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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Tuesday
January 5, 2016
8:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Kings33%107116
11Mavericks67%113117
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 25.4
49
32
35
17
4
6
1
1
10
3
14
3-6
50%
13-24
7-15
54%
47%
2-6
33%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 29.4
48
33
31
5
1
1
1
0
2
0
5
2-2
100%
10-17
5-11
59%
47%
3-3
100%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.4
47
29
14
4
12
2
1
0
3
0
4
2-3
67%
6-10
4-8
60%
49%
0-4
0%
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 22.9
19
15
4
1
3
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
48%
0-2
0%
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 25.2
16
7
12
6
0
1
0
0
0
3
3
3-3
100%
3-3
1-1
100%
47%
1-1
100%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 29.8
43
28
14
9
3
3
1
0
0
1
8
0-0
-
1-4
3-5
25%
48%
4-13
31%
Seth Curry
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.4
36
5
6
3
2
2
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-4
0-1
0%
43%
2-3
67%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.9
17
20
0
4
1
0
1
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
3-6
-
51%
0-0
-
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 26.8
14
8
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
45%
0-0
-
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 29.9
35
2
4-8
47%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.5
20
1
2-3
50%
Willie Cauley-Stein
C · 7'0" 240 · 22.4
13
0
1-2
53%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 35.8
2
0
0-0
39%
Eric Moreland
F-C · 6'10" 238 · 24.0
Duje Dukan
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.1
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.5
43
20
25
2
4
2
1
0
5
1
1
2-4
50%
7-12
2-5
58%
46%
3-6
50%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 37.5
43
29
23
5
3
0
1
0
1
0
5
5-6
83%
6-12
5-9
50%
51%
2-7
29%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 29.2
43
31
20
3
4
2
1
0
0
0
3
4-5
80%
5-9
2-4
56%
50%
2-4
50%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 31.9
40
28
9
17
0
5
1
0
3
6
11
1-2
50%
4-11
4-8
36%
49%
0-0
-
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 27.2
29
31
10
6
4
0
1
0
2
1
5
2-4
50%
1-6
3-6
17%
53%
2-4
50%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 31.5
35
24
5
7
2
1
1
0
3
0
7
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
47%
1-2
50%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 31.5
23
27
7
1
3
0
1
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
2-6
3-7
33%
47%
1-4
25%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 28.0
17
10
13
11
0
2
0
2
0
4
7
1-2
50%
6-8
2-3
75%
55%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 32.9
17
12
5
3
2
1
1
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
51%
1-2
50%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 24.5
14
0
2-4
53%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 31.4
12
0
1-3
51%
John Jenkins
G · 6'4" 215 · 24.8
5
0
0-1
53%
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 28.2
3
0
0-1
57%
Salah Mejri
C · 7'2" 235 · 29.6
Justin Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 22.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.