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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 23, 2016
8:00 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
26Knicks
115
17Bulls
107
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Carmelo Anthony
F · 6'8" 240 · 31.8
39
24
24
3
5
0
1
0
3
0
3
0-1
0%
6-16
4-9
38%
47%
4-6
67%
Jose Calderon
G · 6'3" 200 · 34.5
37
27
11
4
8
1
1
0
0
0
4
3-4
75%
1-2
2-4
50%
47%
2-4
50%
Robin Lopez
C · 7'0" 277 · 28.0
33
31
11
13
3
0
0
4
0
9
4
1-1
100%
5-11
5-10
45%
54%
0-0
-
Kristaps Porzingis
F-C · 7'3" 240 · 20.6
31
31
29
10
1
0
1
0
3
2
8
4-6
67%
8-10
5-11
80%
47%
3-6
50%
Sasha Vujacic
G · 6'7" 195 · 32.0
13
14
6
5
1
1
1
1
0
0
5
0-0
-
0-0
1-2
-
38%
2-2
100%
Arron Afflalo
G · 6'5" 210 · 30.4
35
30
12
8
7
0
0
0
1
1
7
1-1
100%
4-10
3-7
40%
48%
1-3
33%
Jerian Grant
G · 6'4" 198 · 23.5
17
17
8
3
0
0
1
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
2-4
50%
45%
2-3
67%
Derrick Williams
F · 6'8" 240 · 24.8
15
19
10
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0
0-0
-
5-6
3-6
83%
50%
0-1
0%
Kevin Seraphin
F-C · 6'10" 278 · 26.3
12
9
2
5
2
1
0
1
1
0
5
2-2
100%
0-2
2-3
0%
47%
0-0
-
Langston Galloway
G · 6'2" 200 · 24.3
9
23
2
1
0
1
1
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-3
2-5
33%
44%
0-0
-
Kyle O'Quinn
C-F · 6'10" 250 · 26.0
8
0
1-2
51%
Lou Amundson
F · 6'9" 220 · 33.3
6
0
1-2
42%
Tony Wroten
G · 6'6" 205 · 22.9
Cleanthony Early
F · 6'8" 210 · 24.9
Lance Thomas
F · 6'8" 235 · 27.9
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Jimmy Butler
G · 6'8" 236 · 26.5
36
31
7
4
8
2
1
1
0
1
3
1-2
50%
3-10
6-11
30%
50%
0-1
0%
Derrick Rose
G · 6'3" 190 · 27.5
32
29
21
3
4
0
1
0
0
0
3
1-1
100%
7-12
6-13
58%
48%
2-5
40%
Mike Dunleavy
G-F · 6'9" 230 · 35.5
28
23
7
4
2
0
1
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
2-3
1-3
67%
48%
1-4
25%
Pau Gasol
C · 7'0" 250 · 35.7
25
27
4
5
4
1
0
1
0
0
5
0-0
-
2-6
5-10
33%
50%
0-1
0%
Taj Gibson
F · 6'9" 235 · 30.7
20
28
10
2
0
2
1
1
0
1
1
6-7
86%
2-4
4-8
50%
52%
0-0
-
Nikola Mirotic
F · 6'10" 238 · 25.1
34
24
35
6
0
1
1
0
0
2
4
6-7
86%
1-4
2-4
25%
48%
9-13
69%
Doug McDermott
F · 6'8" 219 · 24.2
20
24
7
4
1
0
0
0
0
0
4
2-2
100%
1-1
3-5
100%
50%
1-4
25%
Bobby Portis
F · 6'11" 248 · 21.1
17
19
6
4
3
0
1
1
2
1
3
0-2
0%
3-6
3-6
50%
50%
0-0
-
Aaron Brooks
G · 6'0" 161 · 31.2
16
15
10
0
5
1
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
2-4
67%
45%
2-3
67%
Justin Holiday
G · 6'6" 185 · 27.0
12
17
0
2
2
0
1
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-1
1-3
0%
46%
0-1
0%
E'Twaun Moore
F-G · 6'4" 191 · 27.1
10
0
1-2
51%
Cristiano Felicio
C-F · 6'9" 280 · 23.7
9
0
1-2
51%
Tony Snell
G · 6'7" 221 · 24.4
5
0
0-1
46%
Joakim Noah
C · 6'11" 230 · 31.1
Cameron Bairstow
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 25.3
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.