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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Friday
March 18, 2016
8:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
2Warriors
130
12Mavericks
112
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Harrison Barnes
F · 6'8" 225 · 23.8
36
31
20
5
2
1
1
1
0
1
4
4-5
80%
5-10
3-6
50%
50%
2-3
67%
Draymond Green
F · 6'7" 230 · 26.0
36
31
15
4
8
1
1
1
4
0
4
3-3
100%
3-6
3-6
50%
52%
2-2
100%
Stephen Curry
G · 6'3" 190 · 28.0
34
30
31
9
10
2
2
0
1
1
8
1-1
100%
6-14
4-8
43%
54%
6-12
50%
Klay Thompson
G · 6'7" 215 · 26.1
34
28
39
6
2
2
1
1
3
0
6
1-1
100%
4-7
4-8
57%
50%
10-15
67%
Andrew Bogut
C · 7'0" 260 · 31.3
9
20
2
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
2-4
0%
56%
0-0
-
Shaun Livingston
G · 6'7" 192 · 30.5
18
17
2
2
5
2
1
0
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-5
2-4
20%
53%
0-0
-
Leandro Barbosa
G · 6'3" 194 · 33.3
17
20
5
1
2
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
50%
1-2
50%
Marreese Speights
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 28.6
17
16
13
5
2
0
0
1
1
0
5
0-0
-
5-6
3-7
83%
47%
1-2
50%
Brandon Rush
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 30.7
15
17
0
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
48%
0-1
0%
James Michael McAdoo
· 6'9" 230 · 23.2
12
9
3
3
1
0
0
0
1
2
1
1-2
50%
1-4
1-3
25%
53%
0-0
-
Anderson Varejao
F · 6'11" 260 · 33.5
9
9
0
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
50%
0-0
-
Ian Clark
G · 6'3" 175 · 25.0
3
9
0
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
49%
0-1
0%
Festus Ezeli
C · 6'11" 265 · 26.4
Andre Iguodala
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 32.1
Kevon Looney
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.1
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Dirk Nowitzki
C-F · 7'0" 245 · 37.7
33
31
24
9
4
0
1
3
0
1
8
3-3
100%
6-10
5-11
60%
48%
3-6
50%
Wesley Matthews
G-F · 6'5" 220 · 29.4
32
29
6
4
1
1
1
0
2
0
4
2-3
67%
2-4
2-4
50%
48%
0-5
0%
Deron Williams
G · 6'3" 200 · 31.7
28
27
11
3
7
0
1
0
2
0
3
2-2
100%
3-9
2-6
33%
44%
1-4
25%
Raymond Felton
G · 6'1" 205 · 31.7
27
22
13
2
6
0
1
2
0
0
2
0-0
-
5-9
2-5
56%
45%
1-2
50%
Chandler Parsons
F · 6'10" 230 · 27.4
22
35
14
3
0
3
1
0
1
1
2
4-4
100%
2-4
4-8
50%
52%
2-4
50%
J.J. Barea
G · 6'0" 185 · 31.7
28
20
16
3
7
0
0
0
4
0
3
2-2
100%
4-12
2-5
33%
46%
2-4
50%
David Lee
F-C · 6'9" 245 · 32.9
27
21
16
16
0
0
1
1
1
7
9
2-2
100%
7-8
4-8
88%
50%
0-0
-
Devin Harris
G · 6'3" 185 · 33.1
20
22
8
2
0
0
1
1
2
0
2
4-4
100%
2-5
2-4
40%
49%
0-2
0%
Justin Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 230 · 22.3
14
10
0
3
0
0
0
1
0
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
1-2
0%
47%
0-1
0%
Zaza Pachulia
C · 6'11" 270 · 32.1
3
14
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
2-2
100%
0-1
2-3
0%
46%
0-0
-
Dwight Powell
C-F · 6'11" 240 · 24.7
2
3
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
50%
0-1
0%
Charlie Villanueva
F · 6'11" 232 · 31.6
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-1
-
47%
0-0
-
Salah Mejri
C · 7'2" 235 · 29.8
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
0-0
-
52%
0-0
-
JaVale McGee
C · 7'0" 270 · 28.2
Jeremy Evans
F · 6'9" 200 · 28.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.