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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Saturday
January 2, 2016
9:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Grizzlies52%9887
16Jazz48%9792
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 30.9
45
33
20
7
4
0
1
2
4
2
5
4-5
80%
8-20
6-13
40%
47%
0-0
-
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.3
44
29
6
10
0
0
1
0
2
1
9
0-2
0%
3-5
3-7
60%
46%
0-5
0%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 30.2
41
25
17
2
2
3
1
0
1
0
2
5-6
83%
3-6
2-5
50%
49%
2-3
67%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 28.2
41
31
15
4
4
1
1
1
1
1
3
3-6
50%
3-10
4-9
30%
46%
2-6
33%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 34.0
36
25
13
8
2
3
2
0
0
1
7
2-3
67%
4-8
3-6
50%
47%
1-1
100%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 34.5
24
27
8
5
3
1
1
0
1
1
4
0-4
0%
4-10
5-10
40%
47%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 29.6
12
20
8
0
1
0
1
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
2-2
100%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 38.9
9
10
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
41%
0-1
0%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 31.2
6
7
0
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
58%
0-0
-
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 25.5
6
13
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
48%
0-0
-
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 35.8
17
1
1-2
53%
Jordan Adams
G · 6'5" 209 · 21.5
2
0
0-0
42%
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 25.5
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 28.2
Jarell Martin
F · 6'10" 239 · 21.6
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Rodney Hood
G · 6'8" 206 · 23.2
44
29
32
8
0
1
1
1
2
1
7
7-8
88%
5-10
3-6
50%
49%
5-10
50%
Gordon Hayward
F · 6'8" 226 · 25.8
42
34
14
5
4
1
1
0
2
0
5
3-4
75%
4-6
4-9
67%
48%
1-4
25%
Jeff Withey
· 7'0" 231 · 25.8
32
26
12
10
2
1
1
4
3
3
7
2-4
50%
5-9
3-6
56%
53%
0-0
-
Raul Neto
G · 6'1" 179 · 23.6
20
17
2
1
2
0
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-4
1-3
25%
46%
0-3
0%
Trey Lyles
F · 6'10" 234 · 20.2
19
23
7
3
1
0
0
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
1-1
2-4
100%
46%
1-1
100%
Trevor Booker
F · 6'8" 228 · 28.1
35
27
4
11
3
0
1
2
2
4
7
4-6
67%
0-1
3-5
0%
52%
0-0
-
Trey Burke
G · 6'1" 191 · 23.1
32
28
9
2
2
1
1
0
2
0
2
3-4
75%
3-10
4-8
30%
45%
0-3
0%
Tibor Pleiss
C · 7'3" 256 · 26.2
17
1
6
6
1
0
0
0
2
1
5
0-0
-
3-4
0-0
75%
52%
0-0
-
Joe Ingles
F · 6'8" 226 · 28.3
16
17
3
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
50%
1-5
20%
Chris Johnson
F · 6'6" 206 · 25.7
8
13
3
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-2
0%
51%
1-1
100%
Derrick Favors
F-C · 6'10" 265 · 24.5
11
0
2-4
53%
Elijah Millsap
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 28.4
6
0
0-1
41%
Dante Exum
G · 6'6" 190 · 20.5
Alec Burks
G · 6'6" 214 · 24.5
Rudy Gobert
C · 7'1" 245 · 23.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.