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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
February 1, 2016
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
8Grizzlies
110
20Pelicans
95
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 34.5
33
24
22
12
1
0
1
0
3
2
10
2-3
67%
10-14
5-10
71%
48%
0-1
0%
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 31.0
32
32
14
3
7
0
1
2
2
0
3
0-2
0%
7-12
7-14
58%
48%
0-0
-
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 34.1
32
26
2
7
1
0
2
0
0
0
7
0-0
-
1-5
3-6
20%
48%
0-0
-
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 28.3
28
28
17
4
10
1
1
1
1
0
4
6-6
100%
4-5
3-7
80%
47%
1-2
50%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 30.3
28
29
7
1
0
0
1
2
1
1
0
0-0
-
2-3
3-5
67%
50%
1-3
33%
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.4
34
27
24
7
1
1
1
0
0
0
7
5-5
100%
5-9
4-8
56%
47%
3-4
75%
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 29.7
21
20
9
3
4
2
1
0
4
0
3
2-2
100%
2-3
2-4
67%
47%
1-2
50%
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 39.0
19
11
13
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
1-2
100%
42%
3-4
75%
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 25.6
9
5
2
1
2
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-1
50%
50%
0-0
-
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 31.3
5
12
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
59%
0-0
-
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 35.9
23
1
1-3
53%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 28.3
5
0
1-1
61%
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 25.6
Jordan Adams
G · 6'5" 209 · 21.6
Jarell Martin
F · 6'10" 239 · 21.7
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Norris Cole
G · 6'2" 175 · 27.3
38
31
23
3
6
1
1
0
1
1
2
2-2
100%
6-12
4-9
50%
46%
3-3
100%
Anthony Davis
F-C · 6'10" 253 · 22.9
37
28
23
9
3
1
1
1
1
3
6
2-3
67%
9-18
7-13
50%
53%
1-2
50%
Alonzo Gee
F · 6'6" 225 · 28.7
25
32
8
0
1
1
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
50%
2-4
50%
Bryce Dejean-Jones
G · 6'6" 203 · 23.4
24
26
9
5
1
2
1
0
0
3
2
2-2
100%
2-4
2-4
50%
47%
1-3
33%
Omer Asik
C · 7'0" 255 · 29.6
20
21
6
8
0
0
0
0
0
4
4
0-2
0%
3-7
2-4
43%
52%
0-0
-
Ryan Anderson
F · 6'10" 240 · 27.7
29
31
9
3
1
1
1
0
4
1
2
2-4
50%
2-5
4-8
40%
48%
1-4
25%
Jrue Holiday
G · 6'4" 205 · 25.6
27
27
4
1
4
0
1
2
2
0
1
2-4
50%
1-10
5-10
10%
48%
0-4
0%
Dante Cunningham
F · 6'8" 230 · 28.8
18
10
4
2
1
0
0
1
0
1
1
2-2
100%
1-2
1-1
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Toney Douglas
G · 6'2" 195 · 29.9
12
14
6
1
1
2
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
45%
2-5
40%
Alexis Ajinca
C · 7'2" 248 · 27.7
9
7
3
5
1
0
0
0
0
1
4
1-2
50%
1-1
1-2
100%
54%
0-0
-
Tyreke Evans
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 26.4
10
0
1-3
48%
Kendrick Perkins
C · 6'10" 270 · 31.2
3
0
0-1
47%
Luke Babbitt
F · 6'9" 225 · 26.6
2
0
0-0
43%
Quincy Pondexter
F · 6'7" 230 · 27.9
Eric Gordon
G · 6'4" 215 · 27.1
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.