Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Friday, March 18, 2016
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Cavaliers | 109 | |||
25 | Magic | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Thunder | 81% | 114 | 111 | |
30 | 76ers | 19% | 102 | 97 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Kings | 108 | |||
18 | Pistons | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Celtics | 42% | 103 | 91 | |
6 | Raptors | 58% | 106 | 105 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Timberwolves | 111 | |||
10 | Rockets | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Trail Blazers | 49% | 107 | 117 | |
19 | Pelicans | 51% | 108 | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2 | Warriors | 130 | |||
12 | Mavericks | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Suns | 42% | 106 | 95 | |
29 | Lakers | 58% | 108 | 90 |
Thursday, March 17, 2016
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Raptors | 101 | |||
15 | Pacers | 94 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Wizards | 65% | 107 | 99 | |
30 | 76ers | 35% | 102 | 94 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Hornets | 109 | |||
11 | Heat | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Nuggets | 32% | 100 | 98 | |
9 | Hawks | 68% | 106 | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Nets | 102 | |||
17 | Bulls | 118 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Grizzlies | 34% | 97 | 86 | |
24 | Bucks | 66% | 102 | 96 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Trail Blazers | 110 | |||
1 | Spurs | 118 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Suns | 26% | 98 | 69 | |
14 | Jazz | 74% | 107 | 103 |
Wednesday, March 16, 2016
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Thunder | 53% | 109 | 130 | |
8 | Celtics | 47% | 108 | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Magic | 99 | |||
7 | Hornets | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Mavericks | 25% | 102 | 98 | |
3 | Cavaliers | 75% | 112 | 99 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Bulls | 96 | |||
15 | Wizards | 117 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Hawks | 53% | 103 | 118 | |
18 | Pistons | 47% | 102 | 114 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Timberwolves | 114 | |||
22 | Grizzlies | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Clippers | 45% | 105 | 122 | |
9 | Rockets | 55% | 107 | 106 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Pelicans | 123 | |||
19 | Kings | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Knicks | 18% | 102 | 85 | |
2 | Warriors | 82% | 115 | 121 |
Tuesday, March 15, 2016
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Celtics | 44% | 102 | 98 | |
14 | Pacers | 56% | 104 | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Nuggets | 110 | |||
24 | Magic | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | 76ers | 41% | 103 | 114 | |
28 | Nets | 59% | 106 | 131 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
6 | Raptors | 107 | |||
22 | Bucks | 89 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Clippers | 26% | 97 | 87 | |
1 | Spurs | 74% | 106 | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Kings | 106 | |||
29 | Lakers | 98 |
Monday, March 14, 2016
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Mavericks | 107 | |||
7 | Hornets | 96 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Pistons | 47% | 104 | 81 | |
16 | Wizards | 53% | 105 | 124 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Nuggets | 119 | |||
11 | Heat | 124 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Bulls | 27% | 99 | 109 | |
6 | Raptors | 73% | 108 | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Grizzlies | 81 | |||
9 | Rockets | 130 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Trail Blazers | 27% | 105 | 94 | |
4 | Thunder | 73% | 113 | 128 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Cavaliers | 85 | |||
14 | Jazz | 94 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Timberwolves | 53% | 109 | 104 | |
27 | Suns | 47% | 108 | 107 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Pelicans | 107 | |||
2 | Warriors | 125 |
Sunday, March 13, 2016
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Cavaliers | 49% | 106 | 114 | |
4 | Clippers | 51% | 107 | 90 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Pacers | 75 | |||
10 | Hawks | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Bucks | 49% | 103 | 109 | |
28 | Nets | 51% | 104 | 100 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Jazz | 108 | |||
22 | Kings | 99 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Knicks | 58% | 108 | 90 | |
29 | Lakers | 42% | 105 | 87 |
Saturday, March 12, 2016
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Pacers | 46% | 103 | 112 | |
13 | Mavericks | 54% | 104 | 105 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
18 | Grizzlies | 83 | |||
10 | Hawks | 95 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Rockets | 39% | 103 | 109 | |
7 | Hornets | 61% | 107 | 125 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Pistons | 125 | |||
30 | 76ers | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
11 | Heat | 33% | 98 | 104 | |
6 | Raptors | 67% | 104 | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Pelicans | 92 | |||
24 | Bucks | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Thunder | 25% | 100 | 85 | |
1 | Spurs | 75% | 109 | 93 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Wizards | 100 | |||
21 | Nuggets | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Suns | 12% | 102 | 116 | |
2 | Warriors | 88% | 118 | 123 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Magic | 84 | |||
14 | Trail Blazers | 121 |
Friday, March 11, 2016
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Pistons | 36% | 100 | 103 | |
8 | Hornets | 64% | 105 | 118 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Nets | 89 | |||
30 | 76ers | 95 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Rockets | 44% | 107 | 102 | |
7 | Celtics | 56% | 109 | 98 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Heat | 118 | |||
16 | Bulls | 96 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Pelicans | 47% | 100 | 114 | |
18 | Grizzlies | 53% | 101 | 121 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Timberwolves | 99 | |||
5 | Thunder | 96 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Wizards | 43% | 98 | 93 | |
17 | Jazz | 57% | 101 | 114 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
24 | Magic | 107 | |||
22 | Kings | 100 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Trail Blazers | 22% | 105 | 112 | |
2 | Warriors | 78% | 115 | 128 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Knicks | 94 | |||
4 | Clippers | 101 |
Thursday, March 10, 2016
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Hawks | 44% | 101 | 96 | |
6 | Raptors | 56% | 103 | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Bulls | 101 | |||
2 | Spurs | 109 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Suns | 31% | 103 | 98 | |
22 | Nuggets | 69% | 110 | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Cavaliers | 120 | |||
29 | Lakers | 108 |
Wednesday, March 9, 2016
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
20 | Pelicans | 113 | |||
9 | Hornets | 122 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
8 | Rockets | 72% | 111 | 118 | |
30 | 76ers | 28% | 102 | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
14 | Heat | 108 | |||
23 | Bucks | 114 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Grizzlies | 32% | 99 | 96 | |
7 | Celtics | 68% | 106 | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Pistons | 102 | |||
13 | Mavericks | 96 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Clippers | 36% | 106 | 108 | |
4 | Thunder | 64% | 111 | 120 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Knicks | 128 | |||
27 | Suns | 97 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
3 | Cavaliers | 66% | 111 | 120 | |
21 | Kings | 34% | 105 | 111 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Jazz | 94 | |||
1 | Warriors | 115 |
Tuesday, March 8, 2016
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Nets | 99 | |||
6 | Raptors | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Spurs | 77% | 109 | 116 | |
26 | Timberwolves | 23% | 99 | 91 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
25 | Knicks | 94 | |||
24 | Nuggets | 110 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Hawks | 46% | 99 | 91 | |
16 | Jazz | 54% | 100 | 84 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
17 | Wizards | 109 | |||
15 | Trail Blazers | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Magic | 54% | 106 | 98 | |
29 | Lakers | 46% | 104 | 107 |
Monday, March 7, 2016
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
26 | Timberwolves | 26% | 100 | 103 | |
8 | Hornets | 74% | 109 | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Grizzlies | 106 | |||
3 | Cavaliers | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Spurs | 67% | 102 | 91 | |
13 | Pacers | 33% | 96 | 99 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
23 | Bucks | 90 | |||
18 | Bulls | 100 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Kings | 47% | 108 | 112 | |
19 | Pelicans | 53% | 109 | 115 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
4 | Clippers | 109 | |||
11 | Mavericks | 90 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
22 | Magic | 19% | 101 | 113 | |
2 | Warriors | 81% | 113 | 119 |
Sunday, March 6, 2016
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
5 | Thunder | 104 | |||
22 | Bucks | 96 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Warriors | 86% | 116 | 95 | |
29 | Lakers | 14% | 101 | 112 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 | Suns | 109 | |||
11 | Grizzlies | 100 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
12 | Mavericks | 59% | 107 | 114 | |
24 | Nuggets | 41% | 104 | 116 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
15 | Trail Blazers | 103 | |||
20 | Pistons | 123 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
30 | 76ers | 26% | 96 | 98 | |
13 | Heat | 74% | 105 | 103 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Rockets | 113 | |||
6 | Raptors | 107 |
Saturday, March 5, 2016
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
7 | Celtics | 103 | |||
3 | Cavaliers | 120 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
19 | Pistons | 53% | 105 | 89 | |
25 | Knicks | 47% | 103 | 102 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
13 | Pacers | 100 | |||
17 | Wizards | 99 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
16 | Jazz | 49% | 101 | 106 | |
18 | Pelicans | 51% | 102 | 94 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 | Nets | 118 | |||
26 | Timberwolves | 132 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Rockets | 60% | 107 | 100 | |
20 | Bulls | 40% | 104 | 108 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
21 | Kings | 94 | |||
2 | Spurs | 104 |
Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|
10 | Hawks | 28% | 101 | 107 | |
4 | Clippers | 72% | 109 | 97 |