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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with player e-skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 21, 2016
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
23Kings36%105102
17Bulls64%110109
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 25.6
35
34
19
18
3
1
1
2
8
4
14
7-7
100%
6-13
8-16
46%
47%
0-1
0%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 29.6
33
34
18
5
1
0
1
0
1
1
4
1-1
100%
4-7
5-10
57%
48%
3-4
75%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 30.1
31
31
14
4
5
0
2
0
6
2
2
0-0
-
7-12
3-6
58%
47%
0-1
0%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 27.0
16
13
2
2
2
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
0-4
0%
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 25.5
11
18
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
54%
0-1
0%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.6
32
34
19
4
4
0
1
0
1
1
3
3-3
100%
2-5
4-8
40%
50%
4-5
80%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.7
22
18
7
8
3
1
1
0
0
3
5
2-4
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
51%
1-3
33%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 30.0
22
20
9
2
4
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-1
0%
3-5
2-4
60%
46%
1-5
20%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 36.0
21
7
10
2
1
3
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
5-6
0-1
83%
42%
0-5
0%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 27.1
12
15
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
52%
0-0
-
Willie Cauley-Stein
C · 7'0" 240 · 22.6
5
12
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
55%
0-0
-
Seth Curry
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.6
9
0
1-1
44%
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 23.1
6
0
1-1
48%
Eric Moreland
F-C · 6'10" 238 · 24.2
Duje Dukan
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.3
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 26.5
35
30
11
3
8
5
1
0
0
2
1
5-7
71%
3-9
6-11
33%
50%
0-1
0%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.5
33
27
18
5
4
1
1
0
1
0
5
0-2
0%
9-14
6-12
64%
48%
0-1
0%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.7
33
26
18
3
2
4
1
1
1
3
0
4-4
100%
7-13
4-7
54%
53%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 35.5
27
21
9
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
48%
3-6
50%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 35.7
25
31
14
14
3
1
1
3
0
3
11
6-8
75%
4-10
6-12
40%
50%
0-0
-
Doug McDermott
F · 6'8" 219 · 24.2
21
26
16
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
50%
4-7
57%
Nikola Mirotic
F · 6'10" 238 · 25.1
21
26
6
3
2
0
1
2
3
0
3
0-0
-
0-4
2-5
0%
49%
2-4
50%
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 27.0
15
18
9
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
47%
3-4
75%
Bobby Portis
F · 6'11" 248 · 21.1
15
21
6
6
1
0
1
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
3-6
4-7
50%
50%
0-0
-
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 31.2
15
15
2
3
6
1
0
0
2
1
2
0-2
0%
1-3
2-4
33%
45%
0-1
0%
Cristiano Felicio
C-F · 6'9" 280 · 23.7
13
0
1-2
51%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 27.1
12
0
2-3
51%
Tony Snell
G · 6'7" 221 · 24.4
5
0
0-1
46%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 31.1
Cameron Bairstow
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 25.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use e-skills to estimate a player's true skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about E-Skills here.