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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
February 10, 2016
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Nuggets
103
18Pistons
92
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 27.5
39
36
15
7
4
2
1
0
2
1
6
8-9
89%
2-9
4-9
22%
45%
1-5
20%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 21.4
36
36
11
2
4
2
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
3-8
3-6
38%
50%
1-3
33%
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 19.9
34
32
14
4
6
2
1
1
2
0
4
1-3
33%
5-9
4-10
56%
39%
1-3
33%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 21.0
25
20
5
6
2
1
1
0
1
0
6
1-1
100%
2-6
3-7
33%
52%
0-1
0%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 26.2
18
26
12
6
1
0
1
0
2
2
4
0-1
0%
6-9
5-9
67%
53%
0-0
-
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 21.5
24
13
16
11
2
1
1
1
3
3
8
0-0
-
8-11
2-5
73%
43%
0-1
0%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 25.1
22
24
20
5
2
2
1
1
1
1
4
5-6
83%
6-9
4-7
67%
48%
1-3
33%
Joffrey Lauvergne
C · 6'11" 260 · 24.4
21
14
4
4
2
0
0
0
0
1
3
2-2
100%
1-2
2-4
50%
50%
0-0
-
Randy Foye
G · 6'4" 218 · 32.4
21
22
6
2
2
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
42%
2-3
67%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.9
7
0
1-2
45%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 36.0
4
0
0-0
46%
JJ Hickson
C-F · 6'9" 242 · 27.4
3
0
0-1
49%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.8
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 34.0
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 22.5
39
31
15
17
2
3
1
5
1
5
12
1-1
100%
7-21
6-11
33%
55%
0-1
0%
Stanley Johnson
F · 6'7" 245 · 19.7
37
32
11
5
5
0
1
0
4
1
4
1-1
100%
5-12
4-8
42%
47%
0-4
0%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.7
35
21
6
7
1
2
0
1
1
1
6
0-0
-
0-1
1-1
0%
51%
2-6
33%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.4
35
34
19
2
6
0
1
0
2
0
2
2-2
100%
7-13
4-7
54%
50%
1-2
50%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 26.4
29
17
16
3
1
0
1
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
44%
4-8
50%
Darrun Hilliard
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.8
27
18
9
1
6
0
1
0
2
0
1
2-3
67%
2-4
2-4
50%
49%
1-2
50%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 29.2
19
15
10
7
0
0
0
2
1
0
7
0-0
-
5-6
2-5
83%
53%
0-1
0%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 36.0
19
3
6
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
2-3
67%
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 25.8
29
1
5-11
49%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.7
25
1
3-5
49%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 23.0
13
1
2-3
50%
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 24.9
1
0
0-0
46%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 33.5
1
0
0-0
50%
Spencer Dinwiddie
G · 6'6" 200 · 22.8
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.