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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 4, 2016
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
15Trail Blazers
115
6Raptors
117
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Damian Lillard
G · 6'3" 195 · 25.6
40
33
50
3
5
0
1
0
4
2
1
12-13
92%
10-15
5-11
67%
48%
6-13
46%
CJ McCollum
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.5
38
33
24
1
5
2
1
0
1
0
1
4-4
100%
4-12
5-12
33%
47%
4-5
80%
Mason Plumlee
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 26.0
27
24
8
4
1
0
1
1
3
0
4
4-6
67%
2-4
3-5
50%
54%
0-1
0%
Al-Farouq Aminu
F · 6'9" 220 · 25.5
17
22
4
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-3
40%
48%
0-1
0%
Noah Vonleh
F · 6'9" 245 · 20.5
11
16
3
4
1
0
0
0
1
0
4
1-1
100%
1-1
2-4
100%
46%
0-0
-
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 28.2
32
20
9
4
1
2
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
3-7
3-5
43%
46%
1-2
50%
Allen Crabbe
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 23.9
24
25
6
3
1
0
1
0
0
2
1
0-0
-
3-7
2-4
43%
51%
0-1
0%
Ed Davis
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 26.7
21
19
9
7
0
0
1
2
0
3
4
3-7
43%
3-4
2-4
75%
57%
0-0
-
Maurice Harkless
F · 6'9" 220 · 22.8
19
15
2
6
0
1
1
0
1
2
4
2-4
50%
0-0
1-3
-
55%
0-1
0%
Meyers Leonard
C · 7'1" 255 · 24.0
12
20
0
3
0
0
0
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-3
0%
54%
0-3
0%
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 30.3
1
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
44%
0-0
-
Pat Connaughton
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 23.2
4
0
0-1
43%
Chris Kaman
C · 7'0" 265 · 33.9
2
0
0-1
47%
Luis Montero
· 6'7" 185 · 22.9
Cliff Alexander
F · 6'8" 240 · 20.3
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'7" 220 · 26.6
37
34
38
3
2
0
1
0
4
1
2
24-25
96%
7-19
7-15
37%
47%
0-0
-
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 205 · 29.9
37
32
28
5
6
2
2
0
3
1
4
9-15
60%
5-10
4-8
50%
48%
3-5
60%
Jonas Valanciunas
C · 7'0" 255 · 23.8
27
24
17
10
1
0
0
1
1
4
6
3-6
50%
7-8
5-8
88%
57%
0-0
-
Norman Powell
F-G · 6'4" 215 · 22.8
22
3
10
6
1
0
0
0
1
2
4
2-2
100%
1-2
0-1
50%
48%
2-3
67%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 35.8
15
17
0
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
2-4
-
48%
0-1
0%
Cory Joseph
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.5
31
23
6
2
2
2
1
1
0
0
2
2-2
100%
2-5
3-6
40%
52%
0-0
-
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 27.0
30
29
7
6
0
0
1
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
2-4
1-3
50%
52%
1-2
50%
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 25.1
22
27
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
49%
0-1
0%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 23.5
20
19
9
4
0
0
0
2
2
0
4
3-4
75%
3-4
2-3
75%
54%
0-0
-
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 29.6
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
48%
0-0
-
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 29.0
17
1
2-3
55%
Delon Wright
G · 6'5" 190 · 23.9
8
0
1-2
48%
Lucas Nogueira
C · 7'0" 220 · 23.6
5
0
1-1
55%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 29.6
Bruno Caboclo
F · 6'9" 205 · 20.5
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.