Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	8	Rockets	24%	98	103	110.8	93	97.2
	1	Spurs	76%	108	121	130.1	93	89.2

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dwight Howard C · 6'11" 265 · 30	37.3	22	69%	12	2	0	0	2	1	2	10	10-17	59%	6-9	67%	0-0	-
Patrick Beverley G · 6'1" 185 · 27	31.0	10	45%	5	7	1	0	0	3	2	3	3-6	50%	2-7	29%	1-1	100%
James Harden G · 6'5" 220 · 26	30.4	17	77%	2	3	1	0	5	3	1	1	3-3	100%	4-5	80%	2-5	40%
Clint Capela F · 6'10" 256 · 22	25.9	8	67%	7	0	1	4	0	2	1	6	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Trevor Ariza F · 6'8" 215 · 31	25.1	10	50%	1	3	2	0	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	2-6	33%	2-4	50%

Terrence Jones F · 6'9" 252 · 24	26.5	8	50%	2	3	0	0	3	4	0	2	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	0-2	0%
Corey Brewer F · 6'9" 186 · 30	19.0	11	50%	2	2	0	0	2	4	1	1	2-3	67%	3-7	43%	1-3	33%
Ty Lawson G · 5'11" 195 · 28	18.0	6	50%	3	6	1	0	2	2	0	3	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-2	0%
Jason Terry G · 6'2" 185 · 38	16.3	9	90%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-5	60%
Montrezl Harrell F-C · 6'8" 240 · 22	5.3	2	33%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-2	0%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
KJ McDaniels G-F · 6'6" 205 · 23	5.3	0	0%	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Marcus Thornton G-F · 6'4" 205 · 29	\| NWT - Coach's Decision
Donatas Motiejunas F-C · 7'0" 220 · 25	\| DND - Sore Back
Sam Dekker F · 6'9" 230 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	103	56%	37	26	7	4	15	0	8	29	20-33	61%	28-52	54%	9-22	41%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

8 Houston Rockets

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Dwight Howard C · 6'11" 265 · 30	37.3	22	69%	12	2	0	0	2	1	2	10	10-17	59%	6-9	67%	0-0	-
Patrick Beverley G · 6'1" 185 · 27	31.0	10	45%	5	7	1	0	0	3	2	3	3-6	50%	2-7	29%	1-1	100%
James Harden G · 6'5" 220 · 26	30.4	17	77%	2	3	1	0	5	3	1	1	3-3	100%	4-5	80%	2-5	40%
Clint Capela F · 6'10" 256 · 22	25.9	8	67%	7	0	1	4	0	2	1	6	0-0	-	4-6	67%	0-0	-
Trevor Ariza F · 6'8" 215 · 31	25.1	10	50%	1	3	2	0	1	0	1	0	0-0	-	2-6	33%	2-4	50%

Terrence Jones F · 6'9" 252 · 24	26.5	8	50%	2	3	0	0	3	4	0	2	2-2	100%	3-5	60%	0-2	0%
Corey Brewer F · 6'9" 186 · 30	19.0	11	50%	2	2	0	0	2	4	1	1	2-3	67%	3-7	43%	1-3	33%
Ty Lawson G · 5'11" 195 · 28	18.0	6	50%	3	6	1	0	2	2	0	3	0-0	-	3-4	75%	0-2	0%
Jason Terry G · 6'2" 185 · 38	16.3	9	90%	2	0	0	0	0	1	0	2	0-0	-	0-0	-	3-5	60%
Montrezl Harrell F-C · 6'8" 240 · 22	5.3	2	33%	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0-2	0%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
KJ McDaniels G-F · 6'6" 205 · 23	5.3	0	0%	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-0	-
Marcus Thornton G-F · 6'4" 205 · 29	\| NWT - Coach's Decision
Donatas Motiejunas F-C · 7'0" 220 · 25	\| DND - Sore Back
Sam Dekker F · 6'9" 230 · 22	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	103	56%	37	26	7	4	15	0	8	29	20-33	61%	28-52	54%	9-22	41%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

1 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Kawhi Leonard F · 6'6" 225 · 25	34.2	22	79%	6	2	0	0	3	3	1	5	4-5	80%	6-10	60%	2-2	100%
LaMarcus Aldridge F · 6'11" 260 · 30	32.3	24	71%	9	0	2	0	1	3	2	7	4-4	100%	10-16	63%	0-0	-
Danny Green G · 6'6" 215 · 29	32.1	18	100%	4	3	3	1	1	2	0	4	0-0	-	0-1	0%	6-8	75%
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 34	26.9	2	14%	4	10	0	0	2	1	0	4	2-2	100%	0-4	0%	0-2	0%
Tim Duncan C · 6'11" 250 · 40	13.8	0	0%	4	2	0	0	1	1	0	4	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-0	-

Boris Diaw C-F · 6'8" 250 · 34	25.4	20	77%	8	2	2	0	1	3	3	5	2-2	100%	6-11	55%	2-2	100%
Patty Mills G · 6'0" 185 · 27	21.5	9	45%	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	3-9	33%
David West F · 6'9" 250 · 35	20.5	10	83%	1	2	0	0	0	3	0	1	0-0	-	5-6	83%	0-0	-
Manu Ginobili G · 6'6" 205 · 38	16.0	8	57%	2	5	1	0	0	3	2	0	4-4	100%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Jonathon Simmons F · 6'6" 195 · 26	9.2	6	75%	1	1	0	1	1	2	0	1	0-0	-	3-3	100%	0-1	0%
Boban Marjanović C · 7'3" 290 · 27	4.0	0	0%	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Kyle Anderson F-G · 6'8" 230 · 22	2.1	2	100%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2-2	100%	0-0	-	0-0	-
Matt Bonner C-F · 6'10" 235 · 36	2.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Rasual Butler #18 · F · 6'7" 215 · 37	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Ray McCallum #3 · G · 6'3" 190 · 25	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	121	64%	39	31	9	2	11	0	8	31	18-19	95%	32-62	52%	13-24	54%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	SAS
Clock	Team	Event	HOU	SAS

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU

1.12 56.0%

SAS

1.29 64.4%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

HOU

18

31

58%

SAS

18

31

58%

Midrange

HOU

10

21

48%

SAS

14

31

45%

3PT | Effective 3PT

HOU

9

13.5

22

41%

61%

SAS

13

19.5

24

54%

81%

Free Throws

HOU

20

33

61%

SAS

18

19

95%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Rockets

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
D. Howard	22	69%	11.0 / 16
J. Harden	17	77%	8.5 / 11
C. Brewer	11	50%	5.5 / 11
P. Beverley	10	45%	5.0 / 11
T. Ariza	10	50%	5.0 / 10
J. Terry	9	90%	4.5 / 5
C. Capela	8	67%	4.0 / 6
T. Jones	8	50%	4.0 / 8
T. Lawson	6	50%	3.0 / 6
M. Harrell	2	33%	1.0 / 3
K. McDaniels	0	-	0.0 / 1

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
L. Aldridge	24	71%	12.0 / 17
K. Leonard	22	79%	11.0 / 14
B. Diaw	20	77%	10.0 / 13
D. Green	18	100%	9.0 / 9
D. West	10	83%	5.0 / 6
P. Mills	9	45%	4.5 / 10
M. Ginobili	8	57%	4.0 / 7
J. Simmons	6	75%	3.0 / 4
T. Parker	2	14%	1.0 / 7
K. Anderson	2	100%	1.0 / 1
T. Duncan	0	-	0.0 / 3
B. Marjanovic	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	7 108.1 5 110.2	HOU 110.8 SAS 130.1 +19.4
Pace	6 97.9 24 94.0	HOU 97.2 +8.0 SAS 89.2
Avg. Poss. Time	26 14.2 2 16.2	HOU 14.8 −1.3 SAS 16.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	7 51.6% 2 52.6%	HOU 56.1% SAS 59.9% +3.8%
TO %	27 15.5% 5 13.3%	HOU 15.3% SAS 10.4% −4.9%
ORB %	6 25.7% 23 23.0%	HOU 20.5% SAS 21.6% +1.1%
FTrt	1 35.2 26 24.6	HOU 44.6 +22.5 SAS 22.1
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	15 58.9% 7 61.1%	HOU 70.3% +1.4% SAS 68.9%
STL %	1 10.2% 8 8.8%	HOU 7.5% SAS 9.7% +2.2%
BLK %	10 9.0% 4 9.6%	HOU 6.5% +2.7% SAS 3.8%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.6 and 2.6.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	7 53.7% 3 54.9%	HOU 56.0% SAS 64.4% +8.4%
Rim FG%	12 58.5% 1 62.8%	HOU 58.1% SAS 58.1%
Mid FG%	23 38.9% 2 43.2%	HOU 47.6% +2.4% SAS 45.2%
3P %	19 34.7% 2 37.5%	HOU 40.9% SAS 54.2% +13.3%
FT %	27 69.5% 2 80.3%	HOU 60.6% SAS 94.7% +34.1%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	4 40.0% 25 32.7%	HOU 41.9% +5.8% SAS 36.0%
Mid Att. %	1 23.0% 30 44.9%	HOU 28.4% −7.7% SAS 36.0%
3P Att. %	1 37.0% 25 22.3%	HOU 29.7% +1.8% SAS 27.9%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.47 and 2.47.

Game Totals	HOU	SAS
Possessions	93	93
Possession Minutes	23.0	25.0
Points	103	121
Rebounds	37	39
Assists	26	31
Steals	7	9
Blocks	4	2
Turnovers (Team)	15 (1)	11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	8 (5)	8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	29 (1)	31 (1)
Field Goals	37-74	45-86
At-the-Rim FG	18-31	18-31
Midrange FG	10-21	14-31
2-Point FG	28-52	32-62
3-Point FG	9-22	13-24
Free Throws	20-33	18-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg