Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Wednesday, March 23, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 21 | Bucks | 21% | 98 | 104 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 10 | Raptors | 45% | 103 | 79 |
 | 14 | Celtics | 55% | 105 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23 | Magic | 39% | 102 | 102 |
 | 18 | Pistons | 61% | 106 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22 | Knicks | 38% | 102 | 115 |
 | 17 | Bulls | 62% | 106 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 20 | Timberwolves | 54% | 110 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 15 | Heat | 16% | 93 | 88 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 29 | Lakers | 40% | 106 | 107 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 16 | Mavericks | 42% | 106 | 103 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Tuesday, March 22, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 6 | Hornets | 64% | 106 | 105 |
 | 29 | Nets | 36% | 101 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Heat | 57% | 103 | 113 |
 | 24 | Pelicans | 43% | 101 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Rockets | 30% | 106 | 107 |
 | 3 | Thunder | 70% | 113 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 28 | Lakers | 53% | 103 | 107 |
Monday, March 21, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spurs | 64% | 104 | 88 |
| 7 | Hornets | 36% | 99 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Nuggets | 20% | 99 | 91 |
| 3 | Cavaliers | 80% | 111 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 16% | 96 | 75 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Magic | 32% | 102 | 96 |
| 14 | Celtics | 68% | 108 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bucks | 31% | 100 | 91 |
| 17 | Pistons | 69% | 107 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wizards | 39% | 101 | 117 |
| 6 | Hawks | 61% | 105 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Kings | 35% | 105 | 102 |
| 18 | Bulls | 65% | 110 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Warriors | 74% | 115 | 109 |
| 20 | Timberwolves | 26% | 106 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Grizzlies | 51% | 104 | 103 |
| 27 | Suns | 49% | 103 | 97 |
Sunday, March 20, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Trail Blazers | 45% | 107 | 120 |
| 16 | Mavericks | 55% | 108 | 132 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Magic | 30% | 98 | 100 |
| 8 | Raptors | 70% | 105 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Celtics | 71% | 110 | 120 |
| 30 | 76ers | 29% | 102 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Clippers | 60% | 107 | 105 |
| 24 | Pelicans | 40% | 104 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Jazz | 53% | 99 | 94 |
| 22 | Bucks | 47% | 98 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Kings | 47% | 106 | 88 |
| 19 | Knicks | 53% | 107 | 80 |
Saturday, March 19, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Nuggets | 27% | 100 | 101 |
| 6 | Hornets | 73% | 109 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Nets | 31% | 101 | 103 |
| 17 | Pistons | 69% | 108 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Thunder | 48% | 104 | 115 |
| 11 | Pacers | 52% | 105 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Knicks | 35% | 101 | 89 |
| 12 | Wizards | 65% | 106 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Rockets | 36% | 102 | 97 |
| 8 | Hawks | 64% | 107 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | 57% | 104 | 101 |
| 14 | Heat | 43% | 101 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Jazz | 56% | 101 | 85 |
| 21 | Bulls | 44% | 99 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Clippers | 73% | 105 | 102 |
| 27 | Grizzlies | 27% | 96 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Warriors | 32% | 103 | 79 |
| 1 | Spurs | 68% | 109 | 87 |
Friday, March 18, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | 72% | 108 | 109 |
| 24 | Magic | 28% | 100 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Thunder | 81% | 114 | 111 |
| 30 | 76ers | 19% | 102 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Kings | 40% | 106 | 108 |
| 17 | Pistons | 60% | 109 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Celtics | 42% | 103 | 91 |
| 7 | Raptors | 58% | 106 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Timberwolves | 33% | 105 | 111 |
| 9 | Rockets | 67% | 111 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Trail Blazers | 49% | 107 | 117 |
| 22 | Pelicans | 51% | 108 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Warriors | 63% | 112 | 130 |
| 11 | Mavericks | 37% | 108 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Suns | 42% | 106 | 95 |
| 29 | Lakers | 58% | 108 | 90 |
Thursday, March 17, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Raptors | 47% | 101 | 101 |
| 12 | Pacers | 53% | 102 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wizards | 65% | 107 | 99 |
| 30 | 76ers | 35% | 102 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Hornets | 46% | 100 | 109 |
| 15 | Heat | 54% | 102 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Nuggets | 32% | 100 | 98 |
| 7 | Hawks | 68% | 106 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Nets | 40% | 102 | 102 |
| 24 | Bulls | 60% | 105 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Grizzlies | 34% | 97 | 86 |
| 20 | Bucks | 66% | 102 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Trail Blazers | 16% | 96 | 110 |
| 1 | Spurs | 84% | 110 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Suns | 26% | 98 | 69 |
| 10 | Jazz | 74% | 107 | 103 |
Wednesday, March 16, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Thunder | 53% | 109 | 130 |
| 10 | Celtics | 47% | 108 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Magic | 25% | 98 | 99 |
| 6 | Hornets | 75% | 107 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Mavericks | 25% | 102 | 98 |
| 3 | Cavaliers | 75% | 112 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bulls | 37% | 102 | 96 |
| 14 | Wizards | 63% | 106 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Hawks | 53% | 103 | 118 |
| 18 | Pistons | 47% | 102 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Timberwolves | 51% | 102 | 114 |
| 28 | Grizzlies | 49% | 101 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Clippers | 45% | 105 | 122 |
| 8 | Rockets | 55% | 107 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pelicans | 43% | 107 | 123 |
| 17 | Kings | 57% | 109 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Knicks | 18% | 102 | 85 |
| 2 | Warriors | 82% | 115 | 121 |
Tuesday, March 15, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Celtics | 44% | 102 | 98 |
| 12 | Pacers | 56% | 104 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Nuggets | 40% | 102 | 110 |
| 24 | Magic | 60% | 105 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 41% | 103 | 114 |
| 27 | Nets | 59% | 106 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Raptors | 53% | 103 | 107 |
| 19 | Bucks | 47% | 102 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Clippers | 26% | 97 | 87 |
| 1 | Spurs | 74% | 106 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Kings | 59% | 110 | 106 |
| 29 | Lakers | 41% | 106 | 98 |
Monday, March 14, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Mavericks | 39% | 103 | 107 |
| 8 | Hornets | 61% | 107 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Nuggets | 37% | 98 | 119 |
| 16 | Heat | 63% | 103 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bulls | 27% | 99 | 109 |
| 6 | Raptors | 73% | 108 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pistons | 47% | 104 | 81 |
| 17 | Wizards | 53% | 105 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Grizzlies | 28% | 97 | 81 |
| 7 | Rockets | 72% | 106 | 130 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Trail Blazers | 27% | 105 | 94 |
| 4 | Thunder | 73% | 113 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Timberwolves | 53% | 109 | 104 |
| 27 | Suns | 47% | 108 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | 58% | 102 | 85 |
| 10 | Jazz | 42% | 100 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pelicans | 16% | 103 | 107 |
| 2 | Warriors | 84% | 117 | 125 |
Sunday, March 13, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | 49% | 106 | 114 |
| 5 | Clippers | 51% | 107 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pacers | 42% | 99 | 75 |
| 10 | Hawks | 58% | 102 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Jazz | 54% | 104 | 108 |
| 19 | Kings | 46% | 103 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bucks | 49% | 103 | 109 |
| 27 | Nets | 51% | 104 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Knicks | 58% | 108 | 90 |
| 29 | Lakers | 42% | 105 | 87 |
Saturday, March 12, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pacers | 46% | 103 | 112 |
| 11 | Mavericks | 54% | 104 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Rockets | 39% | 103 | 109 |
| 6 | Hornets | 61% | 107 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pistons | 66% | 107 | 125 |
| 30 | 76ers | 34% | 101 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Heat | 33% | 98 | 104 |
| 8 | Raptors | 67% | 104 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Grizzlies | 21% | 92 | 83 |
| 9 | Hawks | 79% | 103 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Pelicans | 42% | 104 | 92 |
| 21 | Bucks | 58% | 106 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Thunder | 25% | 100 | 85 |
| 1 | Spurs | 75% | 109 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Wizards | 47% | 104 | 100 |
| 23 | Nuggets | 53% | 105 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Suns | 12% | 102 | 116 |
| 2 | Warriors | 88% | 118 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Magic | 36% | 102 | 84 |
| 15 | Trail Blazers | 64% | 107 | 121 |
Friday, March 11, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Pistons | 36% | 100 | 103 |
| 6 | Hornets | 64% | 105 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Nets | 49% | 104 | 89 |
| 30 | 76ers | 51% | 105 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Rockets | 44% | 107 | 102 |
| 10 | Celtics | 56% | 109 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Heat | 52% | 102 | 118 |
| 19 | Bulls | 48% | 101 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pelicans | 47% | 100 | 114 |
| 25 | Grizzlies | 53% | 101 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Timberwolves | 16% | 103 | 99 |
| 3 | Thunder | 84% | 116 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wizards | 43% | 98 | 93 |
| 14 | Jazz | 57% | 101 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Magic | 41% | 105 | 107 |
| 18 | Kings | 59% | 108 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Trail Blazers | 22% | 105 | 112 |
| 2 | Warriors | 78% | 115 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Knicks | 24% | 100 | 94 |
| 5 | Clippers | 76% | 110 | 101 |
Thursday, March 10, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Hawks | 44% | 101 | 96 |
| 8 | Raptors | 56% | 103 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bulls | 16% | 94 | 101 |
| 1 | Spurs | 84% | 108 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Suns | 31% | 103 | 98 |
| 24 | Nuggets | 69% | 110 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Cavaliers | 77% | 111 | 120 |
| 29 | Lakers | 23% | 101 | 108 |