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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
November 28, 2015
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Nets20%10088
3Cavaliers80%11290
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 34.4
39.5
31.2
17
64%
3
1
2
1
0
6
0
3
5-5
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
45%
2-5
40%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 27.7
37.5
32.9
22
64%
9
2
1
1
2
2
1
8
2-5
40%
10-15
8-15
67%
50%
0-0
-
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.4
35.9
32.1
16
45%
12
0
1
2
0
0
2
10
2-4
50%
7-15
6-12
47%
49%
0-1
0%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.1
35.4
27.6
12
41%
5
14
0
1
0
3
0
5
4-4
100%
1-8
3-7
13%
46%
2-5
40%
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson
F · 6'7" 214 · 20.9
29.8
27.0
6
61%
10
1
5
1
1
0
3
7
2-2
100%
2-4
2-5
50%
46%
0-0
-
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 30.1
16.5
15.1
6
33%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-8
3-6
38%
46%
0-1
0%
Bojan Bogdanovic
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.6
13.8
20.7
2
25%
4
0
0
0
0
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
51%
0-1
0%
Shane Larkin
G · 5'11" 175 · 23.2
12.6
21.7
7
52%
1
3
0
1
0
2
0
1
3-4
75%
2-5
2-5
40%
46%
0-0
-
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 28.0
10.4
7.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
42%
0-4
0%
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 24.7
6.1
8.6
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
47%
0-0
-
Sergey Karasev
G-F · 6'7" 208 · 22.1
2.5
9.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Markel Brown
G · 6'3" 190 · 23.8
3.7
0
0-1
40%
Willie Reed
· 6'11" 245 · 25.5
Donald Sloan
G · 6'3" 205 · 27.9
Chris McCullough
F · 6'9" 215 · 20.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 30.2
38.8
32.9
6
23%
5
1
3
1
4
2
0
5
0-2
0%
3-8
2-5
38%
47%
0-4
0%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 30.9
35.7
36.8
26
53%
9
5
1
2
0
2
2
7
5-6
83%
9-16
8-15
56%
55%
1-6
17%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 27.2
34.0
31.8
26
82%
7
2
0
1
1
3
0
7
4-4
100%
2-3
4-7
67%
50%
6-11
55%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 32.9
28.4
20.9
14
54%
2
1
2
1
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
7-12
2-5
58%
47%
0-1
0%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 29.4
17.3
12.4
2
14%
6
2
2
0
1
3
3
3
0-0
-
1-6
2-3
17%
54%
0-1
0%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 24.7
31.6
31.7
10
38%
11
2
0
1
0
2
6
5
2-5
40%
4-11
4-7
36%
54%
0-0
-
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 25.2
25.4
24.4
3
30%
4
6
0
1
0
3
1
3
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
43%
1-2
50%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 35.4
17.5
22.9
0
0%
1
1
1
1
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
49%
0-1
0%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 35.1
6.0
10.4
3
150%
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
37%
1-1
100%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 33.2
4.3
7.4
0
0%
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
52%
0-0
-
Jared Cunningham
G · 6'4" 194 · 24.5
1.0
11.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
46%
0-0
-
Sasha Kaun
C · 6'11" 260 · 30.6
0.7
0
0-0
50%
Joe Harris
F-G · 6'6" 219 · 24.2
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 23.7
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 25.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.