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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with player e-skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 2, 2016
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Magic21%9879
4Cavaliers79%109104
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 23.2
28
31
9
1
2
0
1
0
3
0
1
4-4
100%
1-1
3-6
100%
47%
1-4
25%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.5
22
35
4
5
1
0
1
1
1
0
5
0-0
-
2-3
4-8
67%
49%
0-2
0%
Elfrid Payton
G · 6'4" 185 · 21.9
16
20
0
3
4
0
1
0
2
2
1
0-0
-
0-5
3-6
0%
43%
0-0
-
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 32.6
13
22
3
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
44%
1-4
25%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 25.2
13
33
4
3
1
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
8-16
40%
50%
0-0
-
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.1
28
12
6
6
0
0
0
0
0
1
5
1-2
50%
1-3
1-3
33%
48%
1-3
33%
Mario Hezonja
F-G · 6'8" 218 · 20.9
27
13
10
6
3
0
0
0
2
1
5
2-2
100%
1-5
1-2
20%
46%
2-6
33%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.3
26
21
11
7
2
0
1
0
1
1
6
0-0
-
4-8
2-5
50%
48%
1-2
50%
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 26.4
22
3
8
5
0
0
0
1
0
0
5
0-0
-
4-6
0-1
67%
49%
0-0
-
Shabazz Napier
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.5
18
6
10
4
1
1
0
0
2
0
4
6-6
100%
2-3
0-1
67%
39%
0-2
0%
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.7
14
28
6
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-1
0%
3-9
4-8
33%
44%
0-2
0%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 29.8
13
12
8
3
0
0
0
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
3-3
2-4
100%
46%
0-0
-
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 31.7
Devyn Marble
F · 6'6" 200 · 23.3
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 31.0
29
33
29
5
3
2
1
0
0
0
5
3-4
75%
7-11
8-15
64%
55%
4-7
57%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 27.3
29
30
10
13
2
1
1
0
1
1
12
5-8
63%
1-3
3-7
33%
50%
1-2
50%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 24.8
29
29
10
12
0
0
0
0
0
6
6
2-8
25%
4-6
3-6
67%
54%
0-0
-
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 23.8
21
24
13
2
5
0
1
0
1
1
1
5-7
71%
4-8
4-7
50%
48%
0-4
0%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 30.3
20
26
3
2
1
1
1
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
46%
1-5
20%
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 25.5
21
25
3
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
44%
1-2
50%
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 35.5
19
15
6
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-3
0%
0-1
1-2
0%
49%
2-4
50%
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 25.3
19
27
3
3
6
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
42%
1-5
20%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 35.2
18
7
10
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
3-3
100%
2-2
0-0
100%
38%
1-4
25%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 29.5
13
15
7
5
2
1
0
0
0
1
4
3-3
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
54%
0-0
-
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 33.0
8
11
8
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
3-3
100%
1-2
1-3
50%
47%
1-4
25%
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 33.3
7
5
0
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
52%
0-0
-
Jared Cunningham
G · 6'4" 194 · 24.6
7
4
2
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
0-1
33%
45%
0-0
-
Sasha Kaun
C · 6'11" 260 · 30.7
Joe Harris
F-G · 6'6" 219 · 24.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use e-skills to estimate a player's true skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about E-Skills here.