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Predicted Boxscore

Boxscore predictions combine predicted minutes / possessions with estimated skills. For more information and some caveats, see below.
Wednesday
March 23, 2016
8:30 AM ET
FinalWin Prob.pScoreScore
12Heat16%9388
1Spurs84%106112
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GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
Joe Johnson
G-F · 6'7" 240 · 34.7
33
31
5
2
5
1
1
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
3-6
50%
43%
1-4
25%
Josh McRoberts
· 6'10" 240 · 29.1
30
6
9
3
3
0
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
3-5
0-1
60%
47%
1-2
50%
Dwyane Wade
G · 6'4" 220 · 34.2
25
29
16
5
3
0
1
1
3
1
4
0-1
0%
8-13
7-14
62%
45%
0-0
-
Goran Dragic
G · 6'3" 190 · 29.9
25
33
4
1
4
2
1
0
6
0
1
0-0
-
2-7
5-10
29%
50%
0-1
0%
Amar'e Stoudemire
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33.3
14
15
2
4
0
0
0
2
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-5
2-5
20%
51%
0-0
-
Hassan Whiteside
C · 7'0" 265 · 26.8
34
28
12
14
1
1
1
2
2
4
10
2-4
50%
5-9
5-9
56%
56%
0-0
-
Josh Richardson
F · 6'6" 200 · 22.5
34
26
17
2
4
3
1
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
4-9
2-4
44%
43%
3-4
75%
Justise Winslow
F · 6'7" 225 · 20.0
31
30
10
2
3
0
1
0
0
0
2
3-5
60%
2-6
3-6
33%
47%
1-1
100%
Gerald Green
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 30.2
15
8
13
3
0
1
0
0
0
0
3
2-2
100%
4-7
1-2
57%
43%
1-2
50%
Luol Deng
F · 6'9" 220 · 30.9
28
1
3-6
45%
Tyler Johnson
G · 6'3" 186 · 23.9
8
0
1-2
46%
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 35.8
3
0
0-1
43%
Chris Bosh
F · 6'11" 235 · 32.0
GameMINPTSREBASTSTLBLKTOVORBDRBFTFT%2P2P%3P3P%
LaMarcus Aldridge
F · 6'11" 260 · 30.7
25
32
8
5
1
2
1
1
2
2
3
0-0
-
4-9
8-15
44%
51%
0-0
-
Tim Duncan
C-F · 6'11" 250 · 39.9
24
22
4
9
4
1
1
0
2
1
8
2-2
100%
1-2
3-6
50%
52%
0-0
-
Kawhi Leonard
F · 6'7" 230 · 24.7
24
32
32
8
0
1
2
1
1
2
6
5-7
71%
9-14
6-11
64%
55%
3-7
43%
Tony Parker
G · 6'2" 185 · 33.9
24
30
5
3
5
0
1
0
0
0
3
1-2
50%
2-5
5-9
40%
52%
0-0
-
Danny Green
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 28.8
22
25
9
3
1
1
1
0
1
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
1-3
0%
48%
3-4
75%
Kyle Anderson
F · 6'9" 230 · 22.5
22
11
2
2
3
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-5
1-2
20%
50%
0-0
-
Boris Diaw
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 33.9
20
19
8
2
0
0
0
1
1
0
2
2-3
67%
3-4
2-4
75%
55%
0-0
-
Kevin Martin
G · 6'7" 199 · 33.1
15
10
12
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
4-4
100%
1-3
1-2
33%
44%
2-2
100%
Patty Mills
G · 6'0" 185 · 27.6
15
19
9
2
2
1
1
0
1
0
2
5-5
100%
2-4
2-3
50%
50%
0-1
0%
Manu Ginobili
G · 6'6" 205 · 38.7
14
19
2
0
5
0
1
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
2-4
33%
51%
0-0
-
Boban Marjanovic
C · 7'3" 290 · 27.6
14
3
19
4
0
1
0
0
0
3
1
1-1
100%
9-12
1-1
75%
57%
0-0
-
David West
F · 6'9" 250 · 35.6
11
14
2
4
2
0
0
0
0
0
4
0-0
-
1-2
2-5
50%
52%
0-0
-
Andre Miller
G · 6'3" 200 · 40.0
9
2
0
1
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0-0
0%
54%
0-0
-
Jonathon Simmons
F · 6'6" 195 · 26.5
Matt Bonner
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 36.0
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.