
2-4
1-2
50%
40%
0-0
-
Chris Copeland
F · 6'9" 239 · 31.7
7
3
0
0
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
42%
0-0
-
Miles Plumlee
C · 6'11" 249 · 27.2
7
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.3
34
1
2-5
42%
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 28.9
Damien Inglis
F · 6'8" 246 · 20.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.4
25
35
13
3
4
0
2
0
0
2
1
7-8
88%
3-11
7-12
27%
56%
0-1
0%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 30.4
23
28
6
9
0
0
1
5
1
2
7
0-0
-
3-10
6-13
30%
49%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.4
21
30
2
4
2
2
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
47%
0-4
0%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 39.6
20
28
16
10
1
1
1
0
2
3
7
2-2
100%
7-11
4-7
64%
53%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.5
18
28
8
1
3
2
1
0
1
0
1
3-4
75%
1-5
5-9
20%
53%
1-1
100%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 33.6
25
17
11
7
3
0
0
0
2
3
4
0-2
0%
4-8
2-4
50%
54%
1-1
100%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.3
22
19
13
3
3
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
2-3
40%
50%
3-6
50%
Jonathon Simmons
F · 6'6" 195 · 26.2
20
8
8
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-1
0%
4-5
1-1
80%
51%
0-1
0%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.2
19
13
4
5
0
3
0
1
2
0
5
2-3
67%
1-2
1-3
50%
48%
0-1
0%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.3
18
14
4
8
2
2
0
2
0
1
7
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
51%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 38.3
12
20
5
0
3
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
52%
1-2
50%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 36.5
10
4
5
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
46%
1-2
50%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 35.7
7
2
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-2
0%
Ray McCallum
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.5
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 27.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.