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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 2, 2015
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Warriors
116
13Hornets
99
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 25.7
31
35
4
11
9
0
1
3
5
0
11
0-2
0%
2-5
3-7
40%
51%
0-4
0%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.7
31
33
40
3
5
0
2
0
5
0
3
4-4
100%
6-7
4-8
86%
52%
8-11
73%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 25.8
29
31
21
3
0
1
1
1
2
0
3
1-2
50%
4-8
3-7
50%
48%
4-10
40%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 31.0
23
19
4
11
2
0
0
1
0
3
8
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
54%
0-0
-
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 30.4
20
13
8
4
0
0
0
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
1-1
1-2
100%
45%
2-3
67%
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 30.2
25
19
6
3
7
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
50%
0-1
0%
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 31.8
19
25
8
3
3
1
1
1
0
3
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
54%
2-4
50%
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 26.1
16
20
9
6
0
0
0
0
1
3
3
3-3
100%
3-7
3-5
43%
53%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 33.0
11
16
2
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
0-1
0%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 28.3
11
8
6
3
3
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
3-7
2-4
43%
46%
0-0
-
James Michael McAdoo
· 6'9" 230 · 22.9
9
3
6
0
0
0
0
1
2
0
0
0-0
-
3-6
0-1
50%
49%
0-0
-
Ian Clark
G · 6'3" 175 · 24.7
8
8
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
1-1
100%
43%
0-0
-
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 29.4
6
4
0
4
0
0
0
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
47%
0-0
-
Kevon Looney
F · 6'9" 220 · 19.8
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 25.6
31
37
4
3
2
0
2
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-11
5-11
18%
43%
0-5
0%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 27.0
30
34
17
8
3
3
1
2
2
2
6
4-5
80%
5-9
3-6
56%
48%
1-6
17%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 29.5
30
32
6
6
1
1
1
1
0
3
3
2-2
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
48%
0-4
0%
Cody Zeller
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 23.2
17
17
6
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
2-6
2-4
33%
45%
0-0
-
PJ Hairston
F-G · 6'6" 230 · 22.9
5
16
0
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
41%
0-0
-
Frank Kaminsky
F-C · 7'0" 242 · 22.7
27
17
16
1
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
3-5
60%
2-5
2-3
40%
47%
3-3
100%
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 23.5
21
26
13
4
0
0
1
0
2
2
2
1-2
50%
3-8
3-6
38%
51%
2-5
40%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 27.6
20
11
12
5
2
0
0
0
1
2
3
2-2
100%
5-7
1-2
71%
45%
0-2
0%
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 30.0
20
2
5
6
5
2
0
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
1-6
0-0
17%
42%
1-1
100%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.3
13
21
5
0
3
1
1
1
1
0
0
2-4
50%
0-0
2-5
-
45%
1-2
50%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 30.1
11
4
8
3
1
2
0
1
1
1
2
2-4
50%
3-3
0-1
100%
45%
0-0
-
Troy Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 24.4
8
1
5
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
0-2
0-0
0%
44%
1-3
33%
Aaron Harrison
G · 6'6" 210 · 21.1
7
1
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-2
0%
1-1
0-0
100%
44%
0-0
-
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 22.2
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 30.9
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.