Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Wednesday, February 10, 2016
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Hornets | 41% | 100 | 117 | |
12 | Pacers | 59% | 103 | 95 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Spurs | 98 | |||
24 | Magic | 96 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Kings | 65% | 108 | 114 | |
30 | 76ers | 35% | 103 | 110 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Clippers | 134 | |||
7 | Celtics | 139 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Grizzlies | 65% | 104 | 109 | |
28 | Nets | 35% | 98 | 90 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Nuggets | 103 | |||
18 | Pistons | 92 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Lakers | 14% | 99 | 111 | |
3 | Cavaliers | 86% | 114 | 120 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Hawks | 113 | |||
19 | Bulls | 90 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Raptors | 62% | 105 | 112 | |
26 | Timberwolves | 38% | 101 | 117 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Jazz | 96 | |||
17 | Pelicans | 100 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Warriors | 83% | 116 | 112 | |
27 | Suns | 17% | 103 | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Rockets | 103 | |||
14 | Trail Blazers | 116 |
Tuesday, February 9, 2016
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Spurs | 119 | |||
20 | Heat | 101 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Wizards | 51% | 106 | 111 | |
22 | Knicks | 49% | 105 | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Celtics | 111 | |||
26 | Bucks | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Jazz | 51% | 100 | 121 | |
14 | Mavericks | 49% | 99 | 119 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Rockets | 110 | |||
1 | Warriors | 123 |
Monday, February 8, 2016
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Bulls | 91 | |||
14 | Hornets | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Kings | 20% | 102 | 100 | |
3 | Cavaliers | 80% | 114 | 120 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Lakers | 87 | |||
10 | Pacers | 89 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Clippers | 77% | 108 | 98 | |
30 | 76ers | 23% | 98 | 92 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Nuggets | 104 | |||
28 | Nets | 105 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Raptors | 51% | 105 | 103 | |
17 | Pistons | 49% | 104 | 89 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Magic | 117 | |||
9 | Hawks | 110 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Trail Blazers | 41% | 101 | 112 | |
8 | Grizzlies | 59% | 104 | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Pelicans | 116 | |||
25 | Timberwolves | 102 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Thunder | 77% | 114 | 122 | |
27 | Suns | 23% | 104 | 106 |
Sunday, February 7, 2016
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Nuggets | 101 | |||
22 | Knicks | 96 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Hawks | 60% | 104 | 94 | |
24 | Magic | 40% | 101 | 96 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Clippers | 100 | |||
20 | Heat | 93 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Kings | 32% | 106 | 119 | |
7 | Celtics | 68% | 112 | 128 |
Saturday, February 6, 2016
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Trail Blazers | 96 | |||
9 | Rockets | 79 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Wizards | 42% | 103 | 104 | |
13 | Hornets | 58% | 105 | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Pistons | 104 | |||
11 | Pacers | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Pelicans | 25% | 100 | 84 | |
3 | Cavaliers | 75% | 110 | 99 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Nets | 98 | |||
30 | 76ers | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Mavericks | 37% | 98 | 114 | |
8 | Grizzlies | 63% | 103 | 110 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Bulls | 105 | |||
25 | Timberwolves | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Lakers | 11% | 95 | 102 | |
2 | Spurs | 89% | 112 | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Jazz | 98 | |||
28 | Suns | 89 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Thunder | 31% | 108 | 108 | |
1 | Warriors | 69% | 115 | 116 |
Friday, February 5, 2016
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Pacers | 96 | |||
10 | Hawks | 102 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Heat | 45% | 99 | 98 | |
14 | Hornets | 55% | 101 | 95 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Clippers | 107 | |||
24 | Magic | 93 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | 76ers | 23% | 100 | 94 | |
16 | Wizards | 77% | 110 | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Kings | 119 | |||
28 | Nets | 128 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Celtics | 31% | 103 | 104 | |
3 | Cavaliers | 69% | 109 | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Grizzlies | 91 | |||
23 | Knicks | 85 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Bulls | 43% | 102 | 110 | |
22 | Nuggets | 57% | 105 | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Bucks | 81 | |||
11 | Jazz | 84 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Spurs | 65% | 105 | 116 | |
13 | Mavericks | 35% | 99 | 90 |
Thursday, February 4, 2016
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Knicks | 105 | |||
17 | Pistons | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Lakers | 30% | 104 | 99 | |
19 | Pelicans | 70% | 111 | 96 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Raptors | 110 | |||
14 | Trail Blazers | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Rockets | 66% | 111 | 111 | |
27 | Suns | 34% | 105 | 105 |
Wednesday, February 3, 2016
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Cavaliers | 69% | 107 | 97 | |
18 | Hornets | 31% | 100 | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Hawks | 124 | |||
30 | 76ers | 86 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Pistons | 40% | 105 | 95 | |
6 | Celtics | 60% | 108 | 102 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Pacers | 114 | |||
28 | Nets | 100 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Warriors | 68% | 111 | 134 | |
16 | Wizards | 32% | 105 | 121 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Magic | 114 | |||
5 | Thunder | 117 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Heat | 35% | 99 | 93 | |
11 | Mavericks | 65% | 104 | 90 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Pelicans | 97 | |||
2 | Spurs | 110 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Nuggets | 34% | 98 | 81 | |
13 | Jazz | 66% | 104 | 85 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Bulls | 107 | |||
19 | Kings | 102 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Timberwolves | 20% | 99 | 108 | |
4 | Clippers | 80% | 111 | 102 |
Tuesday, February 2, 2016
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Celtics | 97 | |||
23 | Knicks | 89 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Heat | 37% | 102 | 102 | |
9 | Rockets | 63% | 106 | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Raptors | 104 | |||
27 | Suns | 97 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Bucks | 28% | 101 | 95 | |
14 | Trail Blazers | 72% | 109 | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Timberwolves | 115 | |||
29 | Lakers | 119 |
Monday, February 1, 2016
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Cavaliers | 58% | 104 | 111 | |
12 | Pacers | 42% | 102 | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Pistons | 105 | |||
28 | Nets | 100 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Mavericks | 41% | 102 | 97 | |
10 | Hawks | 59% | 105 | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Grizzlies | 110 | |||
20 | Pelicans | 95 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Wizards | 29% | 105 | 98 | |
5 | Thunder | 71% | 112 | 114 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Magic | 92 | |||
2 | Spurs | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Raptors | 58% | 105 | 93 | |
22 | Nuggets | 42% | 102 | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Bulls | 96 | |||
13 | Jazz | 105 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Bucks | 37% | 104 | 104 | |
19 | Kings | 63% | 108 | 111 |
Sunday, January 31, 2016
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Bulls | 93 | |||
5 | Clippers | 120 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Hawks | 56% | 102 | 87 | |
21 | Heat | 44% | 100 | 105 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Celtics | 114 | |||
24 | Magic | 119 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Suns | 27% | 100 | 78 | |
11 | Mavericks | 73% | 108 | 91 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Warriors | 116 | |||
22 | Knicks | 95 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Timberwolves | 33% | 104 | 93 | |
14 | Trail Blazers | 67% | 110 | 96 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Hornets | 101 | |||
29 | Lakers | 82 |
Saturday, January 30, 2016
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Warriors | 87% | 114 | 108 | |
30 | 76ers | 13% | 98 | 105 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Pistons | 107 | |||
6 | Raptors | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Nuggets | 31% | 100 | 105 | |
12 | Pacers | 69% | 107 | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Nets | 103 | |||
18 | Pelicans | 105 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Wizards | 45% | 106 | 123 | |
9 | Rockets | 55% | 107 | 122 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Kings | 117 | |||
8 | Grizzlies | 121 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Spurs | 48% | 101 | 103 | |
3 | Cavaliers | 52% | 102 | 117 |
Friday, January 29, 2016
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Magic | 94 | |||
7 | Celtics | 113 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Cavaliers | 59% | 107 | 114 | |
14 | Pistons | 41% | 103 | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Suns | 84 | |||
22 | Knicks | 102 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Rockets | 28% | 106 | 108 | |
5 | Thunder | 72% | 114 | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Nets | 79 | |||
10 | Mavericks | 91 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Heat | 52% | 100 | 107 | |
25 | Bucks | 48% | 99 | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Timberwolves | 90 | |||
13 | Jazz | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Hornets | 40% | 104 | 91 | |
16 | Trail Blazers | 60% | 108 | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
29 | Lakers | 93 | |||
4 | Clippers | 105 |
Thursday, January 28, 2016
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Hawks | 92 | |||
12 | Pacers | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Nuggets | 33% | 102 | 117 | |
17 | Wizards | 67% | 108 | 113 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Knicks | 93 | |||
6 | Raptors | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Bucks | 33% | 96 | 83 | |
8 | Grizzlies | 67% | 102 | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Kings | 105 | |||
20 | Pelicans | 114 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Bulls | 68% | 107 | 114 | |
29 | Lakers | 32% | 100 | 91 |