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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 5, 2016
9:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
17Bulls43%102110
22Nuggets57%105115
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.6
36
33
18
7
0
0
1
3
0
2
5
4-6
67%
7-13
4-8
54%
50%
0-0
-
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.3
35
32
30
9
8
1
1
0
2
2
7
4-6
67%
13-24
7-14
54%
47%
0-3
0%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 26.9
31
29
8
3
0
0
1
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-5
3-6
20%
49%
2-2
100%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 26.4
18
25
19
2
5
2
1
0
1
0
2
7-9
78%
6-9
4-9
67%
49%
0-0
-
Cameron Bairstow
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 25.2
10
2
4
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
1-3
0-1
33%
48%
0-1
0%
Bobby Portis
F · 6'11" 248 · 21.0
27
18
8
7
2
2
1
0
0
4
3
0-2
0%
4-12
3-6
33%
50%
0-0
-
Doug McDermott
F · 6'8" 219 · 24.1
25
22
15
2
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
3-7
2-4
43%
46%
3-4
75%
Tony Snell
G · 6'7" 221 · 24.2
19
15
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
45%
0-0
-
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 31.1
18
12
6
1
4
0
0
2
2
1
0
2-2
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
44%
0-1
0%
Kirk Hinrich
G · 6'4" 190 · 35.1
16
14
0
4
0
0
0
0
2
1
3
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
42%
0-1
0%
Cristiano Felicio
C-F · 6'9" 280 · 23.6
4
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
47%
0-0
-
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 35.6
33
1
6-13
49%
Nikola Mirotic
F · 6'10" 238 · 25.0
7
0
1-1
47%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 35.4
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 30.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 19.9
39
29
22
0
5
2
1
2
2
0
0
5-11
45%
7-16
3-9
44%
40%
1-2
50%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 27.5
35
33
33
3
2
1
1
1
1
0
3
18-18
100%
6-9
4-9
67%
46%
1-3
33%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 21.4
35
32
6
6
1
0
1
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
3-4
3-6
75%
50%
0-3
0%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 26.2
26
26
11
11
3
0
1
0
3
3
8
3-9
33%
4-5
5-9
80%
53%
0-0
-
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 21.0
26
27
16
12
3
0
1
2
1
4
8
2-2
100%
4-12
5-9
33%
54%
2-2
100%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 25.1
30
24
16
5
1
0
1
1
1
2
3
0-0
-
5-11
4-7
45%
48%
2-5
40%
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 32.4
23
17
6
2
6
2
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-3
1-3
100%
42%
0-2
0%
Joffrey Lauvergne
C · 6'11" 260 · 24.4
14
12
3
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
1-2
50%
1-5
2-3
20%
50%
0-1
0%
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 21.5
12
14
2
6
1
0
1
2
2
1
5
2-2
100%
0-4
2-5
0%
44%
0-0
-
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 27.4
1
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
50%
0-0
-
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.9
12
0
1-3
46%
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 34.0
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.7
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 36.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.