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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 2, 2016
8:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Rockets
103
1Spurs
121
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dwight Howard
C · 6'11" 265 · 30.1
37
34
22
12
2
0
1
0
2
2
10
10-17
59%
6-9
5-8
67%
55%
0-0
-
Patrick Beverley
G · 6'1" 185 · 27.5
31
26
10
5
7
1
1
0
0
2
3
3-6
50%
2-7
2-4
29%
41%
1-1
100%
James Harden
G · 6'5" 220 · 26.4
30
35
17
2
3
1
1
0
5
1
1
3-3
100%
4-5
5-11
80%
45%
2-5
40%
Clint Capela
C · 6'10" 240 · 21.6
26
25
8
7
0
1
1
4
0
1
6
0-0
-
4-6
3-6
67%
50%
0-0
-
Trevor Ariza
F-G · 6'8" 215 · 30.5
25
34
10
1
3
2
2
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-6
2-4
33%
45%
2-4
50%
Terrence Jones
F · 6'9" 252 · 24.0
27
14
8
2
3
0
0
0
3
0
2
2-2
100%
3-5
2-4
60%
48%
0-2
0%
Corey Brewer
F · 6'9" 186 · 29.8
19
15
11
2
2
0
1
0
2
1
1
2-3
67%
3-7
1-3
43%
45%
1-3
33%
Ty Lawson
G · 5'11" 195 · 28.2
18
20
6
3
6
1
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
1-3
75%
43%
0-2
0%
Jason Terry
G · 6'2" 185 · 38.3
16
7
9
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
45%
3-5
60%
Montrezl Harrell
F-C · 6'8" 240 · 21.9
5
2
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-2
0%
1-2
0-0
50%
44%
0-0
-
KJ McDaniels
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 22.9
5
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
40%
0-0
-
Marcus Thornton
G-F · 6'4" 205 · 28.6
15
1
2-4
43%
Donatas Motiejunas
F-C · 7'0" 220 · 25.3
13
0
2-3
49%
Sam Dekker
F · 6'9" 230 · 21.7
0
0
0-0
40%
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.5
34
32
22
6
2
0
2
0
3
1
5
4-5
80%
6-10
5-10
60%
55%
2-2
100%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 30.5
32
28
24
9
0
2
1
0
1
2
7
4-4
100%
10-16
6-12
63%
50%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.5
32
23
18
4
3
3
1
1
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
48%
6-8
75%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.6
27
25
2
4
10
0
1
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
0-4
4-8
0%
52%
0-2
0%
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 39.7
14
26
0
4
2
0
1
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
0-3
4-7
0%
52%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 33.7
25
21
20
8
2
2
0
0
1
3
5
2-2
100%
6-11
3-5
55%
55%
2-2
100%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.4
21
19
9
0
3
1
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
52%
3-9
33%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.3
21
20
10
1
2
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
5-6
3-6
83%
51%
0-0
-
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 38.4
16
20
8
2
5
1
1
0
0
2
0
4-4
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
52%
0-0
-
Jonathon Simmons
F · 6'6" 195 · 26.3
9
12
6
1
1
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
3-3
1-3
100%
51%
0-1
0%
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 27.4
4
12
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
58%
0-0
-
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.3
2
10
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
1-2
-
50%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 35.7
2
6
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 36.6
Ray McCallum
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.