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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 2, 2015
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Nuggets28%9990
14Bulls72%10799
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 27.3
35
34
13
5
4
1
1
0
0
1
4
2-4
50%
4-12
3-8
33%
43%
1-3
33%
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 19.7
30
29
4
3
7
2
1
1
2
1
2
0-2
0%
2-11
4-10
18%
38%
0-2
0%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 26.0
29
19
14
9
3
0
1
1
4
5
4
0-2
0%
7-10
3-6
70%
51%
0-0
-
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 32.2
21
24
5
1
4
1
1
2
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
1-3
0%
40%
1-3
33%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 20.8
10
20
7
3
0
0
1
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
3-6
40%
46%
1-1
100%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 24.9
27
28
16
8
2
0
1
0
0
1
7
3-4
75%
5-9
3-7
56%
46%
1-3
33%
Joffrey Lauvergne
C · 6'11" 260 · 24.2
21
11
11
7
2
0
0
1
0
1
6
4-4
100%
2-12
1-3
17%
45%
1-1
100%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.7
19
24
13
2
0
1
1
1
0
2
0
1-2
50%
6-10
3-7
60%
43%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 33.8
18
21
0
2
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
43%
0-1
0%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 27.2
16
8
5
6
1
3
0
0
1
2
4
1-2
50%
2-5
1-3
40%
49%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 35.8
14
7
2
3
0
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
41%
0-1
0%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 21.2
14
1
1-2
44%
Kostas Papanikolaou
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.3
6
0
0-1
42%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.6
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 21.3
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 26.2
39
38
19
6
3
1
2
1
1
3
3
8-8
100%
4-12
5-11
33%
50%
1-4
25%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.2
37
33
12
2
9
0
1
0
2
0
2
6-8
75%
3-15
6-13
20%
48%
0-2
0%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 35.4
36
28
26
19
3
0
0
4
3
2
17
2-4
50%
12-19
6-12
63%
50%
0-0
-
Tony Snell
G · 6'7" 221 · 24.1
19
21
6
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-3
1-3
0%
45%
2-3
67%
Nikola Mirotic
F · 6'10" 238 · 24.8
5
25
3
3
0
1
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-0
3-5
-
50%
1-2
50%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 30.8
35
22
9
11
1
0
1
4
3
5
6
3-4
75%
3-5
2-4
60%
48%
0-0
-
Doug McDermott
F · 6'8" 219 · 23.9
29
23
11
3
2
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
4-6
2-5
67%
50%
1-3
33%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.4
20
19
8
11
0
1
0
0
1
3
8
0-0
-
4-8
3-5
50%
51%
0-0
-
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 26.8
11
18
3
1
0
0
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
49%
1-2
50%
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 30.9
9
4
2
2
3
0
0
1
1
0
2
2-3
67%
0-2
1-1
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 34.9
12
0
1-2
43%
Bobby Portis
F · 6'11" 248 · 20.8
2
0
0-1
52%
Cristiano Felicio
C-F · 6'9" 280 · 23.4
1
0
0-0
53%
Cameron Bairstow
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 25.0
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 35.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.