Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Thursday, December 10, 2015
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | 76ers | 38% | 101 | 91 | |
28 | Nets | 62% | 106 | 100 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Clippers | 80 | |||
14 | Bulls | 83 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Hawks | 35% | 105 | 94 | |
5 | Thunder | 65% | 110 | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Knicks | 97 | |||
18 | Kings | 99 |
Wednesday, December 9, 2015
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Bulls | 38% | 103 | 100 | |
6 | Celtics | 62% | 108 | 105 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Heat | 81 | |||
12 | Hornets | 99 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Rockets | 43% | 107 | 109 | |
17 | Wizards | 57% | 110 | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Grizzlies | 93 | |||
18 | Pistons | 92 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Spurs | 60% | 101 | 94 | |
10 | Raptors | 40% | 97 | 97 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Clippers | 109 | |||
27 | Bucks | 95 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Lakers | 33% | 103 | 122 | |
22 | Timberwolves | 67% | 109 | 123 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Magic | 104 | |||
23 | Suns | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Knicks | 40% | 100 | 85 | |
14 | Jazz | 60% | 104 | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Hawks | 98 | |||
7 | Mavericks | 95 |
Tuesday, December 8, 2015
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Trail Blazers | 29% | 102 | 100 | |
3 | Cavaliers | 71% | 109 | 105 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Warriors | 131 | |||
9 | Pacers | 123 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Rockets | 64% | 110 | 105 | |
28 | Nets | 36% | 106 | 110 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Thunder | 125 | |||
12 | Grizzlies | 88 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Magic | 51% | 106 | 85 | |
26 | Nuggets | 49% | 105 | 74 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Jazz | 106 | |||
21 | Kings | 114 |
Monday, December 7, 2015
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Pistons | 84 | |||
13 | Hornets | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Spurs | 76% | 104 | 119 | |
30 | 76ers | 24% | 94 | 68 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Wizards | 114 | |||
16 | Heat | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Mavericks | 55% | 107 | 104 | |
25 | Knicks | 45% | 105 | 97 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Lakers | 93 | |||
11 | Raptors | 102 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Suns | 32% | 102 | 103 | |
14 | Bulls | 68% | 109 | 101 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Trail Blazers | 88 | |||
27 | Bucks | 90 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Clippers | 58% | 108 | 110 | |
22 | Timberwolves | 42% | 105 | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Celtics | 111 | |||
18 | Pelicans | 93 |
Sunday, December 6, 2015
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Suns | 34% | 102 | 93 | |
11 | Grizzlies | 66% | 107 | 95 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Warriors | 114 | |||
28 | Nets | 98 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Lakers | 28% | 103 | 91 | |
17 | Pistons | 72% | 111 | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Mavericks | 116 | |||
18 | Wizards | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Kings | 22% | 107 | 95 | |
4 | Thunder | 78% | 118 | 98 |
Saturday, December 5, 2015
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Nuggets | 54% | 103 | 108 | |
30 | 76ers | 46% | 101 | 105 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Warriors | 112 | |||
12 | Raptors | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Cavaliers | 51% | 103 | 84 | |
16 | Heat | 49% | 102 | 99 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Hornets | 102 | |||
13 | Bulls | 96 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Kings | 38% | 108 | 113 | |
8 | Rockets | 62% | 113 | 120 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Trail Blazers | 109 | |||
22 | Timberwolves | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Knicks | 51% | 102 | 91 | |
27 | Bucks | 49% | 101 | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Celtics | 105 | |||
2 | Spurs | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Pacers | 52% | 102 | 119 | |
14 | Jazz | 48% | 101 | 122 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Magic | 101 | |||
5 | Clippers | 103 |
Friday, December 4, 2015
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Nets | 43% | 102 | 91 | |
25 | Knicks | 57% | 104 | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Suns | 106 | |||
18 | Wizards | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Bucks | 28% | 98 | 95 | |
17 | Pistons | 72% | 106 | 102 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Lakers | 87 | |||
6 | Hawks | 100 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Rockets | 40% | 107 | 100 | |
9 | Mavericks | 60% | 111 | 96 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Cavaliers | 108 | |||
20 | Pelicans | 114 |
Thursday, December 3, 2015
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Thunder | 54% | 107 | 95 | |
16 | Heat | 46% | 105 | 97 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Nuggets | 106 | |||
8 | Raptors | 105 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Magic | 31% | 98 | 103 | |
13 | Jazz | 69% | 105 | 94 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Spurs | 103 | |||
9 | Grizzlies | 83 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Pacers | 54% | 105 | 111 | |
21 | Trail Blazers | 46% | 104 | 123 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Celtics | 114 | |||
19 | Kings | 97 |
Wednesday, December 2, 2015
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Warriors | 116 | |||
13 | Hornets | 99 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Lakers | 27% | 103 | 108 | |
18 | Wizards | 73% | 111 | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Suns | 122 | |||
17 | Pistons | 127 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | 76ers | 30% | 97 | 87 | |
24 | Knicks | 70% | 105 | 99 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Raptors | 96 | |||
7 | Hawks | 86 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Nuggets | 28% | 99 | 90 | |
14 | Bulls | 72% | 107 | 99 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Pelicans | 101 | |||
6 | Rockets | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Bucks | 14% | 91 | 70 | |
2 | Spurs | 86% | 106 | 95 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Pacers | 103 | |||
5 | Clippers | 91 |
Tuesday, December 1, 2015
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Wizards | 97 | |||
3 | Cavaliers | 85 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Lakers | 51% | 105 | 91 | |
30 | 76ers | 49% | 104 | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Suns | 91 | |||
26 | Nets | 94 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Magic | 45% | 104 | 96 | |
22 | Timberwolves | 55% | 106 | 93 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Grizzlies | 113 | |||
21 | Pelicans | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Mavericks | 49% | 106 | 115 | |
19 | Trail Blazers | 51% | 107 | 112 |
Monday, November 30, 2015
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Rockets | 105 | |||
17 | Pistons | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Celtics | 39% | 102 | 105 | |
16 | Heat | 61% | 106 | 95 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Thunder | 100 | |||
8 | Hawks | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Spurs | 61% | 102 | 89 | |
14 | Bulls | 39% | 98 | 92 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Nuggets | 74 | |||
28 | Bucks | 92 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Warriors | 65% | 105 | 106 | |
15 | Jazz | 35% | 100 | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Mavericks | 98 | |||
19 | Kings | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Trail Blazers | 33% | 105 | 87 | |
4 | Clippers | 67% | 111 | 102 |
Sunday, November 29, 2015
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Bucks | 82 | |||
12 | Hornets | 87 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Timberwolves | 21% | 103 | 99 | |
4 | Clippers | 79% | 114 | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Pistons | 83 | |||
27 | Nets | 87 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Celtics | 60% | 108 | 91 | |
25 | Magic | 40% | 104 | 110 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Suns | 107 | |||
7 | Raptors | 102 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | 76ers | 21% | 94 | 84 | |
8 | Grizzlies | 79% | 105 | 92 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Rockets | 116 | |||
23 | Knicks | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Pacers | 74% | 110 | 107 | |
28 | Lakers | 26% | 101 | 103 |
Saturday, November 28, 2015
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Raptors | 60% | 107 | 84 | |
20 | Wizards | 40% | 104 | 82 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Nets | 88 | |||
3 | Cavaliers | 90 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Nuggets | 20% | 102 | 81 | |
11 | Mavericks | 80% | 113 | 92 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Hawks | 88 | |||
2 | Spurs | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Pelicans | 32% | 102 | 87 | |
15 | Jazz | 68% | 108 | 101 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Lakers | 96 | |||
17 | Trail Blazers | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Kings | 13% | 102 | 101 | |
1 | Warriors | 87% | 118 | 120 |
Friday, November 27, 2015
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Cavaliers | 54% | 107 | 95 | |
12 | Hornets | 46% | 106 | 90 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Bucks | 90 | |||
26 | Magic | 114 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Wizards | 41% | 107 | 78 | |
13 | Celtics | 59% | 110 | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Heat | 97 | |||
23 | Knicks | 78 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Bulls | 39% | 101 | 92 | |
10 | Pacers | 61% | 105 | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | 76ers | 114 | |||
8 | Rockets | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Hawks | 41% | 101 | 116 | |
6 | Grizzlies | 59% | 104 | 101 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Pistons | 87 | |||
5 | Thunder | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Spurs | 77% | 109 | 91 | |
25 | Nuggets | 23% | 99 | 80 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Warriors | 135 | |||
22 | Suns | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Timberwolves | 40% | 107 | 101 | |
19 | Kings | 60% | 111 | 91 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Pelicans | 90 | |||
4 | Clippers | 111 |