Dunks & Threes: Pro Basketball Analysis

Final	W-Prob	pScore		ORTG	#Poss	Pace
	15	Heat	16%	92	88	97.8	90	91.8
	1	Spurs	84%	106	112	123.1	91	89.3

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Joe Johnson F · 6'7" 240 · 35	32.5	5	42%	2	5	1	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Josh McRoberts F · 6'10" 240 · 29	30.0	9	64%	3	3	0	0	2	4	0	3	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-2	50%
Dwyane Wade G · 6'4" 220 · 34	24.6	16	62%	5	3	0	1	3	0	1	4	0-1	0%	8-13	62%	0-0	-
Goran Dragic G · 6'3" 190 · 30	24.6	4	25%	1	4	2	0	6	2	0	1	0-0	-	2-7	29%	0-1	0%
Amar'e Stoudemire C · 6'10" 245 · 33	13.8	2	20%	4	0	0	2	1	1	0	4	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-0	-

Hassan Whiteside C · 7'0" 265 · 27	34.2	12	55%	14	1	1	2	2	2	4	10	2-4	50%	5-9	56%	0-0	-
Josh Richardson F · 6'6" 200 · 23	34.2	17	65%	2	4	3	1	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	4-9	44%	3-4	75%
Justise Winslow F · 6'7" 225 · 20	30.9	10	56%	2	3	0	0	0	4	0	2	3-5	60%	2-6	33%	1-1	100%
Gerald Green G-F · 6'7" 205 · 30	15.1	13	65%	3	0	1	0	0	1	0	3	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	1-2	50%
Luol Deng F · 6'9" 220 · 31	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Tyler Johnson G · 6'3" 186 · 24	\| DND - Left shoulder surgery
Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 36	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Chris Bosh #1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 32	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	88	53%	36	23	8	6	14	0	6	30	7-12	58%	30-63	48%	7-14	50%

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15 Miami Heat

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
Joe Johnson F · 6'7" 240 · 35	32.5	5	42%	2	5	1	0	0	0	0	2	0-0	-	1-2	50%	1-4	25%
Josh McRoberts F · 6'10" 240 · 29	30.0	9	64%	3	3	0	0	2	4	0	3	0-0	-	3-5	60%	1-2	50%
Dwyane Wade G · 6'4" 220 · 34	24.6	16	62%	5	3	0	1	3	0	1	4	0-1	0%	8-13	62%	0-0	-
Goran Dragic G · 6'3" 190 · 30	24.6	4	25%	1	4	2	0	6	2	0	1	0-0	-	2-7	29%	0-1	0%
Amar'e Stoudemire C · 6'10" 245 · 33	13.8	2	20%	4	0	0	2	1	1	0	4	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-0	-

Hassan Whiteside C · 7'0" 265 · 27	34.2	12	55%	14	1	1	2	2	2	4	10	2-4	50%	5-9	56%	0-0	-
Josh Richardson F · 6'6" 200 · 23	34.2	17	65%	2	4	3	1	0	2	1	1	0-0	-	4-9	44%	3-4	75%
Justise Winslow F · 6'7" 225 · 20	30.9	10	56%	2	3	0	0	0	4	0	2	3-5	60%	2-6	33%	1-1	100%
Gerald Green G-F · 6'7" 205 · 30	15.1	13	65%	3	0	1	0	0	1	0	3	2-2	100%	4-7	57%	1-2	50%
Luol Deng F · 6'9" 220 · 31	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Tyler Johnson G · 6'3" 186 · 24	\| DND - Left shoulder surgery
Udonis Haslem F · 6'8" 235 · 36	\| DNP - Coach's Decision
Chris Bosh #1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 32	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	88	53%	36	23	8	6	14	0	6	30	7-12	58%	30-63	48%	7-14	50%

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1 San Antonio Spurs

PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge F · 6'11" 260 · 31	25.3	8	44%	5	1	2	1	2	1	2	3	0-0	-	4-9	44%	0-0	-
Tim Duncan C · 6'11" 250 · 40	24.4	4	67%	9	4	1	0	2	0	1	8	2-2	100%	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Kawhi Leonard F · 6'6" 225 · 25	24.1	32	70%	8	0	1	1	1	1	2	6	5-7	71%	9-14	64%	3-7	43%
Tony Parker G · 6'2" 185 · 34	23.7	5	42%	3	5	0	0	0	1	0	3	1-2	50%	2-5	40%	0-0	-
Danny Green G · 6'6" 215 · 29	22.0	9	75%	3	1	1	0	1	1	1	2	0-0	-	0-2	0%	3-4	75%

Kyle Anderson F-G · 6'8" 230 · 23	21.6	2	20%	2	3	0	1	0	1	1	1	0-0	-	1-5	20%	0-0	-
Boris Diaw C-F · 6'8" 250 · 34	20.3	8	80%	2	0	0	1	1	2	0	2	2-3	67%	3-4	75%	0-0	-
Kevin Martin G · 6'7" 199 · 33	15.5	12	86%	1	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	4-4	100%	1-3	33%	2-2	100%
Patty Mills G · 6'0" 185 · 28	15.3	9	64%	2	2	1	0	1	0	0	2	5-5	100%	2-4	50%	0-1	0%
Manu Ginobili G · 6'6" 205 · 39	14.4	2	33%	0	5	0	0	0	1	0	0	0-0	-	1-3	33%	0-0	-
Boban Marjanović C · 7'3" 290 · 28	13.6	19	79%	4	0	1	0	0	1	3	1	1-1	100%	9-12	75%	0-0	-
David West F · 6'9" 250 · 36	10.9	2	50%	4	2	0	0	0	1	0	4	0-0	-	1-2	50%	0-0	-
Andre Miller G · 6'3" 200 · 40	9.0	0	0%	1	2	0	0	1	1	0	1	0-0	-	0-2	0%	0-0	-
Jonathon Simmons #17 · F · 6'6" 195 · 27	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
Matt Bonner #15 · C-F · 6'10" 235 · 36	INACTIVE \| INACTIVE
PLAYER	MIN	PTS	TS%	REB	AST	STL	BLK	TOV	PF	ORB	DRB	FT	FT%	2P	2P%	3P	3P%
TOTAL	240	112	60%	44	26	7	4	10	0	10	34	20-24	83%	34-67	51%	8-14	57%

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WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

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Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

			Score / W-Prob
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	SAS
Clock	Team	Event	MIA	SAS

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SHOOTING

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Scoring Efficiency

MIA

1.06 53.0%

SAS

1.19 59.6%

Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)

MIA

16

26

62%

SAS

18

28

64%

Midrange

MIA

14

37

38%

SAS

16

39

41%

3PT | Effective 3PT

MIA

7

10.5

14

50%

75%

SAS

8

12.0

14

57%

86%

Free Throws

MIA

7

12

58%

SAS

20

24

83%

Makes

Effective 3P Makes

%

Efficiency

Misses

Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|

Heat

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
J. Richardson	17	65%	8.5 / 13
D. Wade	16	62%	8.0 / 13
G. Green	13	65%	6.5 / 10
H. Whiteside	12	55%	6.0 / 11
J. Winslow	10	56%	5.0 / 9
J. McRoberts	9	64%	4.5 / 7
J. Johnson	5	42%	2.5 / 6
G. Dragic	4	25%	2.0 / 8
A. Stoudemire	2	20%	1.0 / 5

TS Makes

TS Misses

Total Points

|

Spurs

PLAYER	PTS	TS%	TSM / TSA
K. Leonard	32	70%	16.0 / 23
B. Marjanovic	19	79%	9.5 / 12
K. Martin	12	86%	6.0 / 7
D. Green	9	75%	4.5 / 6
P. Mills	9	64%	4.5 / 7
L. Aldridge	8	44%	4.0 / 9
B. Diaw	8	80%	4.0 / 5
T. Parker	5	42%	2.5 / 6
T. Duncan	4	67%	2.0 / 3
K. Anderson	2	20%	1.0 / 5
M. Ginobili	2	33%	1.0 / 3
D. West	2	50%	1.0 / 2
A. Miller	0	-	0.0 / 2

TS Makes

TS Misses

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Efficiency & Pace		This Game
Efficiency	17 106.0 5 110.2	MIA 97.8 SAS 123.1 +25.3
Pace	25 93.7 24 94.0	MIA 91.8 +2.5 SAS 89.3
Avg. Poss. Time	4 16.0 2 16.2	MIA 15.7 −0.4 SAS 16.1
Four Factors		This Game
EFG %	11 50.8% 2 52.6%	MIA 52.6% SAS 56.8% +4.2%
TO %	15 14.0% 5 13.3%	MIA 15.4% SAS 9.8% −5.6%
ORB %	16 23.9% 23 23.0%	MIA 15.0% SAS 25.0% +10.0%
FTrt	11 28.2 26 24.6	MIA 15.6 SAS 29.6 +14.0
Misc. Stats		This Game
AST %	26 54.3% 7 61.1%	MIA 62.2% +0.3% SAS 61.9%
STL %	26 7.2% 8 8.8%	MIA 8.9% +1.2% SAS 7.7%
BLK %	1 10.3% 4 9.6%	MIA 9.0% +2.7% SAS 6.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg		Game Stats
Shooting Efficiency		This Game
TS%	15 52.8% 3 54.9%	MIA 53.0% SAS 59.6% +6.6%
Rim FG%	2 62.3% 1 62.8%	MIA 61.5% SAS 64.3% +2.8%
Mid FG%	14 40.5% 2 43.2%	MIA 37.8% SAS 41.0% +3.2%
3P %	27 33.6% 2 37.5%	MIA 50.0% SAS 57.1% +7.1%
FT %	23 74.4% 2 80.3%	MIA 58.3% SAS 83.3% +25.0%
Shot Distribution		This Game
Rim Att. %	11 37.0% 25 32.7%	MIA 33.8% SAS 34.6% +0.8%
Mid Att. %	26 40.9% 30 44.9%	MIA 48.1% −0.1% SAS 48.1%
3P Att. %	27 22.1% 25 22.3%	MIA 18.2% +0.9% SAS 17.3%

Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Game Totals	MIA	SAS
Possessions	90	91
Possession Minutes	23.5	24.5
Points	88	112
Rebounds	36	44
Assists	23	26
Steals	8	7
Blocks	6	4
Turnovers (Team)	14 (1)	10 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)	6 (1)	10 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)	30 (0)	34 (1)
Field Goals	37-77	42-81
At-the-Rim FG	16-26	18-28
Midrange FG	14-37	16-39
2-Point FG	30-63	34-67
3-Point FG	7-14	8-14
Free Throws	7-12	20-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

Scoring Opportunities

Scoring Efficiency

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

Scoring Margin

Play-by-Play

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

Scoring by Shot Type

Total Points

Total Points

MATCHUP

Reg Season Avg

Reg Season Avg