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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 10, 2016
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Spurs
98
24Magic
96
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.6
35
30
12
5
2
0
1
1
2
1
4
2-2
100%
2-3
1-3
67%
45%
2-8
25%
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.6
33
32
29
7
2
2
2
1
2
1
6
2-2
100%
9-16
5-10
56%
53%
3-3
100%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 30.6
33
30
21
7
2
0
0
2
1
2
5
5-5
100%
8-16
7-13
50%
49%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 39.8
18
12
5
7
5
0
0
3
1
2
5
1-1
100%
2-9
2-3
22%
51%
0-0
-
Ray McCallum
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.7
17
6
4
5
1
0
0
0
1
0
5
2-2
100%
1-3
1-1
33%
46%
0-1
0%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.5
31
18
17
6
7
2
1
1
1
4
2
0-1
0%
4-6
2-4
67%
49%
3-5
60%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.4
18
11
2
1
3
2
0
1
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-3
1-2
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 33.8
18
21
4
3
2
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
2-6
2-5
33%
53%
0-1
0%
Jonathon Simmons
F · 6'6" 195 · 26.4
16
20
0
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-3
2-5
0%
51%
0-1
0%
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.4
12
21
4
2
0
0
1
1
2
1
1
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
51%
0-0
-
Rasual Butler
F · 6'7" 215 · 36.7
6
8
0
1
0
0
0
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
45%
0-0
-
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 27.5
3
11
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
55%
0-0
-
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.7
26
1
4-8
50%
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 35.8
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 38.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 23.3
42
33
28
2
5
0
1
0
1
0
2
5-5
100%
7-15
3-6
47%
47%
3-5
60%
Elfrid Payton
G · 6'4" 185 · 22.0
42
31
13
6
7
2
1
0
2
1
5
3-4
75%
5-10
4-9
50%
43%
0-1
0%
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.8
40
33
14
3
1
2
1
0
4
0
3
0-0
-
4-10
4-8
40%
45%
2-4
50%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 25.3
37
34
20
13
5
1
1
2
3
4
9
2-2
100%
9-22
8-16
41%
50%
0-0
-
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.4
30
28
4
14
3
1
1
2
1
1
13
2-3
67%
1-3
3-6
33%
49%
0-3
0%
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.2
18
2
3
3
1
0
0
2
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-3
0-0
0%
47%
1-2
50%
Mario Hezonja
F-G · 6'8" 218 · 21.0
15
22
12
0
1
1
0
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
2-2
2-4
100%
46%
2-4
50%
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 26.5
11
4
2
9
2
0
0
1
1
6
3
0-0
-
1-5
0-1
20%
49%
0-0
-
Shabazz Napier
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.6
6
10
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
38%
0-1
0%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 32.7
9
0
0-1
45%
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 31.8
7
0
0-1
43%
Devyn Marble
F · 6'6" 200 · 23.4
1
0
0-0
44%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 29.9
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.