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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
December 16, 2015
8:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Wizards21%9695
2Spurs79%108114
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 31.8
40
29
20
10
2
1
1
3
1
2
8
2-2
100%
9-15
5-9
60%
51%
0-0
-
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 25.3
38
34
20
5
11
1
2
0
5
1
4
7-8
88%
5-15
5-11
33%
44%
1-3
33%
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.9
29
10
8
9
1
0
0
0
2
3
6
0-0
-
4-6
1-2
67%
45%
0-2
0%
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 22.5
23
31
2
2
1
3
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
3-7
25%
47%
0-2
0%
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 31.2
22
26
8
3
2
0
0
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
3-10
3-7
30%
41%
0-0
-
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 29.7
25
24
10
2
4
1
1
0
2
0
2
4-5
80%
3-6
2-5
50%
42%
0-0
-
Kelly Oubre Jr.
F · 6'7" 205 · 20.0
25
10
18
3
0
0
0
0
0
2
1
4-4
100%
4-8
1-2
50%
40%
2-7
29%
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 30.4
19
29
2
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
2-4
100%
47%
0-0
-
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 29.6
11
21
3
0
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1-2
50%
1-1
1-3
100%
41%
0-1
0%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 26.7
8
13
4
2
0
0
1
0
2
1
1
2-2
100%
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
0-0
-
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 31.2
3
0
0-1
57%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 34.2
2
0
0-1
38%
Nene Hilario
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 33.3
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 22.5
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 33.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.5
38
28
27
3
4
4
2
0
1
0
3
5-6
83%
5-8
5-9
63%
54%
4-7
57%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 30.4
33
26
14
6
1
1
0
0
0
1
5
2-2
100%
6-12
6-12
50%
49%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.6
26
23
10
4
10
1
1
1
3
2
2
0-0
-
5-11
4-8
45%
52%
0-2
0%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.3
25
14
9
10
1
1
0
2
0
3
7
1-2
50%
4-7
2-4
57%
50%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.5
19
21
7
4
0
0
1
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-2
1-3
100%
46%
1-5
20%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 33.7
21
19
6
5
1
1
0
1
1
0
5
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
53%
0-1
0%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.3
19
19
11
0
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
3-3
100%
4-6
2-3
67%
51%
0-2
0%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 38.4
18
14
11
3
8
1
1
0
3
0
3
2-2
100%
3-4
2-3
75%
52%
1-3
33%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.2
17
15
6
1
2
0
1
2
1
0
1
2-4
50%
2-3
1-3
67%
47%
0-0
-
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 27.3
15
7
7
6
0
0
0
2
1
2
4
3-4
75%
2-4
1-3
50%
56%
0-0
-
Jonathon Simmons
F · 6'6" 195 · 26.3
4
19
3
0
1
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
49%
1-1
100%
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 36.6
3
10
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 35.7
2
11
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
1-1
100%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 39.6
Ray McCallum
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.