Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	2	Spurs	69%	104	98	103.2	95	93.5
	22	Magic	31%	98	96	103.2	93	94.5

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Danny Green G · 6'6" 215 · 29	34.6	12	50%	5	2	0	1	2	1	1	4	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	2-8	25%
Kawhi Leonard F · 6'6" 225 · 25	32.9	29	73%	7	2	2	1	2	2	1	6	2-2	100%	9-16	56%	3-3	100%
LaMarcus Aldridge F · 6'11" 260 · 31	32.5	21	58%	7	2	0	2	1	2	2	5	5-5	100%	8-16	50%	0-0	-
Tim Duncan C · 6'11" 250 · 40	18.3	5	28%	7	5	0	3	1	1	2	5	1-1	100%	2-9	22%	0-0	-
Ray McCallum G · 6'3" 190 · 25	17.5	4	40%	5	1	0	0	1	1	0	5	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-1	0%

Patty Mills G · 6'0" 185 · 27	30.5	17	77%	6	7	2	1	1	2	4	2	0-1	0%	4-6	67%	3-5	60%
Kyle Anderson F-G · 6'8" 230 · 22	18.4	2	20%	1	3	2	1	1	1	0	1	2-2	100%	0-3	0%	0-1	0%
Boris Diaw C-F · 6'8" 250 · 34	17.7	4	29%	3	2	0	0	1	0	0	3	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-1	0%
Jonathon Simmons F · 6'6" 195 · 26	16.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-1	0%
David West F · 6'9" 250 · 35	12.4	4	50%	2	0	0	1	2	1	1	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Rasual Butler F · 6'7" 215 · 37	5.6	0	0%	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Boban Marjanović C · 7'3" 290 · 27	3.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 34	\| DND - Rest
Matt Bonner #15 · C-F · 6'10" 235 · 36	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Manu Ginobili #20 · G · 6'6" 205 · 39	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	98	50%	44	24	6	11	13	0	11	33	14-15	93%	30-69	43%	8-20	40%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

2 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Danny Green G · 6'6" 215 · 29	34.6	12	50%	5	2	0	1	2	1	1	4	2-2	100%	2-3	67%	2-8	25%
Kawhi Leonard F · 6'6" 225 · 25	32.9	29	73%	7	2	2	1	2	2	1	6	2-2	100%	9-16	56%	3-3	100%
LaMarcus Aldridge F · 6'11" 260 · 31	32.5	21	58%	7	2	0	2	1	2	2	5	5-5	100%	8-16	50%	0-0	-
Tim Duncan C · 6'11" 250 · 40	18.3	5	28%	7	5	0	3	1	1	2	5	1-1	100%	2-9	22%	0-0	-
Ray McCallum G · 6'3" 190 · 25	17.5	4	40%	5	1	0	0	1	1	0	5	2-2	100%	1-3	33%	0-1	0%

Patty Mills G · 6'0" 185 · 27	30.5	17	77%	6	7	2	1	1	2	4	2	0-1	0%	4-6	67%	3-5	60%
Kyle Anderson F-G · 6'8" 230 · 22	18.4	2	20%	1	3	2	1	1	1	0	1	2-2	100%	0-3	0%	0-1	0%
Boris Diaw C-F · 6'8" 250 · 34	17.7	4	29%	3	2	0	0	1	0	0	3	0-0	-	2-6	33%	0-1	0%
Jonathon Simmons F · 6'6" 195 · 26	16.5	0	0%	0	0	0	0	1	3	0	0	0-0	-	0-3	0%	0-1	0%
David West F · 6'9" 250 · 35	12.4	4	50%	2	0	0	1	2	1	1	1	0-0	-	2-4	50%	0-0	-
Rasual Butler F · 6'7" 215 · 37	5.6	0	0%	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Boban Marjanović C · 7'3" 290 · 27	3.1	0	0%	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-0	-	0-0	-
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 34	\| DND - Rest
Matt Bonner #15 · C-F · 6'10" 235 · 36	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Manu Ginobili #20 · G · 6'6" 205 · 39	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	98	50%	44	24	6	11	13	0	11	33	14-15	93%	30-69	43%	8-20	40%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

22 Orlando Magic

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Evan Fournier F · 6'7" 205 · 23	41.8	28	64%	2	5	0	0	1	3	0	2	5-5	100%	7-15	47%	3-5	60%
Elfrid Payton G · 6'4" 185 · 22	41.8	13	50%	6	7	2	0	2	3	1	5	3-4	75%	5-10	50%	0-1	0%
Victor Oladipo G · 6'4" 210 · 24	39.6	14	50%	3	1	2	0	4	1	0	3	0-0	-	4-10	40%	2-4	50%
Nikola Vučević C · 6'9" 265 · 25	37.4	20	43%	13	5	1	2	3	4	4	9	2-2	100%	9-22	41%	0-0	-
Aaron Gordon F · 6'8" 235 · 20	30.1	4	29%	14	3	1	2	1	1	1	13	2-3	67%	1-3	33%	0-3	0%

Andrew Nicholson F · 6'9" 250 · 26	17.9	3	30%	3	1	0	2	1	2	1	2	0-0	-	0-3	0%	1-2	50%
Mario Hezonja F-G · 6'8" 218 · 21	14.6	12	86%	0	1	1	0	2	4	0	0	2-2	100%	2-2	100%	2-4	50%
Dewayne Dedmon C · 7'0" 245 · 26	10.6	2	20%	9	2	0	1	1	0	6	3	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-0	-
Shabazz Napier G · 6'1" 175 · 25	6.2	0	0%	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0-0	-	0-1	0%	0-1	0%
Channing Frye F · 6'11" 255 · 33	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
C.J. Watson G · 6'2" 175 · 32	\| DND - Sore Left Calf
Devyn Marble F · 6'6" 200 · 23	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Jason Smith #14 · F-C · 7'0" 240 · 30	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Tobias Harris #12 · F · 6'8" 226 · 24	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	96	49%	50	26	7	7	15	0	13	37	14-16	88%	29-71	41%	8-20	40%

Show Predictions

Enter Custom Minutes

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	ORL
Clock	Team	Event	SAS	ORL

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS

1.00 50.0%

ORL

0.97 48.5%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

SAS

12

23

52%

ORL

12

33

36%

Midrange

SAS

18

46

39%

ORL

17

38

45%

3PT | Effective 3PT

SAS

8

12.0

20

40%

60%

ORL

8

12.0

20

40%

60%

Free Throws

SAS

14

15

93%

ORL

14

16

88%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Leonard	29	73%	14.5 / 20
L. Aldridge	21	58%	10.5 / 18
P. Mills	17	77%	8.5 / 11
D. Green	12	50%	6.0 / 12
T. Duncan	5	28%	2.5 / 9
R. McCallum	4	40%	2.0 / 5
B. Diaw	4	29%	2.0 / 7
D. West	4	50%	2.0 / 4
K. Anderson	2	20%	1.0 / 5
J. Simmons	0	-	0.0 / 4

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Magic

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
E. Fournier	28	64%	14.0 / 22
N. Vučević	20	43%	10.0 / 23
V. Oladipo	14	50%	7.0 / 14
E. Payton	13	50%	6.5 / 13
M. Hezonja	12	86%	6.0 / 7
A. Gordon	4	29%	2.0 / 7
A. Nicholson	3	30%	1.5 / 5
D. Dedmon	2	20%	1.0 / 5
S. Napier	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	5 110.2 21 105.6	SAS 103.2 ORL 103.2 +0.1
Pace	24 94.0 14 95.6	SAS 93.5 ORL 94.5 +1.0
Avg. Poss. Time	2 16.2 20 14.9	SAS 15.4 ORL 15.2 −0.2
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	2 52.6% 16 50.0%	SAS 47.2% +2.1% ORL 45.1%
TO %	5 13.3% 16 14.1%	SAS 12.0% −1.3% ORL 13.3%
ORB %	23 23.0% 21 23.1%	SAS 22.9% ORL 28.3% +5.4%
FTrt	26 24.6 30 23.2	SAS 16.9 ORL 17.6 +0.7
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	7 61.1% 11 59.6%	SAS 63.2% ORL 70.3% +7.1%
STL %	8 8.8% 11 8.5%	SAS 6.3% ORL 7.5% +1.2%
BLK %	4 9.6% 14 8.7%	SAS 15.5% +5.4% ORL 10.1%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	3 54.9% 20 52.1%	SAS 50.0% +1.5% ORL 48.5%
Rim FG%	1 62.8% 13 58.0%	SAS 52.2% +15.8% ORL 36.4%
Mid FG%	2 43.2% 7 41.3%	SAS 39.1% ORL 44.7% +5.6%
3P %	2 37.5% 16 35.0%	SAS 40.0% ORL 40.0%
FT %	2 80.3% 17 75.7%	SAS 93.3% +5.8% ORL 87.5%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	25 32.7% 20 35.1%	SAS 25.8% ORL 36.3% +10.4%
Mid Att. %	30 44.9% 23 39.3%	SAS 51.7% ORL 41.8% −9.9%
3P Att. %	25 22.3% 23 25.5%	SAS 22.5% +0.5% ORL 22.0%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	SAS	ORL
Possessions	95	93
Possession Minutes	24.4	23.6
Points	98	96
Rebounds	44	50
Assists	24	26
Steals	6	7
Blocks	11	7
Turnovers (Team)	13 (0)	15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	11 (3)	13 (6)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	33 (3)	37 (1)
Field Goals	38-89	37-91
At-the-Rim FG	12-23	12-33
Midrange FG	18-46	17-38
2-Point FG	30-69	29-71
3-Point FG	8-20	8-20
Free Throws	14-15	14-16
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg