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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 26, 2016
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
3Cavaliers
97
6Raptors
99
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LeBron James
F-G · 6'8" 250 · 31.2
40
33
25
8
7
1
1
0
6
1
7
5-9
56%
7-14
7-13
50%
54%
2-4
50%
Kevin Love
C-F · 6'10" 251 · 27.5
35
30
20
9
5
1
1
0
0
3
6
8-10
80%
3-10
3-7
30%
48%
2-5
40%
JR Smith
G-F · 6'6" 225 · 30.5
32
33
13
3
0
0
1
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
2-2
2-5
100%
44%
3-6
50%
Kyrie Irving
G · 6'3" 193 · 23.9
31
29
10
1
1
1
1
0
2
1
0
2-2
100%
4-9
5-11
44%
49%
0-2
0%
Tristan Thompson
C-F · 6'9" 254 · 25.0
29
26
6
10
2
0
0
0
1
3
7
0-0
-
3-6
2-5
50%
54%
0-0
-
Iman Shumpert
G · 6'5" 212 · 25.7
22
8
2
3
3
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
0-1
50%
44%
0-0
-
Matthew Dellavedova
G · 6'4" 198 · 25.5
21
25
8
0
3
0
1
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
1-4
50%
40%
2-3
67%
Channing Frye
F · 6'11" 255 · 32.8
12
14
3
3
0
1
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-1
0%
45%
1-2
50%
Timofey Mozgov
C · 7'1" 275 · 29.6
9
21
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
54%
0-0
-
Richard Jefferson
F · 6'7" 233 · 35.7
8
18
6
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
2-2
100%
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 33.2
4
0
1-1
45%
James Jones
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 35.4
3
0
0-0
41%
Sasha Kaun
C · 6'11" 260 · 30.8
1
0
0-0
47%
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 29.9
43
36
43
5
9
4
2
0
2
0
5
11-15
73%
13-15
4-8
87%
46%
2-5
40%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 26.6
32
35
6
6
2
1
1
0
2
0
6
4-4
100%
1-10
7-15
10%
45%
0-1
0%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 23.8
28
24
11
9
0
1
0
0
2
4
5
3-4
75%
4-5
5-8
80%
55%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 29.0
16
19
0
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
54%
0-1
0%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 35.8
11
15
2
2
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0-1
0%
1-3
2-4
33%
47%
0-2
0%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 27.0
37
30
5
3
1
0
1
0
3
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-3
33%
51%
1-1
100%
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 25.1
27
22
15
2
1
0
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
2-3
60%
48%
3-6
50%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.5
24
24
6
1
4
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-8
3-6
38%
51%
0-1
0%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 23.5
20
22
11
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
4
1-2
50%
5-5
2-3
100%
53%
0-0
-
Anthony Bennett
F · 6'8" 245 · 23.0
2
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
0-0
-
Norman Powell
F-G · 6'4" 215 · 22.8
4
0
0-1
44%
Lucas Nogueira
C · 7'0" 220 · 23.6
2
0
0-0
52%
Delon Wright
G · 6'5" 190 · 23.8
1
0
0-0
43%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 29.6
Bruno Caboclo
F · 6'9" 205 · 20.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.