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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
December 3, 2015
9:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Spurs
103
9Grizzlies
83
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.4
33
31
27
8
3
2
2
1
1
0
8
2-2
100%
2-4
6-11
50%
52%
7-9
78%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 30.4
33
26
18
4
0
0
0
3
1
2
2
4-6
67%
7-14
5-12
50%
46%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 39.6
31
25
6
10
5
1
1
3
1
1
9
0-0
-
3-6
3-7
50%
50%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.4
25
26
2
2
2
0
1
0
2
1
1
2-2
100%
0-2
1-3
0%
44%
0-3
0%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.5
24
24
17
7
5
0
1
0
1
3
4
1-2
50%
8-12
4-8
67%
50%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 38.3
22
16
13
3
4
1
1
0
3
0
3
3-4
75%
2-5
2-3
40%
49%
2-2
100%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.3
20
21
4
2
2
2
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
47%
0-3
0%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.2
15
15
0
2
4
0
1
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
43%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 33.6
14
20
2
3
0
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-4
2-5
25%
51%
0-0
-
Jonathon Simmons
F · 6'6" 195 · 26.2
8
13
3
3
2
0
0
0
1
0
3
1-2
50%
1-1
1-3
100%
46%
0-0
-
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.3
7
16
6
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
48%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 35.7
4
4
5
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
0-0
33%
47%
1-1
100%
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 27.3
4
5
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
50%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 36.5
Ray McCallum
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 30.8
34
38
15
8
2
2
1
3
5
2
6
1-2
50%
7-11
6-13
64%
47%
0-0
-
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 34.4
29
22
9
6
1
0
1
0
1
3
3
1-2
50%
4-10
4-9
40%
46%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 28.1
28
30
15
5
4
0
1
2
1
1
4
5-5
100%
5-11
4-8
45%
46%
0-2
0%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.3
27
29
10
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
3-9
3-7
33%
44%
1-2
50%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 33.9
17
19
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
48%
0-0
-
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 30.2
31
26
6
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-7
3-6
43%
48%
0-2
0%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 35.7
20
27
4
2
2
0
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
52%
0-1
0%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 29.5
20
19
15
5
2
2
1
0
1
2
3
8-8
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
46%
1-6
17%
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 25.5
13
15
4
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
46%
0-1
0%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 38.9
11
11
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
41%
0-1
0%
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 25.4
6
0
3
2
1
1
0
1
0
0
2
3-4
75%
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-1
0%
Russ Smith
G · 6'0" 165 · 24.6
4
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
0-0
50%
40%
0-0
-
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 28.2
4
0
1-1
60%
Jordan Adams
G · 6'5" 209 · 21.4
Jarell Martin
F · 6'10" 239 · 21.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.