Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Friday, February 5, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 20 | Heat | 45% | 99 | 98 |
 | 18 | Hornets | 55% | 101 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 24 | Magic | 34% | 101 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 28 | Nets | 39% | 105 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 6 | Celtics | 31% | 103 | 104 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 26 | Knicks | 38% | 98 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22 | Bulls | 43% | 102 | 110 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 25 | Bucks | 29% | 95 | 81 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 14 | Mavericks | 35% | 99 | 90 |
Thursday, February 4, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Knicks | 40% | 103 | 105 |
 | 16 | Pistons | 60% | 107 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 29 | Lakers | 30% | 104 | 99 |
 | 18 | Pelicans | 70% | 111 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 8 | Raptors | 46% | 105 | 110 |
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Wednesday, February 3, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cavaliers | 69% | 107 | 97 |
| 19 | Hornets | 31% | 100 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hawks | 71% | 106 | 124 |
| 30 | 76ers | 29% | 99 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pistons | 40% | 105 | 95 |
| 6 | Celtics | 60% | 108 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pacers | 69% | 106 | 114 |
| 28 | Nets | 31% | 99 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 14 | Wizards | 32% | 105 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Magic | 21% | 101 | 114 |
 | 4 | Thunder | 79% | 112 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Heat | 35% | 99 | 93 |
| 15 | Mavericks | 65% | 104 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pelicans | 19% | 96 | 97 |
| 3 | Spurs | 81% | 109 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Nuggets | 34% | 98 | 81 |
| 7 | Jazz | 66% | 104 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Bulls | 45% | 105 | 107 |
| 17 | Kings | 55% | 107 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 25 | Timberwolves | 20% | 99 | 108 |
| 5 | Clippers | 80% | 111 | 102 |
Tuesday, February 2, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Celtics | 61% | 107 | 97 |
| 23 | Knicks | 39% | 103 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Heat | 37% | 102 | 102 |
| 10 | Rockets | 63% | 106 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Raptors | 64% | 106 | 104 |
| 28 | Suns | 36% | 101 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bucks | 28% | 101 | 95 |
| 13 | Trail Blazers | 72% | 109 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Timberwolves | 59% | 107 | 115 |
| 30 | Lakers | 41% | 104 | 119 |
Monday, February 1, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | 58% | 104 | 111 |
| 11 | Pacers | 42% | 102 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pistons | 64% | 107 | 105 |
| 27 | Nets | 36% | 102 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Mavericks | 41% | 102 | 97 |
| 12 | Hawks | 59% | 105 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Grizzlies | 52% | 103 | 110 |
| 18 | Pelicans | 48% | 102 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wizards | 29% | 105 | 98 |
| 4 | Thunder | 71% | 112 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Magic | 13% | 92 | 92 |
| 2 | Spurs | 87% | 108 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Raptors | 58% | 105 | 93 |
| 20 | Nuggets | 42% | 102 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Bulls | 30% | 96 | 96 |
| 8 | Jazz | 70% | 103 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bucks | 37% | 104 | 104 |
| 17 | Kings | 63% | 108 | 111 |
Sunday, January 31, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bulls | 30% | 100 | 93 |
| 5 | Clippers | 70% | 107 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hawks | 56% | 102 | 87 |
| 22 | Heat | 44% | 100 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Celtics | 63% | 106 | 114 |
| 26 | Magic | 37% | 102 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Suns | 27% | 100 | 78 |
| 17 | Mavericks | 73% | 108 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 72% | 111 | 116 |
| 23 | Knicks | 28% | 103 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Timberwolves | 33% | 104 | 93 |
| 13 | Trail Blazers | 67% | 110 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Hornets | 63% | 108 | 101 |
| 29 | Lakers | 37% | 103 | 82 |
Saturday, January 30, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 87% | 114 | 108 |
| 30 | 76ers | 13% | 98 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pistons | 33% | 101 | 107 |
| 6 | Raptors | 67% | 107 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Nuggets | 31% | 100 | 105 |
| 9 | Pacers | 69% | 107 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Nets | 28% | 101 | 103 |
| 18 | Pelicans | 72% | 109 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wizards | 45% | 106 | 123 |
| 12 | Rockets | 55% | 107 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Kings | 42% | 101 | 117 |
| 10 | Grizzlies | 58% | 104 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 48% | 101 | 103 |
| 3 | Cavaliers | 52% | 102 | 117 |
Friday, January 29, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Magic | 28% | 100 | 94 |
| 6 | Celtics | 72% | 108 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | 59% | 107 | 114 |
| 13 | Pistons | 41% | 103 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Suns | 42% | 103 | 84 |
| 26 | Knicks | 58% | 106 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Rockets | 28% | 106 | 108 |
| 4 | Thunder | 72% | 114 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Heat | 52% | 100 | 107 |
| 24 | Bucks | 48% | 99 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nets | 25% | 99 | 79 |
| 14 | Mavericks | 75% | 108 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Timberwolves | 31% | 97 | 90 |
| 11 | Jazz | 69% | 104 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Hornets | 40% | 104 | 91 |
| 17 | Trail Blazers | 60% | 108 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Lakers | 11% | 97 | 93 |
| 5 | Clippers | 89% | 113 | 105 |
Thursday, January 28, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Hawks | 41% | 101 | 92 |
| 11 | Pacers | 59% | 104 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Nuggets | 33% | 102 | 117 |
| 17 | Wizards | 67% | 108 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Knicks | 29% | 99 | 93 |
| 7 | Raptors | 71% | 107 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Bucks | 33% | 96 | 83 |
| 9 | Grizzlies | 67% | 102 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Kings | 47% | 108 | 105 |
| 19 | Pelicans | 53% | 109 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Bulls | 68% | 107 | 114 |
| 29 | Lakers | 32% | 100 | 91 |
Wednesday, January 27, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Suns | 10% | 96 | 93 |
| 2 | Cavaliers | 90% | 114 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Nuggets | 28% | 102 | 103 |
| 6 | Celtics | 72% | 110 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 76ers | 19% | 97 | 97 |
| 13 | Pistons | 81% | 109 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Clippers | 46% | 105 | 85 |
| 8 | Hawks | 54% | 106 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Thunder | 67% | 111 | 126 |
| 26 | Timberwolves | 33% | 105 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Rockets | 26% | 99 | 99 |
| 3 | Spurs | 74% | 108 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Hornets | 39% | 99 | 73 |
| 11 | Jazz | 61% | 103 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Mavericks | 18% | 102 | 107 |
| 1 | Warriors | 82% | 115 | 127 |
Tuesday, January 26, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Clippers | 54% | 105 | 91 |
| 15 | Pacers | 46% | 104 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Suns | 51% | 103 | 103 |
| 29 | 76ers | 49% | 102 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Heat | 52% | 101 | 102 |
| 28 | Nets | 48% | 100 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Thunder | 65% | 110 | 128 |
| 21 | Knicks | 35% | 105 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Wizards | 31% | 100 | 89 |
| 7 | Raptors | 69% | 106 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Magic | 42% | 100 | 100 |
| 24 | Bucks | 58% | 102 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Kings | 41% | 108 | 97 |
| 16 | Trail Blazers | 59% | 111 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Mavericks | 70% | 108 | 92 |
| 30 | Lakers | 30% | 101 | 90 |
Monday, January 25, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Timberwolves | 17% | 98 | 107 |
| 2 | Cavaliers | 83% | 111 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Celtics | 49% | 106 | 116 |
| 18 | Wizards | 51% | 107 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Heat | 37% | 98 | 89 |
| 19 | Bulls | 63% | 102 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Magic | 35% | 97 | 102 |
| 11 | Grizzlies | 65% | 102 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Rockets | 43% | 106 | 112 |
| 17 | Pelicans | 57% | 109 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Hawks | 58% | 106 | 119 |
| 22 | Nuggets | 42% | 103 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pistons | 43% | 100 | 95 |
| 10 | Jazz | 57% | 102 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Hornets | 41% | 105 | 129 |
| 13 | Kings | 59% | 108 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 33% | 102 | 90 |
| 1 | Warriors | 67% | 108 | 120 |
Sunday, January 24, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Mavericks | 45% | 107 | 104 |
| 13 | Rockets | 55% | 108 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Clippers | 48% | 104 | 94 |
| 7 | Raptors | 52% | 105 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Celtics | 76% | 109 | 112 |
| 30 | 76ers | 24% | 99 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Thunder | 80% | 111 | 106 |
| 29 | Nets | 20% | 100 | 116 |
Saturday, January 23, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Knicks | 39% | 103 | 84 |
| 19 | Hornets | 61% | 107 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Bucks | 34% | 101 | 99 |
| 18 | Pelicans | 66% | 106 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Grizzlies | 57% | 102 | 101 |
| 24 | Timberwolves | 43% | 99 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bulls | 20% | 98 | 96 |
| 2 | Cavaliers | 80% | 109 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Hawks | 67% | 108 | 95 |
| 27 | Suns | 33% | 102 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pistons | 55% | 108 | 101 |
| 23 | Nuggets | 45% | 106 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Lakers | 22% | 103 | 103 |
| 14 | Trail Blazers | 78% | 113 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pacers | 39% | 104 | 97 |
| 11 | Kings | 61% | 108 | 108 |