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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 10, 2016
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
6Raptors62%105112
26Timberwolves38%101117
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 29.9
39
37
14
4
7
1
2
1
1
2
2
5-8
63%
3-8
4-8
38%
47%
1-7
14%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 26.5
37
33
35
3
4
0
1
1
1
1
2
10-13
77%
8-16
7-15
50%
47%
3-3
100%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 23.8
24
24
12
7
2
1
0
1
2
2
5
4-4
100%
4-4
5-8
100%
56%
0-0
-
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 35.8
18
19
8
3
0
0
1
0
0
2
1
3-4
75%
1-5
2-5
20%
48%
1-4
25%
Norman Powell
F-G · 6'4" 215 · 22.7
12
13
8
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
4-4
1-3
100%
45%
0-2
0%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 26.9
30
26
8
6
0
0
1
1
1
0
6
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
53%
2-5
40%
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 25.0
27
28
11
3
2
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
50%
3-7
43%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.5
27
24
8
5
4
0
1
0
0
2
3
0-1
0%
4-8
3-6
50%
52%
0-3
0%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 23.5
20
20
6
6
0
1
0
6
0
2
4
2-2
100%
2-2
2-3
100%
53%
0-0
-
Lucas Nogueira
C · 7'0" 220 · 23.5
4
3
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
55%
0-0
-
Delon Wright
G · 6'5" 190 · 23.8
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0-0
0%
47%
0-0
-
Anthony Bennett
F · 6'8" 245 · 22.9
2
0
0-1
44%
Bruno Caboclo
F · 6'9" 205 · 20.4
2
0
0-0
49%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 29.5
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 29.0
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gorgui Dieng
C · 6'11" 251 · 26.1
41
33
14
10
6
2
1
1
2
3
7
6-9
67%
4-7
4-8
57%
52%
0-0
-
Zach LaVine
G · 6'5" 185 · 20.9
38
29
13
4
5
0
1
1
1
1
3
4-6
67%
3-9
4-9
33%
47%
1-4
25%
Ricky Rubio
G · 6'4" 190 · 25.3
37
28
19
8
8
1
2
0
2
1
7
6-6
100%
2-3
2-5
67%
40%
3-6
50%
Andrew Wiggins
F · 6'8" 202 · 21.0
37
32
26
3
0
2
1
1
1
1
2
10-13
77%
8-16
6-13
50%
48%
0-2
0%
Karl-Anthony Towns
C · 7'0" 248 · 20.2
35
32
35
11
1
0
1
3
0
4
7
11-13
85%
12-19
7-12
63%
54%
0-0
-
Shabazz Muhammad
G-F · 6'6" 221 · 23.2
21
20
8
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
6-6
100%
1-5
3-6
20%
50%
0-1
0%
Nemanja Bjelica
F · 6'10" 230 · 27.8
12
9
0
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
51%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 39.9
11
8
0
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
51%
0-0
-
Adreian Payne
· 6'10" 237 · 25.0
8
7
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
1-1
33%
46%
0-1
0%
Tayshaun Prince
F · 6'9" 212 · 36.0
19
0
1-3
45%
Damjan Rudez
F · 6'10" 228 · 29.7
10
0
0-1
53%
Tyus Jones
G · 6'2" 184 · 19.8
7
0
1-2
43%
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 33.0
4
0
1-1
43%
Nikola Pekovic
C · 6'11" 307 · 30.1
Kevin Garnett
F · 6'11" 240 · 39.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.