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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
January 1, 2016
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
9Mavericks47%10482
15Heat53%105106
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 29.2
31
29
12
4
1
0
1
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
48%
4-7
57%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 27.2
27
32
4
5
4
0
1
1
0
1
4
0-0
-
2-5
3-7
40%
51%
0-3
0%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 37.5
27
28
11
3
1
1
1
0
0
1
2
3-3
100%
4-12
4-8
33%
49%
0-2
0%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 31.5
26
29
6
0
5
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
3-4
3-7
75%
45%
0-5
0%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 31.9
25
27
14
13
1
1
1
1
2
4
9
4-5
80%
5-9
3-7
56%
46%
0-0
-
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 31.5
22
24
4
3
5
0
1
0
0
1
2
2-2
100%
1-3
2-5
33%
45%
0-1
0%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 31.4
21
10
9
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
49%
1-6
17%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.5
20
18
9
1
5
0
1
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
1-4
2-4
25%
44%
2-5
40%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 24.5
14
19
1
5
0
1
1
0
0
5
0
1-2
50%
0-5
3-5
0%
51%
0-0
-
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 28.0
9
7
6
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-5
1-2
60%
53%
0-0
-
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.8
8
5
6
1
0
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-3
0-1
100%
50%
0-1
0%
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 28.2
6
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
55%
0-1
0%
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 32.8
3
19
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
49%
0-0
-
Salah Mejri
C · 7'2" 235 · 29.5
Justin Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 22.1
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 31.8
34
34
16
7
4
0
1
0
1
1
6
1-2
50%
3-10
5-10
30%
52%
3-6
50%
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.6
32
31
25
19
0
0
1
1
4
4
15
1-2
50%
12-16
5-8
75%
60%
0-0
-
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 29.7
31
34
15
4
7
3
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
6-10
4-8
60%
54%
1-2
50%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 30.7
30
30
9
4
1
0
1
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
49%
1-3
33%
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 23.7
25
20
8
3
0
0
1
0
2
1
2
1-2
50%
2-5
2-4
40%
49%
1-2
50%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 29.9
33
25
19
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
3
1-1
100%
6-9
2-5
67%
49%
2-4
50%
Beno Udrih
G · 6'3" 205 · 33.5
21
13
2
3
2
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
2-3
50%
50%
0-0
-
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 34.0
19
31
10
2
7
1
1
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
5-6
7-15
83%
50%
0-0
-
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33.1
9
9
0
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
53%
0-0
-
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 35.6
3
3
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
48%
0-0
-
Chris Andersen
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 37.5
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
58%
0-1
0%
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 19.8
23
1
1-2
51%
Jarnell Stokes
F-C · 6'9" 255 · 22.0
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 22.3
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 28.8
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.