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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 21, 2016
7:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
1Spurs64%10488
7Hornets36%9991
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.8
36
26
19
5
7
1
1
2
3
2
3
2-2
100%
7-13
4-8
54%
50%
1-2
50%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 30.7
35
31
18
12
5
0
1
1
3
2
10
0-0
-
9-17
7-15
53%
50%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 39.9
31
16
16
10
2
2
0
4
1
3
7
2-5
40%
7-11
2-4
64%
50%
0-0
-
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.7
31
34
15
6
0
2
2
0
1
0
6
2-2
100%
5-10
6-12
50%
53%
1-4
25%
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.7
22
28
2
3
1
1
1
1
1
1
2
2-2
100%
0-2
1-3
0%
47%
0-5
0%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 38.6
23
17
3
2
3
1
1
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
2-4
0%
50%
1-2
50%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.6
16
21
2
3
1
0
1
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
49%
0-2
0%
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 33.9
15
22
0
3
3
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
0-5
3-5
0%
54%
0-0
-
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.6
15
14
6
2
1
1
0
2
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
2-4
75%
51%
0-0
-
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 33.1
10
10
7
0
0
1
0
1
0
0
0
2-2
100%
1-2
1-2
50%
43%
1-2
50%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.5
7
13
0
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
49%
0-0
-
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 36.0
8
0
0-1
48%
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 40.0
3
0
0-1
51%
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 27.6
Jonathon Simmons
F · 6'6" 195 · 26.5
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Nicolas Batum
G-F · 6'8" 200 · 27.3
35
36
15
6
3
1
1
1
5
2
4
5-7
71%
5-8
4-8
63%
48%
0-1
0%
Courtney Lee
G · 6'5" 200 · 30.5
33
29
17
2
2
4
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
7-11
2-4
64%
48%
1-2
50%
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 25.9
30
36
6
1
2
2
1
0
3
0
1
2-3
67%
2-7
4-9
29%
44%
0-4
0%
Cody Zeller
C-F · 7'0" 240 · 23.5
29
24
6
14
3
1
1
0
0
4
10
0-0
-
3-6
3-6
50%
48%
0-0
-
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 29.8
22
29
6
2
2
0
1
1
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-3
3-6
0%
48%
2-4
50%
Jeremy Lin
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.6
31
22
29
7
2
1
1
0
3
0
7
3-3
100%
7-14
2-5
50%
44%
4-4
100%
Frank Kaminsky
F-C · 7'0" 242 · 23.0
26
17
5
1
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
1-2
50%
2-6
1-3
33%
45%
0-3
0%
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 31.2
19
21
3
6
2
0
0
1
1
3
3
1-2
50%
1-9
4-9
11%
48%
0-0
-
Jeremy Lamb
G · 6'5" 185 · 23.8
16
4
4
7
2
1
0
2
0
1
6
1-2
50%
0-4
1-1
0%
50%
1-1
100%
Troy Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 24.7
12
0
1-2
42%
Spencer Hawes
F-C · 7'1" 245 · 27.9
7
0
1-1
44%
Tyler Hansbrough
· 6'9" 250 · 30.4
3
0
0-1
44%
Jorge Gutierrez
G · 6'3" 189 · 27.2
2
0
0-0
45%
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
F · 6'7" 232 · 22.5
Aaron Harrison
G · 6'6" 210 · 21.4
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.