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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 4, 2016
9:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
27Nets
121
24Nuggets
120
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Thaddeus Young
F · 6'8" 230 · 27.7
39
34
16
5
2
2
2
1
1
1
4
0-2
0%
8-16
6-12
50%
51%
0-0
-
Brook Lopez
C · 7'0" 268 · 27.9
38
33
20
4
5
2
1
0
3
2
2
8-10
80%
6-13
8-15
46%
52%
0-0
-
Bojan Bogdanovic
F · 6'8" 230 · 26.9
33
29
17
2
2
0
1
0
3
0
2
2-3
67%
3-6
3-5
50%
50%
3-6
50%
Wayne Ellington
G · 6'5" 200 · 28.3
20
25
8
1
1
1
1
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
45%
2-2
100%
Donald Sloan
G · 6'3" 205 · 28.1
18
26
7
2
6
0
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
2-5
67%
46%
1-2
50%
Shane Larkin
G · 5'11" 175 · 23.4
35
20
12
3
8
0
1
0
1
2
1
2-2
100%
2-7
2-5
29%
47%
2-2
100%
Markel Brown
G · 6'3" 190 · 24.1
33
19
21
8
7
0
1
0
1
2
6
2-2
100%
5-8
1-3
63%
43%
3-4
75%
Sean Kilpatrick
G · 6'4" 212 · 26.2
20
12
12
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
2-2
100%
2-6
1-1
33%
45%
2-5
40%
Thomas Robinson
F · 6'10" 237 · 25.0
16
13
2
6
1
0
1
0
1
1
5
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
46%
0-1
0%
Chris McCullough
F · 6'9" 215 · 21.1
12
6
6
1
0
0
0
2
0
0
1
0-0
-
3-3
1-1
100%
47%
0-0
-
Sergey Karasev
G-F · 6'7" 208 · 22.4
10
0
1-1
48%
Willie Reed
· 6'11" 245 · 25.8
8
0
1-2
52%
Jarrett Jack
G · 6'3" 200 · 32.4
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson
F · 6'7" 214 · 21.2
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Gary Harris
G · 6'4" 210 · 21.5
41
35
21
2
3
3
2
1
2
0
2
4-4
100%
7-8
4-7
88%
53%
1-7
14%
Nikola Jokic
C · 6'10" 250 · 21.0
34
22
15
12
4
1
1
1
2
2
10
3-3
100%
6-12
4-7
50%
55%
0-2
0%
Emmanuel Mudiay
G · 6'3" 200 · 20.0
33
30
25
6
7
2
1
1
3
3
3
6-7
86%
8-13
4-9
62%
42%
1-3
33%
Kenneth Faried
F · 6'8" 228 · 26.3
28
22
17
10
1
0
1
1
2
4
6
5-6
83%
6-9
5-8
67%
56%
0-0
-
JaKarr Sampson
F · 6'9" 207 · 23.0
26
20
7
5
3
0
1
0
2
4
1
1-2
50%
3-4
2-4
75%
50%
0-2
0%
Will Barton
F-G · 6'6" 190 · 25.2
34
28
9
2
3
1
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-11
4-8
27%
50%
1-6
17%
Darrell Arthur
F · 6'9" 235 · 27.9
25
23
0
4
4
1
1
1
1
1
3
0-0
-
0-0
2-5
-
48%
0-1
0%
D.J. Augustin
G · 6'0" 183 · 28.3
20
21
12
3
2
0
1
0
0
1
2
1-1
100%
1-4
1-3
25%
44%
3-4
75%
Joffrey Lauvergne
C · 6'11" 260 · 24.4
19
20
14
5
1
0
0
0
2
2
3
2-2
100%
6-9
3-6
67%
54%
0-1
0%
Axel Toupane
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 23.6
5
7
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-1
-
49%
0-0
-
Jameer Nelson
G · 6'0" 190 · 34.1
7
0
0-1
47%
Jusuf Nurkic
C · 7'0" 280 · 21.5
4
0
1-2
46%
Mike Miller
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 36.0
2
0
0-0
50%
Wilson Chandler
F · 6'9" 225 · 28.8
Danilo Gallinari
F · 6'10" 225 · 27.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.