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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 5, 2015
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Cavaliers51%10384
16Heat49%10299
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 35.5
38
16
16
3
2
1
0
0
1
0
3
4-9
44%
6-11
1-2
55%
46%
0-7
0%
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 25.2
28
32
11
2
5
0
1
1
3
0
2
2-2
100%
3-8
2-4
38%
39%
1-3
33%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 30.2
27
34
12
2
2
0
1
0
2
2
0
3-4
75%
3-7
2-5
43%
44%
1-5
20%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 27.2
22
32
5
8
2
0
1
0
3
3
5
1-1
100%
2-7
3-7
29%
47%
0-4
0%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 29.4
21
14
8
4
0
2
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
4-6
2-4
67%
51%
0-0
-
Jared Cunningham
G · 6'4" 194 · 24.5
32
3
11
0
1
2
0
0
2
0
0
4-4
100%
2-5
0-1
40%
40%
1-3
33%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 24.7
22
29
6
6
0
1
0
0
0
2
4
0-2
0%
3-4
3-6
75%
51%
0-0
-
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 35.2
14
12
6
2
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-1
0%
34%
2-4
50%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 33.2
14
6
0
6
0
1
0
0
0
0
6
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
0-0
-
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 33.0
12
23
5
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-5
3-6
20%
44%
1-2
50%
Sasha Kaun
C · 6'11" 260 · 30.6
8
0
4
3
0
0
0
0
1
2
1
2-2
100%
1-2
0-0
50%
50%
0-0
-
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 30.9
38
1
8-16
52%
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 25.4
Joe Harris
F-G · 6'6" 219 · 24.2
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 23.7
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 31.7
36
34
14
6
3
0
1
2
3
0
6
3-5
60%
4-5
5-10
80%
52%
1-1
100%
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 29.6
31
33
17
2
8
0
1
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
4-6
4-8
67%
53%
3-5
60%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 33.9
29
31
19
5
4
1
1
0
1
1
4
3-5
60%
8-14
8-15
57%
50%
0-0
-
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 29.9
26
28
12
3
1
1
1
1
1
0
3
1-2
50%
4-8
3-6
50%
47%
1-4
25%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.5
21
28
7
9
0
1
1
5
0
2
7
3-7
43%
2-3
5-8
67%
59%
0-0
-
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 23.6
30
19
19
5
2
1
1
1
2
0
5
5-6
83%
4-5
2-4
80%
48%
2-5
40%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 35.5
20
2
0
5
1
0
0
0
1
0
5
0-0
-
0-4
0-0
0%
48%
0-0
-
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 28.8
19
19
6
4
2
1
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
2-3
1-2
67%
53%
0-0
-
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 19.7
18
31
3
1
0
0
1
0
1
0
1
1-2
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
50%
0-1
0%
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 22.2
8
6
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 33.4
4
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
50%
0-0
-
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 37.4
2
0
0-0
57%
Jarnell Stokes
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 21.9
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 30.6
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.