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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 21, 2016
7:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
21Bucks31%10091
17Pistons69%10792
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GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jerryd Bayless
G · 6'3" 200 · 27.6
36.9
28.3
5
43%
3
6
0
1
0
1
0
3
0-2
0%
1-4
2-4
25%
43%
1-1
100%
Giannis Antetokounmpo
F · 6'11" 222 · 21.3
36.8
31.0
21
62%
12
5
0
1
2
0
1
11
0-0
-
9-14
6-11
64%
51%
1-3
33%
Jabari Parker
F · 6'8" 250 · 21.0
34.6
32.9
5
36%
6
2
0
1
2
2
2
4
0-0
-
1-6
6-13
17%
50%
1-1
100%
Greg Monroe
C-F · 6'11" 265 · 25.8
33.6
24.1
18
60%
10
1
2
1
2
2
2
8
0-0
-
9-15
5-9
60%
50%
0-0
-
Khris Middleton
F · 6'8" 234 · 24.6
31.9
31.0
27
78%
1
4
1
1
0
3
0
1
3-3
100%
9-13
4-9
69%
46%
2-3
67%
John Henson
C · 6'11" 229 · 25.2
14.4
18.2
3
52%
1
3
0
0
1
1
0
1
1-2
50%
1-2
3-5
50%
55%
0-0
-
Miles Plumlee
C · 6'11" 249 · 27.6
13.7
20.8
4
67%
2
0
0
1
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
3-6
67%
55%
0-0
-
Jared Cunningham
G · 6'4" 194 · 24.8
13.6
10.8
2
33%
1
0
1
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
41%
0-1
0%
Damien Inglis
F · 6'8" 246 · 20.8
13.3
9.7
2
33%
3
1
0
0
0
0
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
1-2
33%
48%
0-0
-
Tyler Ennis
G · 6'3" 194 · 21.6
11.1
19.7
4
40%
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-5
2-5
40%
44%
0-0
-
Michael Carter-Williams
G · 6'6" 190 · 24.4
8.6
0
1-2
45%
Steve Novak
F · 6'10" 225 · 32.8
8.5
0
0-0
40%
Johnny O'Bryant III
F-C · 6'9" 257 · 22.8
6.4
0
1-2
42%
Greivis Vasquez
G · 6'6" 217 · 29.2
Rashad Vaughn
G · 6'6" 202 · 19.6
O.J. Mayo
G · 6'5" 210 · 28.4
GameMINPTSTS%REBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
G · 6'5" 205 · 23.1
38.2
35.7
15
40%
3
3
1
1
0
1
2
1
1-2
50%
4-7
4-9
57%
51%
2-11
18%
Marcus Morris
F · 6'9" 235 · 26.5
37.1
29.8
21
102%
3
4
1
1
1
1
0
3
1-3
33%
4-5
3-7
80%
50%
4-4
100%
Tobias Harris
F · 6'9" 235 · 23.7
36.5
28.4
13
46%
6
2
0
1
0
0
2
4
5-5
100%
4-10
4-8
40%
53%
0-2
0%
Andre Drummond
C · 6'11" 279 · 22.6
33.1
28.7
14
43%
16
0
1
1
0
0
6
10
0-1
0%
7-16
6-11
44%
56%
0-0
-
Reggie Jackson
G · 6'3" 208 · 25.9
28.4
26.9
9
48%
5
5
1
1
0
3
0
5
3-3
100%
3-4
5-10
75%
50%
0-4
0%
Steve Blake
G · 6'3" 172 · 36.1
19.6
19.0
3
44%
0
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
1-1
100%
1-1
1-2
100%
45%
0-2
0%
Anthony Tolliver
F · 6'8" 240 · 30.8
16.4
11.5
11
61%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
0-1
100%
52%
3-8
38%
Stanley Johnson
F · 6'7" 245 · 19.8
15.7
23.3
4
29%
0
0
2
1
0
5
0
0
2-2
100%
1-4
2-5
25%
47%
0-2
0%
Aron Baynes
C · 6'10" 260 · 29.3
14.9
17.5
2
25%
5
0
0
0
1
1
0
5
0-0
-
1-4
3-6
25%
54%
0-0
-
Reggie Bullock
F-G · 6'7" 205 · 25.0
10.7
0
1-1
47%
Darrun Hilliard
G · 6'6" 220 · 22.9
3.8
0
0-1
49%
Lorenzo Brown
G · 6'5" 189 · 25.6
2.0
0
0-0
46%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 33.6
1.7
0
0-0
52%
Spencer Dinwiddie
G · 6'6" 200 · 23.0
Jodie Meeks
G · 6'4" 210 · 28.6
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.