Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Thursday, January 21, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 14 | Pistons | 45% | 105 | 99 |
 | 20 | Pelicans | 55% | 106 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Wednesday, January 20, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 26 | Magic | 66% | 104 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22 | Heat | 37% | 97 | 87 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cavaliers | 78% | 108 | 91 |
 | 28 | Nets | 22% | 98 | 78 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 21 | Knicks | 51% | 101 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 6 | Celtics | 46% | 104 | 109 |
 | 7 | Raptors | 54% | 105 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 17 | Bulls | 33% | 104 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pistons | 42% | 106 | 123 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 12 | Hornets | 30% | 103 | 95 |
 | 3 | Thunder | 70% | 110 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 25 | Timberwolves | 30% | 100 | 94 |
 | 19 | Mavericks | 70% | 107 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Kings | 64% | 112 | 112 |
 | 29 | Lakers | 36% | 107 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Hawks | 49% | 106 | 104 |
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Tuesday, January 19, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24 | Bucks | 38% | 96 | 91 |
| 20 | Heat | 62% | 100 | 79 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Timberwolves | 42% | 104 | 99 |
| 21 | Pelicans | 58% | 106 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Thunder | 67% | 109 | 110 |
| 23 | Nuggets | 33% | 103 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 27 | Suns | 34% | 103 | 94 |
Monday, January 18, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 28% | 99 | 113 |
| 22 | Knicks | 72% | 107 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Jazz | 43% | 99 | 119 |
| 15 | Hornets | 57% | 101 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Trail Blazers | 42% | 105 | 108 |
| 14 | Wizards | 58% | 108 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pelicans | 39% | 100 | 99 |
| 9 | Grizzlies | 61% | 104 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Bulls | 42% | 103 | 111 |
| 11 | Pistons | 58% | 106 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Magic | 31% | 100 | 81 |
| 8 | Hawks | 69% | 107 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Nets | 21% | 96 | 100 |
| 6 | Raptors | 79% | 108 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 44% | 106 | 132 |
| 3 | Cavaliers | 56% | 108 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Celtics | 54% | 106 | 113 |
| 13 | Mavericks | 46% | 104 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Rockets | 33% | 103 | 132 |
| 7 | Clippers | 67% | 109 | 140 |
Sunday, January 17, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Suns | 40% | 105 | 87 |
| 25 | Timberwolves | 60% | 109 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Heat | 29% | 99 | 74 |
| 4 | Thunder | 71% | 107 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Mavericks | 19% | 95 | 83 |
| 1 | Spurs | 81% | 107 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pacers | 58% | 106 | 126 |
| 23 | Nuggets | 42% | 103 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Rockets | 70% | 111 | 112 |
| 28 | Lakers | 30% | 104 | 95 |
Saturday, January 16, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bucks | 31% | 99 | 105 |
| 13 | Hornets | 69% | 106 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Nets | 21% | 98 | 86 |
| 8 | Hawks | 79% | 109 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Celtics | 54% | 105 | 119 |
| 20 | Wizards | 46% | 104 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Warriors | 66% | 111 | 95 |
| 14 | Pistons | 34% | 105 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Trail Blazers | 69% | 109 | 89 |
| 30 | 76ers | 31% | 102 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Knicks | 38% | 98 | 95 |
| 12 | Grizzlies | 62% | 102 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Lakers | 30% | 97 | 82 |
| 19 | Jazz | 70% | 104 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Kings | 32% | 105 | 110 |
| 5 | Clippers | 68% | 112 | 103 |
Friday, January 15, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Wizards | 35% | 101 | 118 |
| 8 | Pacers | 65% | 106 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Timberwolves | 21% | 100 | 93 |
| 4 | Thunder | 79% | 111 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Suns | 21% | 102 | 103 |
| 6 | Celtics | 79% | 113 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Trail Blazers | 63% | 107 | 116 |
| 29 | Nets | 37% | 103 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Mavericks | 46% | 103 | 83 |
| 12 | Bulls | 54% | 104 | 77 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hornets | 51% | 107 | 107 |
| 21 | Pelicans | 49% | 106 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hawks | 59% | 105 | 101 |
| 25 | Bucks | 41% | 102 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Heat | 54% | 103 | 98 |
| 23 | Nuggets | 46% | 102 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | 54% | 107 | 91 |
| 9 | Rockets | 46% | 106 | 77 |
Thursday, January 14, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Raptors | 59% | 103 | 106 |
| 24 | Magic | 41% | 100 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bulls | 75% | 107 | 115 |
| 30 | 76ers | 25% | 98 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pistons | 44% | 99 | 101 |
| 11 | Grizzlies | 56% | 101 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | 36% | 99 | 95 |
| 1 | Spurs | 64% | 104 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Kings | 41% | 101 | 103 |
| 18 | Jazz | 59% | 104 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Lakers | 13% | 100 | 98 |
| 2 | Warriors | 87% | 116 | 116 |
Wednesday, January 13, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Hawks | 49% | 105 | 84 |
| 15 | Hornets | 51% | 106 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bucks | 32% | 100 | 101 |
| 18 | Wizards | 68% | 107 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Knicks | 56% | 105 | 104 |
| 29 | Nets | 44% | 103 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pacers | 41% | 102 | 94 |
| 7 | Celtics | 59% | 105 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Timberwolves | 26% | 102 | 104 |
| 6 | Rockets | 74% | 111 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Mavericks | 27% | 103 | 89 |
| 4 | Thunder | 73% | 111 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Warriors | 78% | 113 | 110 |
| 24 | Nuggets | 22% | 102 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Jazz | 44% | 100 | 85 |
| 17 | Trail Blazers | 56% | 102 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pelicans | 36% | 108 | 109 |
| 20 | Kings | 64% | 113 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Heat | 31% | 100 | 90 |
| 5 | Clippers | 69% | 106 | 104 |
Tuesday, January 12, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Suns | 25% | 100 | 97 |
| 10 | Pacers | 75% | 109 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 64% | 104 | 109 |
| 15 | Pistons | 36% | 99 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Celtics | 55% | 106 | 114 |
| 21 | Knicks | 45% | 105 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Rockets | 47% | 102 | 107 |
| 12 | Grizzlies | 53% | 103 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Bulls | 54% | 103 | 101 |
| 26 | Bucks | 46% | 101 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Thunder | 72% | 110 | 101 |
| 25 | Timberwolves | 28% | 102 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | 59% | 107 | 110 |
| 11 | Mavericks | 41% | 104 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pelicans | 59% | 109 | 91 |
| 28 | Lakers | 41% | 106 | 95 |
Monday, January 11, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spurs | 86% | 108 | 106 |
| 29 | Nets | 14% | 93 | 79 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Wizards | 41% | 102 | 114 |
| 13 | Bulls | 59% | 105 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Heat | 22% | 99 | 103 |
| 2 | Warriors | 78% | 110 | 111 |
Sunday, January 10, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pelicans | 31% | 104 | 111 |
| 5 | Clippers | 69% | 111 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Mavericks | 57% | 107 | 93 |
| 25 | Timberwolves | 43% | 104 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | 89% | 111 | 95 |
| 30 | 76ers | 11% | 94 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Celtics | 49% | 100 | 98 |
| 12 | Grizzlies | 51% | 101 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pacers | 47% | 105 | 103 |
| 10 | Rockets | 53% | 106 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Bucks | 37% | 101 | 88 |
| 19 | Knicks | 63% | 106 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Hornets | 47% | 103 | 92 |
| 23 | Nuggets | 53% | 104 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Thunder | 63% | 111 | 110 |
| 18 | Trail Blazers | 37% | 107 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Jazz | 55% | 102 | 86 |
| 28 | Lakers | 45% | 101 | 74 |
Saturday, January 9, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Hornets | 30% | 102 | 83 |
| 5 | Clippers | 70% | 109 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Bulls | 43% | 103 | 105 |
| 9 | Hawks | 57% | 106 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wizards | 49% | 103 | 105 |
| 24 | Magic | 51% | 104 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Nets | 23% | 99 | 89 |
| 15 | Pistons | 77% | 109 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Raptors | 74% | 106 | 108 |
| 30 | 76ers | 26% | 97 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Heat | 47% | 97 | 83 |
| 22 | Jazz | 53% | 98 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Warriors | 63% | 112 | 128 |
| 20 | Kings | 37% | 108 | 116 |
Friday, January 8, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Raptors | 51% | 104 | 97 |
| 16 | Wizards | 49% | 103 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Magic | 54% | 104 | 83 |
| 28 | Nets | 46% | 102 | 77 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Nuggets | 34% | 97 | 84 |
| 11 | Grizzlies | 66% | 103 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cavaliers | 71% | 107 | 125 |
| 23 | Timberwolves | 29% | 100 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pacers | 51% | 106 | 91 |
| 17 | Pelicans | 49% | 105 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Mavericks | 58% | 105 | 95 |
| 25 | Bucks | 42% | 102 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Knicks | 16% | 94 | 99 |
| 1 | Spurs | 84% | 108 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Heat | 63% | 106 | 103 |
| 27 | Suns | 37% | 102 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Warriors | 66% | 110 | 128 |
| 19 | Trail Blazers | 34% | 105 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Thunder | 80% | 114 | 117 |
| 29 | Lakers | 20% | 102 | 113 |