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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
January 21, 2016
9:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Grizzlies
102
24Nuggets
101
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 35.9
36
25
7
7
5
3
1
1
1
1
6
0-0
-
2-3
2-3
67%
54%
1-7
14%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 31.0
35
38
27
4
6
1
1
3
3
0
4
9-10
90%
9-14
8-16
64%
48%
0-0
-
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 30.3
35
28
10
4
0
1
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
4-4
3-5
100%
50%
0-2
0%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 34.5
29
26
13
6
0
0
1
1
3
2
4
3-4
75%
5-7
5-11
71%
48%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 28.3
27
18
20
3
2
1
1
0
0
1
2
8-10
80%
3-6
2-5
50%
47%
2-3
67%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.4
21
26
9
4
1
0
1
0
3
0
4
2-3
67%
2-7
3-7
29%
47%
1-2
50%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 29.7
21
27
5
3
6
1
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
48%
1-4
25%
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 25.6
14
7
7
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
1-2
67%
50%
1-1
100%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 31.3
13
7
4
4
0
0
0
1
0
0
4
0-0
-
2-3
1-1
67%
59%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 39.0
8
10
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
42%
0-2
0%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 34.0
28
2
3-6
48%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 28.3
5
0
1-1
61%
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 25.6
Jordan Adams
G · 6'5" 209 · 21.5
Jarell Martin
F · 6'10" 239 · 21.7
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 19.9
33
29
14
3
8
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-2
0%
4-8
4-9
50%
41%
2-5
40%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 27.5
31
33
17
3
0
0
1
0
1
1
2
4-4
100%
2-6
4-8
33%
46%
3-9
33%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 26.2
24
26
17
12
0
0
1
1
0
3
9
1-3
33%
8-12
5-9
67%
53%
0-0
-
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 21.4
21
33
7
2
4
1
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-6
3-6
33%
49%
1-3
33%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 20.9
14
19
9
2
2
2
1
0
0
1
1
5-5
100%
2-3
3-5
67%
54%
0-0
-
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 25.0
29
24
14
6
2
2
1
0
4
1
5
3-3
100%
4-5
3-7
80%
48%
1-5
20%
Joffrey Lauvergne
C · 6'11" 260 · 24.3
28
14
9
8
3
0
0
0
2
3
5
2-2
100%
2-2
2-4
100%
51%
1-1
100%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.8
25
26
4
4
4
0
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
1-3
3-7
33%
47%
0-1
0%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 32.3
21
14
6
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
2-3
67%
2-5
1-2
40%
43%
0-2
0%
Sean Kilpatrick
G · 6'4" 212 · 26.0
12
5
4
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1-2
50%
0-0
0-1
-
45%
1-4
25%
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 21.4
3
9
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
46%
0-0
-
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 35.9
0
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
40%
0-0
-
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 27.4
5
0
1-2
50%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 33.9
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.