Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
10Grizzlies65%104109
28Nets35%9890
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Mike Conley
G · 6'1" 175 · 28.3
29
30
20
4
5
1
1
0
1
1
3
3-3
100%
4-9
4-8
44%
48%
3-4
75%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 30.4
29
24
10
0
4
3
1
0
1
0
0
0-2
0%
5-8
2-4
63%
51%
0-2
0%
Zach Randolph
F · 6'9" 250 · 34.6
27
32
15
3
6
3
1
1
1
1
2
2-2
100%
5-11
6-13
45%
49%
1-1
100%
JaMychal Green
F · 6'9" 227 · 25.6
21
7
13
4
1
1
0
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
4-5
1-2
80%
51%
1-1
100%
Tony Allen
· 6'4" 213 · 34.1
20
26
6
6
2
2
2
0
1
2
4
0-0
-
3-6
3-5
50%
48%
0-0
-
Jeff Green
F · 6'9" 235 · 29.5
29
31
18
4
2
2
1
0
0
2
2
1-1
100%
4-7
4-9
57%
48%
3-7
43%
Ryan Hollins
C · 7'0" 240 · 31.3
25
8
6
4
1
0
0
0
2
3
1
0-0
-
3-6
1-1
50%
61%
0-0
-
Mario Chalmers
G · 6'2" 190 · 29.7
25
19
10
6
3
1
1
1
2
0
6
0-0
-
5-7
2-4
71%
49%
0-0
-
Vince Carter
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 39.0
21
12
11
3
2
1
0
0
2
1
2
2-2
100%
3-5
1-2
60%
44%
1-4
25%
Matt Barnes
F · 6'7" 226 · 35.9
14
24
0
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
53%
0-1
0%
Brandan Wright
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 28.4
5
0
1-1
62%
Jordan Adams
G · 6'5" 209 · 21.6
2
0
0-1
46%
James Ennis III
F · 6'7" 210 · 25.6
Marc Gasol
C · 7'1" 255 · 31.0
Jarell Martin
F · 6'10" 239 · 21.7
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 27.9
30
34
20
4
4
2
1
0
5
1
3
4-4
100%
8-14
8-15
57%
52%
0-0
-
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.6
25
35
10
9
2
0
2
0
0
2
7
0-0
-
5-11
6-12
45%
51%
0-0
-
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 28.2
25
23
18
2
1
0
1
0
1
0
2
2-3
67%
2-3
2-4
67%
45%
4-5
80%
Donald Sloan
G · 6'3" 205 · 28.1
24
25
4
2
8
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-2
2-4
100%
46%
0-2
0%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 34.6
23
30
0
2
1
0
1
0
4
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-5
0%
46%
0-1
0%
Shane Larkin
G · 5'11" 175 · 23.4
24
21
4
4
6
0
1
0
2
0
4
2-2
100%
1-4
2-4
25%
48%
0-1
0%
Markel Brown
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.0
24
16
10
0
2
0
1
0
1
0
0
1-2
50%
0-2
1-3
0%
43%
3-5
60%
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 24.9
24
12
8
9
0
1
0
2
3
3
6
2-6
33%
3-7
2-4
43%
48%
0-0
-
Bojan Bogdanovic
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.8
16
23
11
2
0
0
0
0
2
2
0
2-2
100%
0-2
2-4
0%
51%
3-4
75%
Chris McCullough
F · 6'9" 215 · 21.0
14
7
5
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
48%
1-3
33%
Sergey Karasev
G-F · 6'7" 208 · 22.3
12
2
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-1
0%
Andrea Bargnani
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 30.3
8
0
1-3
48%
Willie Reed
· 6'11" 245 · 25.7
3
0
0-1
52%
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson
F · 6'7" 214 · 21.1
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.