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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 2, 2016
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Thunder59%108109
10Hornets41%10590
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kevin Durant
F · 6'9" 240 · 27.3
35
37
29
11
2
0
1
4
3
0
11
10-11
91%
5-10
7-12
50%
54%
3-3
100%
Serge Ibaka
F · 6'10" 235 · 26.3
31
31
14
5
0
0
0
4
3
1
4
10-10
100%
2-6
5-9
33%
53%
0-2
0%
Russell Westbrook
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.1
31
34
16
6
7
1
2
0
2
1
5
7-8
88%
3-12
7-15
25%
48%
1-3
33%
Steven Adams
C · 7'0" 255 · 22.5
17
23
8
9
1
0
0
3
2
2
7
0-0
-
4-4
2-5
100%
55%
0-0
-
Andre Roberson
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 24.1
15
23
0
4
1
0
1
1
0
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
2-3
-
56%
0-1
0%
Dion Waiters
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.1
25
24
10
4
5
0
1
0
1
2
2
1-3
33%
3-7
3-6
43%
45%
1-3
33%
Enes Kanter
C · 6'11" 245 · 23.6
24
19
12
4
0
0
0
3
0
1
3
0-0
-
6-11
4-7
55%
53%
0-0
-
Cameron Payne
G · 6'3" 185 · 21.4
20
12
7
3
3
1
0
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
3-4
1-3
75%
45%
0-1
0%
Anthony Morrow
G · 6'5" 210 · 30.3
18
11
12
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-1
0%
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
4-8
50%
Kyle Singler
F · 6'8" 228 · 27.7
15
7
1
1
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1-2
50%
0-0
0-1
-
41%
0-2
0%
Nick Collison
F · 6'10" 255 · 35.2
7
11
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
Mitch McGary
F · 6'10" 255 · 23.6
3
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
50%
0-0
-
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 28.1
5
0
0-1
42%
Josh Huestis
G · 6'7" 230 · 24.0
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 32.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 25.7
36
37
32
3
5
3
2
1
1
0
3
11-12
92%
9-19
5-11
47%
45%
1-5
20%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.4
34
14
15
1
4
1
0
1
0
0
1
4-6
67%
4-11
2-3
36%
46%
1-4
25%
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 29.5
28
25
4
8
1
0
1
2
0
2
6
0-0
-
2-4
2-3
50%
48%
0-1
0%
Cody Zeller
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 23.2
23
29
7
4
0
0
1
1
0
1
3
3-4
75%
2-5
4-7
40%
48%
0-0
-
PJ Hairston
F-G · 6'6" 230 · 23.0
21
20
10
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
41%
2-4
50%
Frank Kaminsky
F-C · 7'0" 242 · 22.7
33
26
6
6
2
0
1
0
2
0
6
2-4
50%
2-9
2-5
22%
50%
0-2
0%
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 23.6
25
22
9
3
4
1
1
1
1
1
2
2-2
100%
2-9
3-6
22%
51%
1-3
33%
Troy Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 24.5
18
2
3
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
40%
1-2
50%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 30.2
15
10
4
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
1
2-4
50%
1-1
1-2
100%
45%
0-0
-
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 30.1
4
12
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
44%
0-0
-
Aaron Harrison
G · 6'6" 210 · 21.2
4
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-1
0%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 27.1
38
1
4-7
49%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 27.7
6
0
1-1
46%
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 22.3
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 31.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.