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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 5, 2016
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3076ers23%10094
16Wizards77%110106
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nerlens Noel
C · 6'11" 220 · 21.8
33
24
9
8
3
1
1
4
2
1
7
3-4
75%
3-8
3-7
38%
50%
0-0
-
Ish Smith
G · 6'0" 175 · 27.6
32
28
22
5
5
3
1
1
2
0
5
0-0
-
11-23
5-12
48%
43%
0-2
0%
Nik Stauskas
G · 6'6" 205 · 22.3
28
26
9
4
2
1
1
0
3
0
4
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
44%
3-5
60%
Jahlil Okafor
C · 6'11" 260 · 20.1
21
24
9
4
0
0
0
0
1
2
2
1-1
100%
4-11
6-12
36%
50%
0-0
-
Robert Covington
F · 6'9" 225 · 25.1
19
26
0
4
0
0
1
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
45%
0-4
0%
Isaiah Canaan
G · 6'0" 200 · 24.7
32
21
18
3
3
1
1
0
3
0
3
4-4
100%
1-4
1-3
25%
40%
4-8
50%
Hollis Thompson
F · 6'8" 206 · 24.8
29
23
7
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
1-1
100%
3-3
2-4
100%
44%
0-5
0%
Jerami Grant
F · 6'9" 220 · 21.9
27
22
9
5
5
0
1
2
2
2
3
2-4
50%
2-4
2-5
50%
48%
1-1
100%
T.J. McConnell
G · 6'2" 190 · 23.9
18
17
9
2
4
1
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
2-4
60%
48%
1-1
100%
Carl Landry
F · 6'9" 248 · 32.4
2
10
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
51%
0-0
-
JaKarr Sampson
F · 6'9" 207 · 22.9
7
0
1-2
49%
Kendall Marshall
G · 6'4" 200 · 24.5
6
0
0-1
43%
Elton Brand
F · 6'9" 254 · 36.9
2
0
0-0
47%
Joel Embiid
C · 7'0" 250 · 21.9
Richaun Holmes
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 22.3
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Marcin Gortat
C · 6'11" 240 · 32.0
34
27
21
13
3
0
1
1
2
4
9
1-2
50%
10-16
5-9
63%
57%
0-0
-
Jared Dudley
F · 6'7" 240 · 30.6
34
24
13
4
4
1
1
1
3
0
4
1-2
50%
3-4
2-3
75%
53%
2-3
67%
John Wall
G · 6'4" 210 · 25.4
33
36
18
13
10
2
2
1
3
0
13
1-2
50%
4-8
7-14
50%
49%
3-5
60%
Bradley Beal
G · 6'5" 207 · 22.6
32
26
22
3
2
1
1
0
1
2
1
2-2
100%
10-14
4-8
71%
48%
0-2
0%
Otto Porter Jr.
F · 6'8" 198 · 22.7
25
25
5
4
1
1
1
1
1
2
2
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
55%
1-5
20%
Garrett Temple
F-G · 6'6" 195 · 29.7
30
33
8
0
1
0
2
0
1
0
0
4-6
67%
2-2
2-5
100%
48%
0-1
0%
Gary Neal
G · 6'4" 210 · 31.3
16
13
11
2
2
2
0
0
0
0
2
1-2
50%
5-8
2-4
63%
47%
0-2
0%
Ramon Sessions
G · 6'3" 190 · 29.8
15
18
4
3
3
0
1
0
2
1
2
2-2
100%
1-2
2-5
50%
48%
0-2
0%
Drew Gooden
F · 6'10" 250 · 34.4
13
10
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
1-2
50%
45%
0-1
0%
DeJuan Blair
C-F · 6'7" 270 · 26.8
6
3
0
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-2
0%
0-1
0-1
0%
53%
0-0
-
Kelly Oubre Jr.
F · 6'7" 205 · 20.2
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
50%
0-0
-
Jarell Eddie
G-F · 6'7" 218 · 24.3
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-1
0%
Alan Anderson
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 33.3
Kris Humphries
F · 6'9" 235 · 31.0
Nene Hilario
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 33.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.