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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
February 26, 2016
8:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
25Nuggets
116
14Mavericks
122
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 21.5
46
29
17
4
0
2
1
0
1
2
2
2-5
40%
3-4
3-6
75%
50%
3-9
33%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 26.3
34
21
20
12
0
1
1
1
1
6
6
4-6
67%
8-12
4-8
67%
53%
0-0
-
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 27.6
28
34
12
7
3
0
1
1
2
3
4
3-5
60%
3-8
4-9
38%
45%
1-3
33%
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.0
26
28
4
2
6
1
1
0
4
0
2
2-2
100%
1-4
3-9
25%
40%
0-1
0%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 21.0
11
22
5
4
2
0
1
0
1
3
1
1-2
50%
2-4
4-7
50%
53%
0-0
-
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 25.1
43
26
22
9
3
0
1
0
4
2
7
4-5
80%
9-17
4-8
53%
48%
0-7
0%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 28.3
36
20
20
2
3
1
1
0
1
0
2
3-4
75%
4-8
1-2
50%
41%
3-6
50%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.9
30
19
13
8
1
1
1
1
1
2
6
2-2
100%
4-7
2-4
57%
46%
1-2
50%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 36.0
5
3
3
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
44%
1-1
100%
JaKarr Sampson
F · 6'9" 207 · 22.9
4
12
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-3
-
48%
0-0
-
Joffrey Lauvergne
C · 6'11" 260 · 24.4
3
18
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
3-5
-
51%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 34.0
10
0
1-1
45%
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 21.5
6
0
1-2
44%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.8
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 29.4
41
30
17
3
2
1
1
0
1
1
2
5-6
83%
0-1
2-4
0%
50%
4-7
57%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 37.7
40
31
20
13
4
0
1
1
2
2
11
0-0
-
10-18
5-10
56%
49%
0-3
0%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 27.3
40
26
27
5
4
1
1
0
2
0
5
3-4
75%
6-7
3-6
86%
54%
4-10
40%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.7
31
32
12
0
4
0
1
0
3
0
0
3-4
75%
0-4
3-7
0%
46%
3-3
100%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 32.0
8
24
0
1
0
2
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
3-5
-
48%
0-0
-
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 31.7
40
29
16
4
6
1
1
0
1
0
4
2-2
100%
7-10
3-6
70%
47%
0-2
0%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 32.8
25
14
14
14
2
1
0
0
1
7
7
2-4
50%
6-10
3-6
60%
50%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 33.0
22
16
9
2
2
3
1
0
3
0
2
5-5
100%
2-4
1-3
50%
51%
0-2
0%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 31.7
16
17
7
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
3-5
2-4
60%
47%
0-2
0%
Salah Mejri
C · 7'2" 235 · 29.7
2
10
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
55%
0-0
-
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 31.5
5
0
1-1
50%
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 24.6
5
0
1-1
53%
Justin Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 22.3
4
0
0-1
51%
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 28.1
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 28.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.