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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Thursday
January 21, 2016
10:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Hawks46%10688
13Kings54%10791
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Al Horford
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 29.6
33.8
31.4
11
50%
8
3
3
1
0
0
3
5
0-0
-
4-8
6-11
50%
55%
1-3
33%
Paul Millsap
F · 6'8" 246 · 30.9
32.6
29.9
14
54%
14
3
5
2
4
5
4
10
2-2
100%
6-11
5-10
55%
51%
0-1
0%
Kent Bazemore
G · 6'5" 201 · 26.6
28.4
26.9
11
58%
4
2
1
1
0
3
0
4
0-1
0%
4-6
3-6
67%
49%
1-3
33%
Kyle Korver
G · 6'7" 212 · 34.8
27.5
26.1
9
41%
1
3
2
1
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
50%
3-10
30%
Jeff Teague
G · 6'2" 189 · 27.6
20.0
26.7
4
25%
2
4
1
1
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
4-8
33%
47%
0-2
0%
Thabo Sefolosha
F · 6'7" 220 · 31.7
27.4
22.9
8
58%
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
3-4
2-3
75%
53%
0-2
0%
Dennis Schroder
G · 6'1" 172 · 22.3
25.2
19.6
12
40%
2
4
1
1
0
6
0
2
1-2
50%
4-8
3-7
50%
46%
1-6
17%
Tim Hardaway Jr.
F-G · 6'6" 205 · 23.8
15.6
14.3
9
46%
5
0
1
0
0
0
0
5
3-4
75%
3-5
1-2
60%
45%
0-3
0%
Tiago Splitter
C-F · 6'11" 245 · 31.1
15.1
16.2
4
72%
3
0
0
1
1
0
0
3
2-4
50%
1-1
3-5
100%
54%
0-0
-
Mike Scott
F · 6'8" 237 · 27.5
14.5
14.5
6
75%
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
54%
2-3
67%
Edy Tavares
C · 7'3" 265 · 23.8
12.6
0
2-3
52%
Shelvin Mack
G · 6'3" 203 · 25.7
4.7
0
1-1
48%
Mike Muscala
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 24.6
4.2
0
0-1
53%
Lamar Patterson
G-F · 6'5" 225 · 24.4
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 26.8
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 25.4
39.0
34.2
24
45%
16
5
3
1
2
6
4
12
3-4
75%
9-24
8-17
38%
48%
1-1
100%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.6
37.6
28.6
13
55%
5
2
5
1
0
1
1
4
2-4
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
51%
3-7
43%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 29.9
37.5
32.3
11
34%
9
11
0
1
1
6
2
7
0-0
-
4-12
4-8
33%
48%
1-4
25%
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 22.9
33.9
19.1
14
44%
3
4
2
1
1
3
1
2
2-4
50%
3-7
2-3
43%
50%
2-7
29%
Willie Cauley-Stein
C · 7'0" 240 · 22.4
30.0
22.4
12
68%
11
0
2
1
0
0
5
6
2-2
100%
5-8
3-5
63%
54%
0-0
-
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 29.8
18.9
20.7
4
23%
4
2
0
0
0
1
0
4
4-4
100%
0-2
2-4
0%
48%
0-5
0%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.4
16.3
23.9
3
26%
0
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
1-5
3-5
20%
50%
0-0
-
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.9
15.0
14.1
6
51%
6
0
0
0
0
1
4
2
2-2
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
52%
0-0
-
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 25.3
11.5
4.8
4
69%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
2-2
100%
1-2
1-1
50%
50%
0-0
-
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 26.8
0.2
3.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
45%
0-0
-
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 29.4
32.9
1
5-10
49%
Seth Curry
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.4
4.6
0
0-1
44%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 35.9
1.8
0
0-0
45%
Eric Moreland
F-C · 6'10" 238 · 24.1
Duje Dukan
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.