for complete access.

Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 21, 2016
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Magic32%10296
14Celtics68%108107
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Victor Oladipo
G · 6'4" 210 · 23.9
38.9
37.6
25
67%
8
1
5
2
1
5
1
7
4-4
100%
9-13
6-12
69%
47%
1-4
25%
Evan Fournier
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 23.4
33.0
33.9
13
39%
0
2
2
1
0
1
0
0
2-4
50%
4-9
4-8
44%
48%
1-6
17%
Aaron Gordon
F · 6'9" 220 · 20.5
28.8
22.6
13
46%
8
0
1
1
0
0
3
5
0-0
-
5-12
3-5
42%
52%
1-2
50%
Brandon Jennings
G · 6'1" 170 · 26.5
16.9
26.0
2
20%
1
3
0
1
1
0
1
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
41%
0-2
0%
Dewayne Dedmon
C · 7'0" 245 · 26.6
14.9
17.6
8
45%
5
0
1
0
0
0
1
4
2-2
100%
3-8
2-4
38%
51%
0-0
-
Elfrid Payton
G · 6'4" 185 · 22.1
31.1
12.6
8
42%
1
6
0
1
1
2
0
1
0-1
0%
4-8
2-3
50%
44%
0-1
0%
Jason Smith
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 30.1
26.6
16.6
6
34%
3
2
0
0
1
0
2
1
2-2
100%
2-7
3-7
29%
47%
0-1
0%
Mario Hezonja
F-G · 6'8" 218 · 21.1
17.4
14.4
3
44%
7
1
0
0
1
3
2
5
1-1
100%
1-3
1-3
33%
49%
0-0
-
Andrew Nicholson
F · 6'9" 250 · 26.3
15.3
13.9
13
70%
6
0
0
0
1
0
1
5
2-3
67%
4-6
2-3
67%
48%
1-2
50%
Ersan Ilyasova
F · 6'9" 235 · 28.9
10.4
22.6
5
63%
5
0
0
1
1
0
3
2
0-0
-
1-3
3-6
33%
46%
1-1
100%
Devyn Marble
F · 6'6" 200 · 23.5
6.6
10.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-2
0%
0-2
1-1
0%
42%
0-0
-
C.J. Watson
G · 6'2" 175 · 31.9
13.8
1
1-2
43%
Shabazz Napier
G · 6'1" 175 · 24.7
4.1
0
0-1
38%
Nikola Vucevic
C · 7'0" 260 · 25.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Avery Bradley
G · 6'2" 180 · 25.3
37.4
34.3
22
66%
9
3
1
1
0
3
1
8
3-4
75%
8-11
4-8
73%
50%
1-4
25%
Amir Johnson
C-F · 6'9" 240 · 28.9
34.0
22.8
11
85%
11
2
0
1
3
2
4
7
1-1
100%
5-6
3-6
83%
60%
0-0
-
Isaiah Thomas
G · 5'9" 185 · 27.1
33.8
31.5
28
60%
5
7
1
1
0
4
1
4
10-12
83%
9-16
5-11
56%
49%
0-2
0%
Evan Turner
F-G · 6'7" 220 · 27.4
32.0
29.5
16
73%
5
4
0
1
1
2
0
5
0-0
-
5-9
4-9
56%
48%
2-2
100%
Jared Sullinger
C-F · 6'9" 260 · 24.0
20.6
27.2
5
32%
3
1
1
1
1
1
0
3
1-2
50%
2-5
5-11
40%
50%
0-2
0%
Marcus Smart
G · 6'4" 220 · 22.0
27.3
26.0
3
13%
3
1
1
1
0
1
0
3
1-1
100%
1-6
2-5
17%
46%
0-5
0%
Kelly Olynyk
F-C · 7'0" 245 · 24.9
21.4
22.6
22
80%
5
2
2
1
0
0
2
3
4-4
100%
3-6
3-5
50%
52%
4-6
67%
Jonas Jerebko
F · 6'10" 231 · 29.1
19.3
21.5
0
0%
5
1
1
1
1
1
1
4
0-0
-
0-2
2-4
0%
48%
0-1
0%
Terry Rozier
G · 6'2" 190 · 22.0
14.2
12.3
0
0%
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
44%
0-0
-
Tyler Zeller
C · 7'0" 250 · 26.2
13.3
0
3-5
52%
RJ Hunter
G · 6'5" 185 · 22.4
6.4
0
0-1
49%
James Young
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 20.6
5.4
0
0-0
51%
Jordan Mickey
C-F · 6'8" 235 · 21.7
4.6
0
1-1
50%
Coty Clarke
F · 6'7" 225 · 23.7
Jae Crowder
F · 6'6" 235 · 25.7
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.