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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
December 5, 2015
1:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Nuggets54%103108
3076ers46%101105
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 27.3
39
34
24
7
1
1
1
1
0
2
5
7-9
78%
4-5
4-8
80%
45%
3-9
33%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 32.2
36
27
11
5
1
1
1
0
1
1
4
3-3
100%
4-6
2-4
67%
42%
0-4
0%
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 19.8
31
29
10
5
6
1
1
0
7
2
3
1-2
50%
3-9
4-10
33%
40%
1-3
33%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.7
21
24
8
3
2
2
1
1
1
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
3-7
50%
45%
2-4
50%
Joffrey Lauvergne
C · 6'11" 260 · 24.2
9
18
2
2
1
1
1
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
47%
0-0
-
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 24.9
33
28
16
9
1
1
1
0
2
0
9
5-6
83%
4-6
4-7
67%
48%
1-5
20%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 33.8
26
22
10
2
3
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-5
2-4
40%
46%
2-4
50%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 26.0
22
16
12
9
2
0
1
2
3
5
4
4-9
44%
4-8
3-6
50%
54%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 35.8
16
10
8
1
6
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-0
100%
45%
2-2
100%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 27.2
7
9
7
4
2
1
0
0
0
1
3
3-9
33%
2-4
1-3
50%
51%
0-0
-
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 20.8
15
1
2-5
50%
Kostas Papanikolaou
F · 6'8" 235 · 25.3
3
0
0-0
43%
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 21.3
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.6
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 21.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 21.7
31
24
14
5
0
0
1
2
5
1
4
4-7
57%
5-8
4-8
63%
47%
0-0
-
Robert Covington
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.0
30
31
18
10
2
2
2
1
3
1
9
1-2
50%
1-1
2-5
100%
46%
5-12
42%
T.J. McConnell
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.7
30
23
10
8
6
3
1
0
2
0
8
1-2
50%
3-8
2-4
38%
50%
1-2
50%
Jerami Grant
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.7
29
26
10
1
2
4
1
2
1
0
1
2-4
50%
4-7
3-5
57%
48%
0-1
0%
Isaiah Canaan
G · 6'0" 200 · 24.5
24
30
15
1
1
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
42%
5-8
63%
Nik Stauskas
G · 6'6" 205 · 22.2
28
17
9
3
1
1
0
1
1
0
3
1-2
50%
1-2
1-2
50%
44%
2-4
50%
Hollis Thompson
F · 6'8" 206 · 24.7
23
27
2
2
6
0
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
45%
0-2
0%
JaKarr Sampson
F · 6'9" 207 · 22.7
17
17
13
6
1
0
1
0
0
3
3
6-8
75%
2-4
2-4
50%
53%
1-1
100%
Richaun Holmes
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 22.1
14
11
10
4
0
0
0
1
0
2
2
1-1
100%
3-3
1-2
100%
51%
1-1
100%
Tony Wroten
G · 6'6" 205 · 22.6
13
13
4
0
3
0
1
0
5
0
0
0-0
-
2-7
2-4
29%
48%
0-0
-
Jahlil Okafor
C · 6'11" 260 · 20.0
21
0
5-10
50%
Christian Wood
F · 6'9" 214 · 20.2
3
0
0-1
49%
Joel Embiid
C · 7'0" 250 · 21.7
Kendall Marshall
G · 6'4" 200 · 24.3
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 32.2
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.