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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Monday
March 21, 2016
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
22Kings35%105102
17Bulls65%110109
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
DeMarcus Cousins
C · 6'11" 270 · 25.6
35
34
19
18
3
1
1
2
8
4
14
7-7
100%
6-13
8-16
46%
47%
0-1
0%
Rudy Gay
F · 6'8" 230 · 29.6
33
34
18
5
1
0
1
0
1
1
4
1-1
100%
4-7
5-10
57%
48%
3-4
75%
Rajon Rondo
G · 6'1" 186 · 30.1
31
31
14
4
5
0
2
0
6
2
2
0-0
-
7-12
3-6
58%
47%
0-1
0%
James Anderson
G-F · 6'6" 213 · 27.0
16
13
2
2
2
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
1-2
50%
47%
0-4
0%
Quincy Acy
F · 6'7" 240 · 25.5
11
18
2
1
0
0
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
2-3
100%
54%
0-1
0%
Darren Collison
G · 6'2" 185 · 28.6
32
34
19
4
4
0
1
0
1
1
3
3-3
100%
2-5
4-8
40%
50%
4-5
80%
Omri Casspi
F · 6'9" 225 · 27.7
22
18
7
8
3
1
1
0
0
3
5
2-4
50%
1-3
2-4
33%
51%
1-3
33%
Marco Belinelli
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 30.0
22
20
9
2
4
1
0
0
0
1
1
0-1
0%
3-5
2-4
60%
46%
1-5
20%
Caron Butler
F · 6'7" 228 · 36.0
21
7
10
2
1
3
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
5-6
0-1
83%
42%
0-5
0%
Kosta Koufos
C · 7'0" 265 · 27.1
12
15
2
3
0
0
0
0
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
52%
0-0
-
Willie Cauley-Stein
C · 7'0" 240 · 22.6
5
12
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
55%
0-0
-
Seth Curry
G · 6'2" 185 · 25.6
9
0
1-1
44%
Ben McLemore
G · 6'5" 195 · 23.1
6
0
1-1
48%
Eric Moreland
F-C · 6'10" 238 · 24.2
Duje Dukan
F · 6'9" 220 · 24.3
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 26.5
35
30
11
3
8
5
1
0
0
2
1
5-7
71%
3-9
6-11
33%
50%
0-1
0%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.5
33
27
18
5
4
1
1
0
1
0
5
0-2
0%
9-14
6-12
64%
48%
0-1
0%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.7
33
26
18
3
2
4
1
1
1
3
0
4-4
100%
7-13
4-7
54%
53%
0-0
-
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 35.5
27
21
9
1
1
1
1
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
48%
3-6
50%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 35.7
25
31
14
14
3
1
1
3
0
3
11
6-8
75%
4-10
6-12
40%
50%
0-0
-
Doug McDermott
F · 6'8" 219 · 24.2
21
26
16
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
3-6
50%
50%
4-7
57%
Nikola Mirotic
F · 6'10" 238 · 25.1
21
26
6
3
2
0
1
2
3
0
3
0-0
-
0-4
2-5
0%
49%
2-4
50%
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 27.0
15
18
9
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
2-3
0%
47%
3-4
75%
Bobby Portis
F · 6'11" 248 · 21.1
15
21
6
6
1
0
1
0
0
2
4
0-0
-
3-6
4-7
50%
50%
0-0
-
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 31.2
15
15
2
3
6
1
0
0
2
1
2
0-2
0%
1-3
2-4
33%
45%
0-1
0%
Cristiano Felicio
C-F · 6'9" 280 · 23.7
13
0
1-2
51%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 27.1
12
0
2-3
51%
Tony Snell
G · 6'7" 221 · 24.4
5
0
0-1
46%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 31.1
Cameron Bairstow
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 25.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.